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Interview with PPP: How the World Cup Ignited the Prediction Market, and How to Find "Replicable Smart Money"?

Interview with PPP: World Cup Ignites Prediction Markets, How to Find “Replicable Smart Money”? With the World Cup underway, prediction markets are experiencing a historic surge in data and activity. However, most ordinary users struggle to achieve consistent profits amidst the volatility. Simply chasing "smart money" signals on social media is often ineffective due to slow manual execution. Even dedicated copy-trading tools can be misleading, as high total profits don't guarantee a strategy is suitable or sustainable for others to follow. Prediction market strategy platform PPP (Prediction Position Platform) argues that not all profitable addresses are fit for copying. Truly replicable "smart money" must demonstrate stable, long-term profitability across key metrics like win rate, max drawdown, and strategy consistency. PPP aims to solve this by building a system that structures complex on-chain data into actionable strategies for users. It employs a dual AI-modeling and manual-review process to analyze addresses based on performance, risk, capital allocation, and more, filtering out偶然性盈利 to identify statistically reliable strategies. The platform categorizes these strategies into two main products: a "Strategy Square" featuring long-term, vetted strategies with strict criteria like a six-month minimum track record, and a "Trading Leaderboard" highlighting shorter-term, high-performing opportunities from the past 30 days. Both are presented with clear style descriptions (e.g., "high implied win rate, high volatility"). Currently accessible via a Telegram Bot, PPP offers features like one-click trading, address copying, and an AI address analysis tool. It uses a subscription model and a non-custodial wallet. A trial run by the author yielded significant short-term gains, though subsequent drawdowns highlighted the importance of risk management and adjusting copy parameters per strategy. PPP’s core value lies not just in copy-trading, but in compiling and structuring混沌的交易信号 into replicable strategies, reducing information asymmetry in prediction markets. While it can’t guarantee future profits, it provides a more systematic, higher-probability entry point for users navigating the uncertain but opportunity-rich landscape, especially during events like the World Cup.

Odaily星球日报06/26 02:30

Interview with PPP: How the World Cup Ignited the Prediction Market, and How to Find "Replicable Smart Money"?

Odaily星球日报06/26 02:30

Telegram Takes Direct Control of TON, Social Traffic Rewrites the Public Chain Narrative

Telegram founder Pavel Durov announced that Telegram will replace the TON Foundation as the core driver and largest validator of The Open Network (TON). Key initiatives include a sixfold reduction in transaction fees, performance upgrades, and improved developer tools within the next few weeks. This marks a strategic shift from Telegram merely providing user access to deeply integrating TON into its platform's core infrastructure. The goal is to transform Telegram's massive social traffic into sustainable on-chain activity. While viral mini-apps like Notcoin have demonstrated Telegram's ability to drive user adoption, TON aims to support frequent, low-value transactions inherent to social platforms—such as tipping, in-app payments, and game rewards. Ultra-low fees and sub-second finality (0.6 seconds) are crucial to making blockchain interactions seamless and nearly invisible within the Telegram user experience. However, Telegram's increased central role raises questions about network decentralization. Durov argues that Telegram's participation will attract more large validators, thereby enhancing decentralization. TON also offers high annual staking rewards (18.8%), aiming to retain capital within its ecosystem. The fundamental challenge for TON is no longer leveraging Telegram's user base, but becoming an indispensable, seamless infrastructure layer for Telegram's everyday applications—moving from an adjacent chain to an embedded utility.

marsbit05/11 01:30

Telegram Takes Direct Control of TON, Social Traffic Rewrites the Public Chain Narrative

marsbit05/11 01:30

Telegram Takes Direct Control of TON, Social Traffic Reshapes Public Chain Narrative

Telegram's founder, Pavel Durov, has announced a major shift in the development of The Open Network (TON). Telegram will now become the core driver of TON, replacing the TON Foundation and becoming its largest validator. The focus will be on technical upgrades over the next few weeks, including slashing network fees by six times to near-zero and improving finality time to 0.6 seconds. This move signifies a deeper integration between Telegram and TON, moving beyond just providing a user base. The goal is to transform Telegram's vast social traffic and built-in features—like Mini Apps, payments, and bots—into sustainable, on-chain usage scenarios. The reduced fees and faster speeds are crucial for enabling the small, frequent transactions typical of social interactions. While this promises stronger execution and product alignment, it raises questions about centralization. Durov argues Telegram's involvement will attract more validators, enhancing decentralization, but the outcome remains to be seen. Additionally, TON's high annual staking reward of 18.8% aims to retain capital within the ecosystem. The key challenge for TON is no longer just leveraging Telegram's entry point, but becoming an invisible, seamless infrastructure layer within Telegram's daily use. Its success hinges on converting viral attention into lasting, embedded utility.

Odaily星球日报05/11 01:21

Telegram Takes Direct Control of TON, Social Traffic Reshapes Public Chain Narrative

Odaily星球日报05/11 01:21

TON Enters the Telegram Era: The On-Chain Experiment of Super Apps is Unfolding

The TON token recently surged nearly 120% in 4 days, approaching $3. This rally is primarily driven by Telegram founder Pavel Durov's announcement that Telegram will become the core driver of the TON network, replacing the TON Foundation and serving as its largest validator. This move signals a fundamental shift: Telegram is no longer just supporting TON from a distance but is formally taking over its governance and operations. This changes TON's valuation narrative from being a crypto project with Telegram's user base to becoming the foundational blockchain infrastructure for Telegram's future commercial ecosystem—transitioning from a crypto narrative to an internet-platform-level story. TON's recent technical upgrades focus on 10x faster speeds, 6x lower fees, and near-instant confirmations. These optimizations target Telegram's internal high-frequency, micro-transaction scenarios like tipping, bot services, and Mini App purchases. The goal is to enable seamless, near-zero-cost transactions for its nearly 1 billion users, making blockchain usage almost invisible—akin to platforms like WeChat Pay. TON's path is unique: it already has a massive user base and is building the blockchain system to serve it, aiming to onboard users into Web3 without them realizing it. The vision is to integrate wallet, payment, bot, and Mini App functionalities into a closed loop within Telegram, positioning TON as the value-exchange infrastructure for a super-app. In essence, this surge reflects a market reassessment: TON is emerging as the first blockchain ecosystem with a genuine super-app gateway. Its true competitors may not be other Layer 1 blockchains but global internet payment systems. With Telegram now fully committed, the experiment of on-chaining a super-app is underway.

marsbit05/08 09:37

TON Enters the Telegram Era: The On-Chain Experiment of Super Apps is Unfolding

marsbit05/08 09:37

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