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Japan is dragging the world down with it

Japan's 10-year government bond yield surpassed 3% for the first time since 1996. According to a Nomura Research Institute report, the primary driver of this global rise in long-term interest rates is Japan's domestic factors, not external influences. A key contributor is the heightened risk premium due to concerns over Japan's deteriorating fiscal situation, which outweighs the impact of inflation expectations and monetary policy shifts. The report identifies three main factors behind the yield surge: expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes, anticipation of a Bank of Japan policy rate increase, and significant risks from Japan's expanding fiscal budget. Notably, fiscal risk premiums are the largest single factor pushing yields higher. The Trump administration has unusually intervened in Japan's economic policy, urging both monetary tightening and fiscal consolidation. This move aims to mitigate potential global negative spillovers from a weak yen and rising Japanese bond yields. Nomura warns that this Japan-originated rise in global long-term rates poses systemic risks. It could increase government debt servicing costs, destabilize financial institutions' balance sheets, and depress risk asset prices, particularly in real estate and equities. Tech and AI-related stocks, being highly sensitive to interest rates, could see a significant cooling-off in investment enthusiasm. This scenario might trigger not just a gradual economic slowdown but a sudden deceleration, explaining the U.S. administration's direct intervention.

marsbit09/10 03:30

Japan is dragging the world down with it

marsbit09/10 03:30

Trump's Onshoring Plan Involving Hyperliquid Reaches $30 Million from North Korean Funds

This article reports on the use of the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid to launder over $30 million in Bitcoin by North Korean hackers over three weeks, according to blockchain analysis by Arkham. The activity coincides with efforts by former U.S. President Donald Trump and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to bring offshore derivatives exchanges under U.S. jurisdiction. Hyperliquid, which is negotiating U.S. market access via a potential deal with Kraken's parent company Payward and the regulated clearinghouse Bitnomial, has faced previous criticism for connections to North Korean wallets. While the platform denies any hack or loss of user funds, the incident highlights the regulatory challenge of applying U.S. sanctions and compliance rules—like customer verification and sanctions screening—to permissionless DeFi platforms. North Korea is estimated to have stolen billions in crypto, often to fund weapons programs. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid's token $HYPE saw a price surge following Trump's public comments on the platform, even as reports suggest other exchanges are calling for investigations into it for market manipulation and sanctions violations. The proposed U.S. access plan through Bitnomial is not yet CFTC-approved, and it remains unclear how Hyperliquid's architecture would block wallets linked to entities like Lazarus.

cryptonews.ru09/01 07:21

Trump's Onshoring Plan Involving Hyperliquid Reaches $30 Million from North Korean Funds

cryptonews.ru09/01 07:21

Bloomberg: How a16z Became the Key Force Behind U.S. AI Policy?

This article from Bloomberg details how venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) has become a dominant, behind-the-scenes force shaping U.S. artificial intelligence (AI) policy, particularly under the Trump administration. Through massive lobbying, close relationships with key figures like Donald Trump, and a network of former staff in government roles, a16z aggressively promotes a deregulatory agenda. The firm argues that strict rules would stifle innovation and harm U.S. competitiveness, positioning itself as a defender of small startups while its own massive portfolio benefits from a lax regulatory environment. a16z's chief lobbyist, Collin McCune, is often the first external call for White House officials and Republican aides considering AI legislation. The firm played a key role in supporting a Trump executive order that blocked states from enacting their own AI safety laws. Co-founder Marc Andreessen, a major Republican donor, wields significant influence through meetings and donations. Despite its "small tech" rhetoric, critics note a16z's substantial investments in giant tech companies and its opposition to any major new regulations. Its influence has made legislative compromise difficult, even causing friction with larger tech companies willing to negotiate. The firm is now focused on crafting federal AI standards designed to preempt state laws and endure beyond the current administration.

marsbit02/19 04:08

Bloomberg: How a16z Became the Key Force Behind U.S. AI Policy?

marsbit02/19 04:08

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