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On March 23rd, according to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April stands at 12.4%, with the probability of maintaining the current rate at 87.6%. Looking ahead to June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 21.9%, a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 1.6%, and the probability of maintaining the current rate is 76.5%. (Jinjishi)

[Fed Rate Decision Outlook: April Unchanged Probability at 87.6%]On March 23rd, according to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April stands at 12.4%, with the probability of maintaining the current rate at 87.6%. Looking ahead to June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 21.9%, a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 1.6%, and the probability of maintaining the current rate is 76.5%. (Jinjishi)

Fed Rate Decision Outlook: April Unchanged Probability at 87.6%

On March 23rd, The Kobeissi Letter posted on X, stating, "Oil prices are no longer the biggest threat to the market. It is becoming increasingly clear that the bond market will determine how long President Trump can continue to escalate pressure on the Iran conflict.
Since the conflict began on February 28th, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen by approximately 45 basis points. This aligns with the rapid surge observed around "Liberation Day" in April 2025. In April 2025, when the 10-year US Treasury yield broke through 4.50%, President Trump began hinting at a potential suspension of tariffs. After the 10-year yield rose above 4.60%, President Trump officially announced a 90-day suspension of his reciprocal tariff policy on April 9th, 2025.
Currently, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen to 4.40%. We believe the 4.50%-4.60% range will once again become a critical warning line. The US economy cannot withstand the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching the 5% level."

[Opinion: Bond Market to Dictate How Long Trump Can Escalate Pressure on Iran Conflict]On March 23rd, The Kobeissi Letter posted on X, stating, "Oil prices are no longer the biggest threat to the market. It is becoming increasingly clear that the bond market will determine how long President Trump can continue to escalate pressure on the Iran conflict.
Since the conflict began on February 28th, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen by approximately 45 basis points. This aligns with the rapid surge observed around "Liberation Day" in April 2025. In April 2025, when the 10-year US Treasury yield broke through 4.50%, President Trump began hinting at a potential suspension of tariffs. After the 10-year yield rose above 4.60%, President Trump officially announced a 90-day suspension of his reciprocal tariff policy on April 9th, 2025.
Currently, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen to 4.40%. We believe the 4.50%-4.60% range will once again become a critical warning line. The US economy cannot withstand the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching the 5% level."

Opinion: Bond Market to Dictate How Long Trump Can Escalate Pressure on Iran Conflict

On March 23rd, SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci stated that the participation of institutional investors and the inflow of funds into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have, to some extent, weakened the volatility of Bitcoin's four-year cycle, making its performance "somewhat moderated." However, this change in market structure has not completely eliminated Bitcoin's traditional cyclical patterns. He said:
"We are still in a four-year cycle, and some traditional whales and early participants (OGs) still believe in this cycle. And what often happens in life is that when you believe in something, it tends to become a self-fulfilling prophecy."
He added that Bitcoin's price may continue to fluctuate for most of this year, and it is not until the fourth quarter of 2026 that it will begin to rise with the start of a new bull market cycle.

[SkyBridge Capital Founder: Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Remains Valid, Expects Price Rise in Q4]On March 23rd, SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci stated that the participation of institutional investors and the inflow of funds into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have, to some extent, weakened the volatility of Bitcoin's four-year cycle, making its performance "somewhat moderated." However, this change in market structure has not completely eliminated Bitcoin's traditional cyclical patterns. He said:
"We are still in a four-year cycle, and some traditional whales and early participants (OGs) still believe in this cycle. And what often happens in life is that when you believe in something, it tends to become a self-fulfilling prophecy."
He added that Bitcoin's price may continue to fluctuate for most of this year, and it is not until the fourth quarter of 2026 that it will begin to rise with the start of a new bull market cycle.

SkyBridge Capital Founder: Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Remains Valid, Expects Price Rise in Q4

On March 23rd, according to The Wall Street Journal, Meta Platforms (META.O) CEO Mark Zuckerberg envisions a future where everyone, both inside and outside the company, will eventually have their own personal AI agent. He is starting with himself. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Zuckerberg is developing a CEO proxy to assist him with his work. This agent is currently under development and is helping Zuckerberg access information more quickly. For instance, it retrieves answers for him that would typically require multiple layers of communication. The use of AI tools has rapidly spread within Meta, partly because it has now become a consideration in employee performance evaluations. Sources disclosed that Meta's internal message boards are flooded with employees sharing newly discovered AI use cases and new tools they have built using AI. Employees have begun using personal agent tools like 'My Claw,' which can access their chat history and work documents, and can communicate with colleagues (or their colleagues' personal agents) on their behalf. There is even a group on the internal message board dedicated to employees' personal agents interacting with each other. (Jingshi)

[Zuckerberg Developing CEO AI Proxy Amidst Rise of 'AI Agent Socializing' at Meta]On March 23rd, according to The Wall Street Journal, Meta Platforms (META.O) CEO Mark Zuckerberg envisions a future where everyone, both inside and outside the company, will eventually have their own personal AI agent. He is starting with himself. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Zuckerberg is developing a CEO proxy to assist him with his work. This agent is currently under development and is helping Zuckerberg access information more quickly. For instance, it retrieves answers for him that would typically require multiple layers of communication. The use of AI tools has rapidly spread within Meta, partly because it has now become a consideration in employee performance evaluations. Sources disclosed that Meta's internal message boards are flooded with employees sharing newly discovered AI use cases and new tools they have built using AI. Employees have begun using personal agent tools like 'My Claw,' which can access their chat history and work documents, and can communicate with colleagues (or their colleagues' personal agents) on their behalf. There is even a group on the internal message board dedicated to employees' personal agents interacting with each other. (Jingshi)

Zuckerberg Developing CEO AI Proxy Amidst Rise of 'AI Agent Socializing' at Meta

On March 23rd, according to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate remains at 87.6%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 21.9%, a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 1.6%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 76.5%. (Jingshi)

[Fed Rate Decision Odds: April Unchanged at 87.6%, Hike at 12.4%]On March 23rd, according to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 12.4%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate remains at 87.6%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 21.9%, a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 1.6%, and the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 76.5%. (Jingshi)

Fed Rate Decision Odds: April Unchanged at 87.6%, Hike at 12.4%

Fidelity Investments stated on Friday to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that the regulatory framework for broker-dealers offering, holding, and trading crypto assets on alternative trading systems (ATS) should continue to be refined. Fidelity emphasized the importance of the SEC establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework and clear rules for trading tokenized securities, including those issued by third parties. The company also urged the SEC to bridge the regulatory gap between centralized and decentralized trading systems. Furthermore, Fidelity recommended that the SEC issue guidance allowing broker-dealers to utilize distributed ledger technology for ATS and other record-keeping efforts.

[Fidelity Urges SEC to Take Further Action on Broker-Dealer Crypto Activities]Fidelity Investments stated on Friday to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that the regulatory framework for broker-dealers offering, holding, and trading crypto assets on alternative trading systems (ATS) should continue to be refined. Fidelity emphasized the importance of the SEC establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework and clear rules for trading tokenized securities, including those issued by third parties. The company also urged the SEC to bridge the regulatory gap between centralized and decentralized trading systems. Furthermore, Fidelity recommended that the SEC issue guidance allowing broker-dealers to utilize distributed ledger technology for ATS and other record-keeping efforts.

Fidelity Urges SEC to Take Further Action on Broker-Dealer Crypto Activities

A new report from Galaxy Research suggests that Bitcoin may already be adapting to the long-term threat posed by quantum computing. The report found that only cryptocurrencies with exposed public keys are at risk from future quantum attacks. This includes older 'legacy' wallets, reused addresses, and certain custodial practices – categories that, by a broad definition, could account for millions of bitcoins. However, Bitcoin's architecture offers built-in protections. "Bitcoin's design is somewhat resilient to quantum attacks because public keys are only exposed when bitcoins are spent," Galaxy Research stated in the report. The firm pushed back against claims that developers are ignoring the issue, noting that "work on quantum resistance has been substantial and is accelerating across the ecosystem." The report stated, "Proposals like BIP 360 indicate that the technical foundations for post-quantum security are actively being developed."

[Galaxy: Bitcoin May Be Adapting to Quantum Threats]A new report from Galaxy Research suggests that Bitcoin may already be adapting to the long-term threat posed by quantum computing. The report found that only cryptocurrencies with exposed public keys are at risk from future quantum attacks. This includes older 'legacy' wallets, reused addresses, and certain custodial practices – categories that, by a broad definition, could account for millions of bitcoins. However, Bitcoin's architecture offers built-in protections. "Bitcoin's design is somewhat resilient to quantum attacks because public keys are only exposed when bitcoins are spent," Galaxy Research stated in the report. The firm pushed back against claims that developers are ignoring the issue, noting that "work on quantum resistance has been substantial and is accelerating across the ecosystem." The report stated, "Proposals like BIP 360 indicate that the technical foundations for post-quantum security are actively being developed."

Galaxy: Bitcoin May Be Adapting to Quantum Threats

Institutional market data provider Pyth Network has announced the launch of Pyth Pro X, a market data product specifically designed for exchanges operating multi-asset markets. Pyth Pro X provides the data required for pricing a wide range of assets, from cryptocurrencies to equities, supporting real-time market trading, new product launches, and complex risk frameworks, all without the traditional market data licensing fees.

[Pyth Network Launches Institutional Market Data Service for Exchanges]Institutional market data provider Pyth Network has announced the launch of Pyth Pro X, a market data product specifically designed for exchanges operating multi-asset markets. Pyth Pro X provides the data required for pricing a wide range of assets, from cryptocurrencies to equities, supporting real-time market trading, new product launches, and complex risk frameworks, all without the traditional market data licensing fees.

Pyth Network Launches Institutional Market Data Service for Exchanges

Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic announced it has achieved full coverage of Tempo. Tempo is a Layer-1 blockchain with a payments focus, incubated by Stripe and Paradigm. Through this integration, Elliptic's clients gain the same comprehensive monitoring and investigative capabilities on Tempo as they do on other blockchains.

[Elliptic Integrates with Layer-1 Blockchain Tempo]Blockchain analytics firm Elliptic announced it has achieved full coverage of Tempo. Tempo is a Layer-1 blockchain with a payments focus, incubated by Stripe and Paradigm. Through this integration, Elliptic's clients gain the same comprehensive monitoring and investigative capabilities on Tempo as they do on other blockchains.

Elliptic Integrates with Layer-1 Blockchain Tempo

On August 22nd, PANews reported that the Aave community will begin a temperature check vote on the "Aave Treasury Proposal for RWA Allocation" tonight, and it will end on August 25th. The proposal suggests that a portion of the stablecoins held by the Aave Treasury be allocated to low-risk real-world asset (RWA) investments through Centrifuge Prime.

[The Proposal of “Aave Ministry of Finance To Invest Some Stablecoins in RWA” Is About To Start Temperature Check Voting]On August 22nd, PANews reported that the Aave community will begin a temperature check vote on the "Aave Treasury Proposal for RWA Allocation" tonight, and it will end on August 25th. The proposal suggests that a portion of the stablecoins held by the Aave Treasury be allocated to low-risk real-world asset (RWA) investments through Centrifuge Prime.

The Proposal of “Aave Ministry of Finance To Invest Some Stablecoins in RWA” Is About To Start Temperature Check Voting

Clause de non-responsabilité：Le contenu ci-dessus ne représente pas les positions de HTX.，HTX ne fournit pas de recommandations de trading.。

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