Bitcoin Climbs as Optimism Grows

What Might Trigger a Fed Rate Cut?

The mid-month will see crucial inflation figures released, preceding the Federal Reserve’s rate decision by month’s end. Slowing employment figures have prompted three Fed officials to assert the need for interest rate reductions. Even Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, is cautious, refraining from ruling out a rate cut in July. If a tariff agreement is reached with minimal taxation, the limited inflationary impact could pave the way for a rate decrease.

Are Economic Indicators on the Right Track?

Currently, the U.S. economy is performing well, with inflation figures meeting predictions. Predictions are tilted towards higher numbers in the upcoming summer months. Considering new customs duties, interest rate increases have been temporarily halted, with a prudent wait-and-see approach deemed necessary to gather further data.

Most Federal Reserve members anticipate rate cuts by year-end. However, whether July is too soon remains speculative. Every meeting is being focused on the latest financial data. The labor market is experiencing a gradual slowdown, yet overall economic growth stays strong, supported by resilient employment figures.

The ISM’s U.S. Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.9, surpassing predictions of 52 and exceeding the prior figure of 52.0. This helps alleviate worries about a potential recession and provides a favorable backdrop for cryptocurrencies