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according to market sources: Kalshi traders currently believe the probability of a U.S. recession in 2026 is 28%, lower than the recent high of 34%–36%. Wells Fargo states that with the support of the service sector, demographics, and fiscal policy, economic expansion will continue. Only a large-scale, sustained oil shock could potentially trigger a recession.

[The probability of a US economic recession has fallen to 28%.]according to market sources: Kalshi traders currently believe the probability of a U.S. recession in 2026 is 28%, lower than the recent high of 34%–36%. Wells Fargo states that with the support of the service sector, demographics, and fiscal policy, economic expansion will continue. Only a large-scale, sustained oil shock could potentially trigger a recession.

The probability of a US economic recession has fallen to 28%.

&nbsp;Israel Defense Forces stated they detected missiles launched from Iran into Israeli territory and activated the air defense system to intercept them. Air raid sirens sounded in the West Bank, central and northern Israel. So far, there are no reports of casualties. (CCTV News)

[The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said it detected a missile launch from Iran.]&nbsp;Israel Defense Forces stated they detected missiles launched from Iran into Israeli territory and activated the air defense system to intercept them. Air raid sirens sounded in the West Bank, central and northern Israel. So far, there are no reports of casualties. (CCTV News)

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) said it detected a missile launch from Iran.

according to the UK's Financial Times: Fintech company Revolut will obtain a full banking license in the UK within this week.

[Fintech company Revolut is expected to receive a full banking license in the UK this week.]according to the UK's Financial Times: Fintech company Revolut will obtain a full banking license in the UK within this week.

Fintech company Revolut is expected to receive a full banking license in the UK this week.

&nbsp;data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on the 11th showed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.4% year-on-year in February; excluding the more volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose by 2.5% year-on-year in February. Analysts pointed out that this data reflects the U.S. inflation situation before the outbreak of military conflict in the Middle East. Considering the recent surge in international oil prices and the ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the risk of a rebound in U.S. inflation pressure cannot be ruled out at present. Even though the recently released non-farm payroll data was significantly below expectations, the market still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again only in July this year.&nbsp;

[US CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in February; markets expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in July.]&nbsp;data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on the 11th showed that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.4% year-on-year in February; excluding the more volatile food and energy prices, the core CPI rose by 2.5% year-on-year in February. Analysts pointed out that this data reflects the U.S. inflation situation before the outbreak of military conflict in the Middle East. Considering the recent surge in international oil prices and the ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, the risk of a rebound in U.S. inflation pressure cannot be ruled out at present. Even though the recently released non-farm payroll data was significantly below expectations, the market still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again only in July this year.&nbsp;

US CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year in February; markets expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in July.

&nbsp;NVIDIA's holding stock NEBIUS surged more than 8% in pre-market trading. According to the news, NVIDIA will invest 2 billion USD in NEBIUS.

[Nvidia holding stock NEBIUS surged over 8% in pre-market trading.]&nbsp;NVIDIA's holding stock NEBIUS surged more than 8% in pre-market trading. According to the news, NVIDIA will invest 2 billion USD in NEBIUS.

Nvidia holding stock NEBIUS surged over 8% in pre-market trading.

according to market news: Mastercard has launched a new "Cryptocurrency Partner Program," focusing on using digital assets for cross-border transfers, B2B payments, and global fund disbursement services.

[Mastercard launches new “Cryptocurrency Partner Program”]according to market news: Mastercard has launched a new "Cryptocurrency Partner Program," focusing on using digital assets for cross-border transfers, B2B payments, and global fund disbursement services.

Mastercard launches new “Cryptocurrency Partner Program”

Strive, a US-listed company focused on Bitcoin treasury business, disclosed that it has increased its holdings by 179 bitcoins, bringing the total Bitcoin holdings to approximately 13,311. In addition, it has purchased $50 million worth of Strategy perpetual preferred shares STRC, and as of March 9, 2026, holds $143.4 million in cash and cash equivalents. Strive also stated that it has raised the dividend rate by 25 basis points to 12.75%. The currently issued shares include 56,897,668 Class A common shares, 9,880,117 Class B common shares, and 4,275,118 SATA shares.

[Strive disclosed that it increased its holdings by 179 Bitcoins, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to approximately 13,311.]Strive, a US-listed company focused on Bitcoin treasury business, disclosed that it has increased its holdings by 179 bitcoins, bringing the total Bitcoin holdings to approximately 13,311. In addition, it has purchased $50 million worth of Strategy perpetual preferred shares STRC, and as of March 9, 2026, holds $143.4 million in cash and cash equivalents. Strive also stated that it has raised the dividend rate by 25 basis points to 12.75%. The currently issued shares include 56,897,668 Class A common shares, 9,880,117 Class B common shares, and 4,275,118 SATA shares.

Strive disclosed that it increased its holdings by 179 Bitcoins, bringing its total Bitcoin holdings to approximately 13,311.

HTX data showed that BTC fell below 69000  USDT and is now at 68988.7 USDT, with a decrease of 2.01% in 24H.

[BTC fell below 69000  USDT] HTX data showed that BTC fell below 69000  USDT and is now at 68988.7 USDT, with a decrease of 2.01% in 24H.

BTC fell below 69000  USDT

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that Japan will release its strategic oil reserves on its own to respond to the impact of the Middle East war. In a speech broadcast on NHK on Wednesday, Sanae Takaichi said the release could start as early as March 16, releasing an amount equivalent to 15 days of private sector oil reserves and one month of national oil reserves. This move comes as the International Energy Agency proposes releasing emergency oil reserves, with the release scale possibly being the largest in the agency's history, and related decisions may be made later on Wednesday. In addition, the German Minister of Economic Affairs also stated that Germany will release part of its national oil reserves, with specific details yet to be finalized.

[Japan and Germany will release strategic oil reserves.]Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi stated that Japan will release its strategic oil reserves on its own to respond to the impact of the Middle East war. In a speech broadcast on NHK on Wednesday, Sanae Takaichi said the release could start as early as March 16, releasing an amount equivalent to 15 days of private sector oil reserves and one month of national oil reserves. This move comes as the International Energy Agency proposes releasing emergency oil reserves, with the release scale possibly being the largest in the agency's history, and related decisions may be made later on Wednesday. In addition, the German Minister of Economic Affairs also stated that Germany will release part of its national oil reserves, with specific details yet to be finalized.

Japan and Germany will release strategic oil reserves.

July 5 (Huobi) - According to Yonhap News Agency, the Gyeonggi-do Government of South Korea issued the "Partial Amendment to the Code of Conduct for Civil Servants in Gyeonggi-do", and Gyeonggi-do will implement the virtual asset report of public officials from next month. Amendments to the code of conduct include a ban on transactions or investments related to virtual assets, and public officials at level 4 or above must report virtual assets. The amendment is expected to take effect early next month.

[South Korea’s Gyeonggi-Do Will Implement a Code of Conduct for Civil Servants’ Virtual Currencies Next Month, Requiring Specific Public Officials To Declare Virtual Assets]July 5 (Huobi) - According to Yonhap News Agency, the Gyeonggi-do Government of South Korea issued the "Partial Amendment to the Code of Conduct for Civil Servants in Gyeonggi-do", and Gyeonggi-do will implement the virtual asset report of public officials from next month. Amendments to the code of conduct include a ban on transactions or investments related to virtual assets, and public officials at level 4 or above must report virtual assets. The amendment is expected to take effect early next month.

South Korea’s Gyeonggi-Do Will Implement a Code of Conduct for Civil Servants’ Virtual Currencies Next Month, Requiring Specific Public Officials To Declare Virtual Assets

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South Korea’s Gyeonggi-Do Will Implement a Code of Conduct for Civil Servants’ Virtual Currencies Next Month, Requiring Specific Public Officials To Declare Virtual Assets

Disclaimer：The content above does not represent HTX's positions.，HTX does not provide any trading recommendations.。

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