Zcash: Analyzing why ZEC still risks a price drop toward $301

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-01-20Actualizado a 2026-01-20

Resumen

After a market crash, Zcash (ZEC) dropped to $347, extending a week-long decline and risking a further fall toward $301. Despite strong bearish pressure and a drop below key moving averages, whale activity has increased, with significant buying volume and a notable withdrawal of 8,551 ZEC ($3.12 million) from Binance. Exchange data shows eight consecutive days of negative netflow, indicating $414 million in capital inflows, which typically reduces circulating supply and supports prices. However, bearish momentum remains strong, with the Stochastic RSI deep in oversold territory, suggesting selling pressure outweighs current whale demand. A reversal would require stronger accumulation to target resistance at $390.

After the market crash, Zcash [ZEC] dropped to levels last witnessed in early December, touching a low of $335.

In fact, ZEC has posted lower lows for five straight days, underscoring strong bearish pressure. As a result, the altcoin fell below its 20, 50, and 100 short‐term EMAs.

At press time, ZEC traded at $347, down 5.98%, extending a week-long downside movement.

With ZEC dropping below its short-term MAs, investors, especially whales, have jumped into the market buying the dip.

ZEC whales are buying the dip

Since Zcash was rejected at $449 a week ago, whale activity has fallen significantly. At press time, data from TradingView showed that Whale Buy Volume peaked at 152.4k.

While whale buy activity has reduced signaling, reduced risk appetite, and increased risk aversion, they have remained active.

At the same time, the Average Buy Volume hovered around 29k, holding this level for three consecutive days. This suggested that whales have remained relatively active despite the continued market weakness.

Notably, Onchain Lens observed that a newly created wallet withdrew 8,551 ZEC, worth $3.12 million from Binance, and could withdraw more.

The wallet now holds 12.5k ZEC, worth $4.54 million, according to Arkham data. Often, when whales continue to hold on and also add more positions during a downturn, it signals strong conviction.

Zcash records $414M in capital flow

Furthermore, exchange activities have echoed this accumulation phase. According to CoinGlass data, Zcash Spot Netflow has remained in the negative zone for 8 consecutive days.

At the time of writing, Spot Netflow was -$5.87 million, indicating increased capital inflow into the asset. In fact, over this period, investors have pumped approximately $414 million into the market.

Usually, increased outflows increases scaricty, thus reducing supply in circulation, which absorbs rising selling pressure. Often, such a market setup accelerates upward strength, leading to higher prices.

Is this demand enough?

While whales continued to accumulate as ZEC dropped, downside pressure has intensified, reflecting selling by other participants.

Moreover, the downward momentum remained elevated as evidenced by Zcash’s Stochastic RSI. This momentum indicator made a bearish crossover days ago and fell to 11.96, as of writing, further deepening the oversold zone.

When this indicator reaches such levels, it signals that bears have fully overpowered bulls, taking control of the market. As a result, whale demand has been insufficient to offset selling pressure.

With bearish momentum prevailing, downside risk remains high, and ZEC could fall toward $301. However, if whale demand strengthens, Zcash may stage another rally and target immediate resistance at $390.


Final Thoughts

  • Zcash whale purchased 8,551 ZEC, worth $3.12 million rising total holdings to 12.5k ZEC worth $4.54 million.
  • ZEC dropped 5.98%, extending its long week of downward pressure and risking a drop to $300.

Criptos en tendencia

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat was the price of ZEC at the time of writing and by what percentage did it drop?

AAt press time, ZEC traded at $347, down 5.98%.

QWhat key observation did Onchain Lens make regarding whale activity for Zcash?

AOnchain Lens observed that a newly created wallet withdrew 8,551 ZEC, worth $3.12 million from Binance.

QWhat does a negative Spot Netflow value indicate for an asset like Zcash?

AA negative Spot Netflow value indicates increased capital inflow into the asset, as it is being withdrawn from exchanges, which increases scarcity.

QWhat did the Stochastic RSI level of 11.96 signal for ZEC's market momentum?

AA Stochastic RSI level of 11.96 signaled that the asset was deep in the oversold zone, indicating that bears had fully overpowered bulls and taken control of the market.

QWhat are the two potential price targets mentioned for ZEC based on the prevailing market conditions?

AIf bearish momentum prevails, ZEC could fall toward $301. If whale demand strengthens, it may rally and target immediate resistance at $390.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Bitcoin Withdrawals Continue: 8 Years of Storage in a Coldcard Cold Wallet Ended in Zero

Coldcard Hardware Wallet Hacked: Losses Mount Due to Vulnerable Seed Generation A critical vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets has led to a continued wave of fund thefts. According to Galaxy Research, the total stolen has reached 1,367.05 BTC (approx. $88.6 million) from 4,585 addresses, a significant increase from the initial 594.5 BTC reported on July 30, 2026. Most of the stolen funds remain on the attackers' addresses. The issue is not with the current firmware, which Coinkite has updated, but with seed phrases generated on vulnerable devices between March 2021 and the release of fixed firmware versions. Due to a programmer error, devices switched from using a hardware random number generator to the software-based Yasmarang generator, which was initialized with publicly accessible data like the chip's serial number. This made the seed phrases predictable through offline brute-force attacks, meaning wallets remain at risk until funds are moved to a new wallet generated with the patched firmware. Affected devices include Mk2/Mk3 with firmware 4.0.1–4.1.9 (and up to 5.0.3), Mk4/Mk5 up to version 5.6.0, and Q models up to 1.5.0Q. The only exceptions are seeds created with a high-entropy method like at least 50 independent dice rolls or a strong unique BIP-39 passphrase. All other owners must generate a new seed on the fixed firmware and transfer their assets. A case highlighting the human impact involves a 39-year-old long-term investor who lost 2 BTC (approx. $130,000) in minutes. He had accumulated the Bitcoin over eight years through physical labor, viewing it as a financial lifeline and a retirement plan in a country suffering from hyperinflation. His story underscores that even conservative "buy and hold in cold storage" strategies can be compromised by such underlying technical flaws. From a technical perspective, this incident echoes historical failures where weak random number generators undermined cryptographic security, challenging the assumption that offline storage is automatically foolproof.

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¡Bienvenido a HTX.com! Hemos hecho que comprar Zcash (ZEC) sea simple y conveniente. Sigue nuestra guía paso a paso para iniciar tu viaje de criptos.Paso 1: crea tu cuenta HTXUtiliza tu correo electrónico o número de teléfono para registrarte y obtener una cuenta gratuita en HTX. Experimenta un proceso de registro sin complicaciones y desbloquea todas las funciones.Obtener mi cuentaPaso 2: ve a Comprar cripto y elige tu método de pagoTarjeta de crédito/débito: usa tu Visa o Mastercard para comprar Zcash (ZEC) al instante.Saldo: utiliza fondos del saldo de tu cuenta HTX para tradear sin problemas.Terceros: hemos agregado métodos de pago populares como Google Pay y Apple Pay para mejorar la comodidad.P2P: tradear directamente con otros usuarios en HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): ofrecemos servicios personalizados y tipos de cambio competitivos para los traders.Paso 3: guarda tu Zcash (ZEC)Después de comprar tu Zcash (ZEC), guárdalo en tu cuenta HTX. Alternativamente, puedes enviarlo a otro lugar mediante transferencia blockchain o utilizarlo para tradear otras criptomonedas.Paso 4: tradear Zcash (ZEC)Tradear fácilmente con Zcash (ZEC) en HTX's mercado spot. Simplemente accede a tu cuenta, selecciona tu par de trading, ejecuta tus trades y monitorea en tiempo real. Ofrecemos una experiencia fácil de usar tanto para principiantes como para traders experimentados.

416 Vistas totalesPublicado en 2024.12.12Actualizado en 2026.06.02

Cómo comprar ZEC

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Bienvenido a la comunidad de HTX. Aquí puedes mantenerte informado sobre los últimos desarrollos de la plataforma y acceder a análisis profesionales del mercado. A continuación se presentan las opiniones de los usuarios sobre el precio de ZEC (ZEC).

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