BTC filter first, then PENGU | Model C support-break continuation short | TP 0.0069
Structure first, opinion second. Step one is always the BTC regime filter before I even touch PENGU. BTC regime first: BTC still looks fragile, so until real strength comes back I only prioritize alt shorts. Step two is high-emotion alt selection, and PENGU qualifies because the crowding is obvious. PENGU is a high-emotion alt right now, exactly the type where crowded positioning creates cleaner short entries. Step three is execution, and for me that means Model C support-break continuation short only, triggered when only hit it after support breaks and the retest fails from below. Reference entry is 0.0073, invalidation sits at 0.0074, and first TP stays at 0.0069. Funding / OI context: If funding stays positive, it means late-long emotion is still paying to stay in, which helps the short thesis. The cleanest short is when OI keeps building right into the emotional rebound. The framework stays consistent, no BTC strength means I keep treating alt pops as short inventory.
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