XRP price prediction: Are sidelined traders refusing to chase shallow bounces?

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-07-12Actualizado a 2026-07-12

Resumen

XRP's network activity has hit unusually low levels, with daily active addresses and network growth at significant lows for 2026 and since late 2024, respectively. This suggests sidelined traders are waiting for a substantial price move rather than chasing shallow bounces. Spot volume trends confirm muted buying pressure, with the spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) in neutral territory and in decline since March. While XRP is flowing out of exchanges into accumulation, these outflows are less pronounced than in 2025. Despite a major price correction, bearish sentiment remains strong, as evidenced by sustained negative aggregate funding rates throughout 2026. This extreme bearish consensus could paradoxically signal a potential medium-term bullish reversal, similar to a pattern observed before a significant rally in April 2025. However, a major shift in spot volume is necessary for any sustained price recovery.

According to Santiment, XRP Ledger activity has fallen to unusually low levels lately. On the 9th and 10th of July, the network saw only 25,350 and 24,887 daily active addresses.

These figures were the second-lowest in 2026, Santiment wrote. Moreover, the daily network growth was also at a low figure of 2,130 – The lowest since November 2024.

Traders and investors seemed to be waiting on the wings to buy a real move instead of chasing a shallow price bounce, such as the ones that came in mid-June and early April.

The spot volume trends backed this idea up. The spot CVD for the past 90 days on CryptoQuant was in neutral territory. This metric tracks the aggressive, or taker, participation in the market.

The spot CVD trends have been in decline. Though it was not yet taker sell-dominant, it hinted at reduced buying since March. There was a brief flurry of taker buy activity in May, but it quickly evaporated. At the time, XRP’s price reacted by bouncing towards $1.55, before slumping to $1.10.

The exchange net position change has been negative in recent months. Negative values imply XRP tokens flowing out of exchanges, likely to cold storage and accumulation.

However, for context, it was not as heavy as the outflow bouts in 2025.

XRP funding rates stay at extreme lows

Against this backdrop of muted spot buying pressure on XRP, analyst Darkfost believes that the altcoin’s speculative bais might also be firmly bearish.

The 30-day aggregate of funding rates has been negative throughout 2026. Despite the over 70% correction since the coin hit $3.66 in July 2025, the bearish consensus can serve as a clue for a medium-term reversal.

In April 2025 too, sustained negative aggregate funding rates were seen. This correction was followed by a 126% rally, the analyst observed.

Only time will tell if a similar scenario will play out. Spot volume trends need to undergo a big shift to enable such a rally, that is for sure.

Final Summary

XRP’s spot demand has been falling and the price was moving sideways about the $1.10 support.
Strong bearish consensus even after a deep price correction might be a medium-term bullish reversal sign.

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat does the unusually low XRP Ledger activity in early July 2026 indicate about trader behavior according to Santiment?

AIt indicates that traders and investors are on the sidelines, waiting for a significant price move rather than chasing shallow bounces.

QWhat do the negative values of the exchange net position change metric suggest for XRP?

ANegative values suggest that XRP tokens are flowing out of exchanges, which likely indicates accumulation or movement to cold storage.

QAccording to analyst Darkfost, what might the sustained negative aggregate funding rates for XRP signal?

AThe sustained negative aggregate funding rates, despite a deep price correction, could be a clue for a medium-term bullish reversal, similar to a pattern observed in April 2025.

QWhat was the key condition mentioned for a potential significant price rally in XRP to occur?

ASpot volume trends would need to undergo a major shift to enable such a rally.

QBased on the article, what were the two specific low figures reported for XRP network activity on July 9th and 10th, 2026?

AThe network saw only 25,350 and 24,887 daily active addresses on July 9th and 10th, 2026, respectively.

Lecturas Relacionadas

CEO Managing Multi-Million-Dollar Assets Speaks Out in Support of Bitcoin Bull Trend: "The Dollar Has No Bottom, Bitcoin Has No Ceiling"

Anthony Pompliano, Chairman and CEO of ProCap Financial, assessed the key factors behind the recent surge in the cryptocurrency market. A leading figure in the crypto ecosystem, Pompliano argues that the uptrend is driven by macroeconomic factors, monetary policy, and shifts in global capital flows. According to Pompliano, Bitcoin is the financial asset most sensitive to ongoing global money printing and currency devaluation. Central banks, particularly in the United States, are reportedly expanding monetary policy to address debt burdens and budget deficits, pushing investors towards assets with limited supply. This highlights Bitcoin, with its fixed supply of 21 million, as a digital store of value. Increased market liquidity and institutional investor interest are claimed to have accelerated this process. The entry of traditional financial institutions through spot Bitcoin ETFs and direct treasury investment strategies amplifies demand pressure on the limited supply, creating upward pricing momentum. Pompliano stated, "As long as they keep printing money, Bitcoin is going to continue to go up in the long term," adding: "There’s this saying that, ‘Because the dollar has no bottom, Bitcoin has no top.’ I think people were reminded of that again."

cryptonews.ruHace 10 min(s)

CEO Managing Multi-Million-Dollar Assets Speaks Out in Support of Bitcoin Bull Trend: "The Dollar Has No Bottom, Bitcoin Has No Ceiling"

cryptonews.ruHace 10 min(s)

$19.2 Billion Pours into Bitcoin ETFs: Bessent Doubles Bond Buyback, Ignites $2.74 Billion Short Squeeze in 48 Hours

**Headline:** $19.2 Billion Flows into Bitcoin ETFs: Treasury Doubles Bond Buys, Sparking 48-Hour Crypto Short Squeeze **Summary:** The crypto market experienced a sharp reversal driven by a confluence of macro events. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest weekly inflow of 2026 at $1.92 billion. The key trigger was the U.S. Treasury's surprise announcement to double its long-term bond repurchase program to $4 billion, which lowered long-end yields and sparked a massive $2.74 billion short squeeze over two days. This was amplified by a pro-crypto White House meeting with industry CEOs and the SEC's first formal proposal for crypto asset regulation. However, the rally's leveraged nature was exposed by a weekend flash crash where XRP plummeted 37%, leading to $1.71 billion in liquidations in six minutes. The market now watches for signals from the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium and the potential passage of the CLARITY Act by mid-September. While ETF inflows and the Treasury's move provided a significant boost, the event underscored underlying market fragility.

marsbitHace 24 min(s)

$19.2 Billion Pours into Bitcoin ETFs: Bessent Doubles Bond Buyback, Ignites $2.74 Billion Short Squeeze in 48 Hours

marsbitHace 24 min(s)

a16z Deep Dive: Stop Chasing the 'AI Smell', Here's a Practical Guide to Writing with AI

"Don't Obsess Over AI Detection: A Practical Guide to Writing Alongside AI" by Steph Zinn (a16z Crypto) This guide moves beyond the flawed premise that AI-generated text can be easily spotted by a set of "tells" and that these features automatically mean poor quality. Instead, it focuses on how writers and founders can use LLMs effectively by understanding, controlling, and editing the common stylistic tendencies of AI-assisted prose. The article breaks down AI writing "tells" into four key dimensions: **1. Rhetorical Features (Insight-Shaped Writing):** AI often produces semantically empty, "corporate-sounding" filler language—vague profundities, hedging phrases, excessive parallelism, and summary statements. The advice is to ruthlessly edit these out, using prompts to make language more specific and direct. **2. Voice Features (The Alexa Voice):** Default AI writing relies on a narrow, fungible vocabulary of low-friction, abstract words and cliché phrases that lack personality. While this generic voice is acceptable for support docs or mass communications, founders should preserve their unique voice for impactful writing. Use LLMs to identify and replace jargon, aiming for concrete, distinctive word choices. **3. Structural Features (Form Without Function):** AI tends towards over-structured text with excessive subheadings, lists, roadmaps, and the rigid "three-point" framework. While clear structure is good for readability and SEO, it shouldn't force ideas into unnatural containers. Choose a structure that serves the format and purpose, borrowing from effective examples. **4. Punctuation Features (Dash Panic):** The overuse of em dashes and colons has become a hallmark, but writers shouldn't avoid useful punctuation just to seem "human." The key is avoiding repetitive, distracting patterns. Use punctuation that is grammatically correct and supports the flow of your argument. The core argument is that many so-called AI flaws are just amplified versions of existing bad writing habits. The goal isn't to eliminate AI's role but to use it as a tool while maintaining editorial control. The final question shouldn't be "Can this be detected as AI?" but "Does this writing effectively do its job?"

marsbitHace 44 min(s)

a16z Deep Dive: Stop Chasing the 'AI Smell', Here's a Practical Guide to Writing with AI

marsbitHace 44 min(s)

Podcast Notes | Conversation with Tom Lee: Bitmine Acquiring Nearly 5% of Total ETH Supply Is Not the End Goal, ETH Price Target Set at $10,000

In a podcast interview, Tom Lee, Chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies, discusses the company's strategy to accumulate nearly 5% of the total Ethereum supply within 14 months, using equity financing and avoiding debt. BitMine has consistently purchased ETH for over 60 consecutive weeks, with recent weeks combining buybacks with purchases. The company's substantial ETH holdings generate approximately $300 million in annual staking rewards, covering operational costs like the dividends for its 9.5% perpetual preferred stock (BMNP). Lee positions ETH as a store-of-value asset, likening it to stocks or land, rather than a pure cash-flow instrument. Looking ahead, Lee suggests BitMine may continue buying beyond the 5% target if institutional adoption grows. He outlines a bullish price target for ETH: surpassing $5,000 in a new crypto bull cycle and potentially exceeding $10,000 within 1-2 years, driven by Wall Street tokenization and AI-related demand. The discussion also covers BitMine's evolution into an ecosystem player, funding Ethereum Foundation spin-offs and developing its Maven staking platform. Lee acknowledges his significant financial interests are tied to ETH's price and BitMine's performance. The interview provides a framework for evaluating ETH as a long-term asset, emphasizing staking yield sustainability and future institutional demand, while noting the uncertainties surrounding macro cycles and real-world adoption.

marsbitHace 44 min(s)

Podcast Notes | Conversation with Tom Lee: Bitmine Acquiring Nearly 5% of Total ETH Supply Is Not the End Goal, ETH Price Target Set at $10,000

marsbitHace 44 min(s)

Ripple's RLUSD Market Cap Exceeds $2 Billion, With Nearly $1 Billion on XRP Ledger

Ripple USD's ($RLUSD) market capitalization has surpassed $2 billion, with nearly $1 billion issued on the XRP Ledger. Launched in December 2024, the stablecoin is backed by reserves of cash and cash equivalents, attested monthly by Deloitte. Data shows $RLUSD's market cap at approximately $2.02 billion, split almost evenly between the XRP Ledger ($962.8M) and Ethereum ($1.05B). This represents an eight-fold increase since April 2025. The stablecoin has provided significant dollar liquidity to the XRP Ledger, with over $2.5B processed through RLUSD trading pairs. Ripple is expanding RLUSD's utility through payments integrations (including Mastercard), exchange listings, regional distribution deals, and support for institutional lending initiatives on the XRP Ledger. A new platform, Ripple Mint, also allows qualified institutions to manage RLUSD issuance and redemptions.

cryptonews.ruHace 1 hora(s)

Ripple's RLUSD Market Cap Exceeds $2 Billion, With Nearly $1 Billion on XRP Ledger

cryptonews.ruHace 1 hora(s)

Trading

Spot