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Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengePredict BTC's Price & Win 450M $HTX for 30 DaysCheck In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun! Kalshi’s Fed Bet Accuracy Rivals Wall Street, Accordi

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Predict BTC's Price & Win 450M $HTX for 30 Days

Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!

Kalshi’s Fed Bet Accuracy Rivals Wall Street, According to Fresh Research


An academic study compared Kalshi’s prediction markets with Wall Street forecasts and official surveys, using data from 2022 through June 2024.


The platform’s implied probabilities consistently matched projections from the New York Fed and Bloomberg on interest rates, inflation, and employment, with only marginal differences.


In the unexpected 0.5-point rate cut in September 2024 and in headline CPI, prediction markets reflected the correct probability ahead of many economists.


An academic study compared the performance of Kalshi’s prediction markets with forecasts from Wall Street economists and official surveys from the U.S. financial system. The paper analyzed data between 2022 and June 2024 and was written by three economists, one of whom is affiliated with the Federal Reserve.


The analysis focused on Federal Reserve monetary policy decisions, inflation data, and employment figures. According to the study, the probabilities implied by Kalshi contracts consistently aligned with forecasts from economists surveyed by the New York Fed and Bloomberg. In several cases, the differences were marginal and fell within statistically comparable ranges.One notable episode was the unexpected 0.5 percentage point interest rate cut announced by the Federal Reserve in September 2024. While a significant share of economists did not anticipate that decision, Kalshi contracts already reflected that probability ahead of the official announcement. The study notes that this event was correctly incorporated into prediction market prices.


Kalshi Demonstrates High Accuracy


The paper also assessed Kalshi’s performance relative to economists across key macroeconomic variables. For inflation and employment, the results were equivalent to those of professi

Kalshi’s Fed Bet Accuracy Rivals Wall Street, Acco

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Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Create Content for HTX and Win a Share of 1000U!SKR: Decentralized Mobile EcosystemSilver's 35% plunge ends up beating bitcoin in a rare crypto liquid

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Silver's 35% plunge ends up beating bitcoin in a rare crypto liquidation shock

Tokenized silver futures recorded the largest liquidations across the crypto market over the past 24 hours, overtaking bitcoin and ether in a rare reversal of the usual risk hierarchy as a pullback in precious metals spilled into commodities-based crypto futures.

According to CoinGlass data, 129,117 traders were liquidated in the past day, with total losses reaching $543.9 million.

Tokenized silver contracts led the wipeout, with roughly $142 million in liquidations tied to products tracking silver prices. Bitcoin followed with about $82 million, while ether saw nearly $139 million.

The largest single liquidation order during the period occurred on Hyperliquid, where a leveraged XYZ:SILVER-USD position worth $18.1 million was forcibly closed as prices swung sharply.

The move marks an unusual moment for crypto markets, where bitcoin and ether typically dominate liquidation tables. This time, traders using crypto rails to express macro views on metals bore the brunt of the damage.

Silver prices have been under pressure after an extraordinary rally earlier this month gave way to sharp reversals.

Hedge funds and large speculators cut bullish silver positions to a 23-month low in the week ending Jan. 27, U.S. government data showed Friday, reducing net-long exposure by 36%.

That pullback accelerated after exchanges moved to cool volatility.

CME Group said it would raise margin requirements on gold and silver futures starting Monday, lifting collateral demands by as much as 50% for some silver contracts. Higher margins tend to force leveraged traders to either add capital or exit positions, often amplifying short-term price swings.

Tokenized metals, which allow traders to gain leveraged exposure to gold, silver, and copper without using traditional

Silver's 35% plunge ends up beating bitcoin in a r

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$HYPE Daily Chart: Bearish Signal Confirmed While $BTC and $PENGU (Bullish Signal confirmed) note: this is a daily shart signals once you trigger your position you need to know holding your position a

CHECK: Token of Checkmate & AnichessThe Sichuanese "老子" Meme Taking Crypto by StormBrev: ZK Omnichain Data Proof Best Crypto to Buy Now January 19 – XRP, Dogecoin, PEPE For those chasing longevity and

The Sichuanese "老子" Meme Taking Crypto by Storm

Best Crypto to Buy Now January 19 – XRP, Dogecoin, PEPE

For those chasing longevity and high upside potential in 2026, today's best crypto plays are XRP, Dogecoin and Pepe.

The $3.23 trillion crypto market collectively fell 2.4% overnight on news that the EU is preparing retaliatory tariffs in response to Trump’s threats to occupy Greenland.

For a time, this political instability will have a retardant effect on upward price movement. However, if the U.S. SEC delivers its promised comprehensive crypto regulation soon, markets are likely to decouple from the geopolitical news cycle.

At the same time, Bitcoin’s dominance has fallen since summer, a sign that capital is rotating into alternative tokens. These dynamics are fueling bullishness for altcoins like XRP, Dogecoin, and Pepe, all of which are likely to explode in the next bull run.

Best Crypto to Buy Now January 19 – XRP, Dogecoin,

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Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Create Content for HTX and Win a Share of 1000U!200 USDT | Share Insights on 2026 Crypto Trends Silver's 35% plunge ends up beating bitcoin in a rare 

200 USDT | Share Insights on 2026 Crypto Trends

Silver's 35% plunge ends up beating bitcoin in a rare crypto liquidation shock


Tokenized silver futures recorded the largest liquidations across the crypto market over the past 24 hours, overtaking bitcoin and ether in a rare reversal of the usual risk hierarchy as a pullback in precious metals spilled into commodities-based crypto futures.


According to CoinGlass data, 129,117 traders were liquidated in the past day, with total losses reaching $543.9 million.


Tokenized silver contracts led the wipeout, with roughly $142 million in liquidations tied to products tracking silver prices. Bitcoin followed with about $82 million, while ether saw nearly $139 million.


The largest single liquidation order during the period occurred on Hyperliquid, where a leveraged XYZ:SILVER-USD position worth $18.1 million was forcibly closed as prices swung sharply.


The move marks an unusual moment for crypto markets, where bitcoin and ether typically dominate liquidation tables. This time, traders using crypto rails to express macro views on metals bore the brunt of the damage.


Silver prices have been under pressure after an extraordinary rally earlier this month gave way to sharp reversals.


Hedge funds and large speculators cut bullish silver positions to a 23-month low in the week ending Jan. 27, U.S. government data showed Friday, reducing net-long exposure by 36%.


That pullback accelerated after exchanges moved to cool volatility.


CME Group said it would raise margin requirements on gold and silver futures starting Monday, lifting collateral demands by as much as 50% for some silver contracts. Higher margins tend to force leveraged traders to either add capital or exit positions, often amplifying short-term price swings.


Tokenized metals, which allow traders to gain leveraged exposure to gold, silver, and copper wit

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Despite a broad crypto pullback, aggressive Ethereum accumulation has continued as large buyers step in during weakness rather than retreating. On-chain data from Lookonchain showed Tom Lee’s Bitmine 

Will Ethereum reclaim its highs? 3 reasons why whale execution is bullish

🧠 Bittensor (TAO) at a Crossroads: Strong Development vs Weak AI Token Sentiment Bittensor (TAO) is entering a curious phase where fundamentals and market sentiment are moving in opposite directions. 

🧠 Bittensor (TAO) at a Crossroads: Strong Development vs Weak AI Token Sentiment
Bittensor (TAO) is entering a curious phase where fundamentals and market sentiment are moving in opposite directions. While on-chain development and ecosystem growth remain strong, the broader AI token sector continues to face pressure.
📉 Price Action Update TAO is currently trading around $236, after facing rejection in the $295–$300 resistance zone earlier this month. Since then, price has drifted lower, approaching a key support area, suggesting consolidation rather than a full breakdown.
🧩 Macro AI Sentiment Weighs In Recent comments from Google DeepMind’s leadership, warning about a potential AI bubble, have dampened enthusiasm across AI-related tokens. This has led to risk-off behavior in the sector, impacting TAO despite its strong fundamentals.
📈 Long-Term Catalyst: Grayscale ETF Filing On the bullish side, Grayscale has officially filed for a Bittensor (TAO) ETF in the U.S.
If approved, this could:
Introduce institutional-grade exposure to TAO
Strengthen long-term demand dynamics
Reframe TAO from a niche AI token to a broader investment asset
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $295–$300
Support: $220–$230 zone
Holding above support keeps the structure constructive
Reclaiming $300 would signal renewed bullish momentum
📌 Conclusion TAO currently reflects a market torn between short-term AI skepticism and long-term structural adoption. With development accelerating and institutional interest emerging, this consolidation phase may prove critical for defining TAO’s next major move.


👀 Worth watching closely as sentiment and structure realign.
#Bittensor #TAO #AITokens #CryptoAnalysis #Grayscale #ETF #HTX #CryptoMarket

🧠 Bittensor (TAO) at a Crossroads: Strong Develop

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Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengePredict BTC's Price & Win 450M $HTX for 30 DaysCheck In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun! 为什么预测市场正成为加密货币领域最具韧性的消费者应用场景 预测市场正在吸引曾经由山寨币主导的投机需求，提供

为什么预测市场正成为加密货币领域最具韧性的消费者应用场景


预测市场正在吸引曾经由山寨币主导的投机需求，提供短期、基于结果的风险敞口，并且完全在链上结算。


随着实际收入压力促使交易者转向更快速、更清晰的风险工具，而非长期代币投机，Z世代的参与度持续上升。


Polymarket 和 Kalshi 等平台的交易量持续增长，巩固了预测市场作为一款持久的加密货币原生消费产品的地位。


预测市场正逐渐成为加密货币领域最具韧性的面向消费者的应用场景之一。其扩张并非反映投机欲望的下降，而是用户风险应对方式的重新调整。在上一个市场周期后，随着小型代币流动性的下降，资金转向了那些能够保持速度、清晰度和链上结算的产品。


对于年轻的加密货币原生用户而言，投机并未消失，只是变得更加谨慎。 预测市场如今已成为交易者寻求投资机会的理想之选，他们无需依赖代币的长期升值或不透明的项目路线图。


预测市场吸收周期后的投机需求


链上数据显示，主流预测平台的每周名义交易量将从2025年年中的约5亿美元攀升至2026年1月的近60亿美元。这一增长发生在低流动性山寨币交易活跃度下降，以及能够持续吸引大量交易的新代币数量减少的情况下。


经济压力有助于解释这一转变。Z世代的平均收入约为39,416美元，远低于普遍估计的48,000美元以上的基本生活工资。由于资金缓冲有限，许多交易者倾向于选择能够快速结算并避免长期亏损的仓位。


预测市场恰好提供了这样的结构。 与选举、经济指标或加密货币价格水平挂钩的合约以客观结果为结算依据。这种设计减少了对冗长叙述、代币解锁时间表或未来发展假设的依赖。其结果是，投机行为优先考虑概率和时机，而非信念。代际接受度和链上设计


消费者研究公司的调查数据显示，Z世代和千禧一代对主流预测平台的认知度约为17%，而X世代及更年长的用户认知度约为4%。这种接受度差距与DeFi协议和永续期货早期出现的模式类似。


基础设施强化了这种吸引力。在Polymarket等平台上，托管、结算和支付均使用稳定币在链上运行，钱包是主要界面。加密货币相关市场仍然占据核心地位，其中比特币价格合约的交易量始终名列前茅。


 这种设置符合近期交易所故障和提款限制所塑造的用户偏好。对许多用户而言，流动性获取和自主性如今比长期收益更为重要，而预测市场通过快速的进入和退出机制也满足了这一需求。






为什么预测市场正成为加密货币领域最具韧性的消费者应用场景 预测市场正在吸引曾经由山寨币主导的投机

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XRP Price Prediction: XRP Consolidation Tightens as $1.90 Holds and $2.00 Becomes the Technical Battleground Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Predict BTC's Price & Win 450M $HTX for 3

XRP Price Prediction: XRP Consolidation Tightens as $1.90 Holds and $2.00 Becomes the Technical Battleground





XRP is approaching a pivotal technical zone near $1.90, where years of consolidation, renewed buying pressure, and emerging candlestick signals could signal the start of a meaningful momentum shift.

After spending multiple years trading below previous cycle highs, XRP is now showing signs of stabilization that have caught traders’ attention. Defended support levels, combined with a bullish inverted hammer, suggest that buyers are becoming increasingly willing to step in; however, confirmation through sustained price action remains essential.



XRP Price Prediction: XRP Consolidation Tightens a

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SEC Chair Atkins warns crypto could become a powerful financial surveillance toolSEC Chair warns crypto could become total financial surveillance panopticon. Advocates balanced rules protecting both n

SEC Chair Atkins warns crypto could become a power

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