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Notable Forecast from an Analytical Company Regarding Bitcoin (BTC): After This Date, a New Bull Season Could Begin!

Bitcoin continues to trade sideways around $64,000 amid ongoing uncertainty regarding U.S. monetary policy and geopolitical risks in the Middle East. As BTC struggles for direction, an analyst predicts the next major uptrend could commence after the U.S. midterm elections. João Wedson, founder and CEO of crypto analytics firm Alphractal, revisited the connection between Bitcoin's price movements and the U.S. election calendar in his latest analysis. Wedson claims that analyzing past market cycles reveals similar patterns in Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly around U.S. midterm and presidential elections. Historically, Bitcoin has faced headwinds leading up to midterms but tends to recover once election-related uncertainty subsides. Based on historical data, Bitcoin entered bear markets roughly a year before past midterm elections, only to initiate prolonged bull markets after the elections concluded. In some cycles, price bottoms formed just days before the vote, while in others, the low occurred immediately after. The analyst also noted presidential elections have a distinct impact: Bitcoin experiences strong rallies each time a president wins re-election and approaches the peak of its main cycle shortly after the presidential inauguration. As an example, Wedson pointed to XRP, which began a sharp rise on the day Donald Trump won the 2024 election and reached a local peak on January 20, 2025, his inauguration day.

cryptonews.ruAyer 11:56

Notable Forecast from an Analytical Company Regarding Bitcoin (BTC): After This Date, a New Bull Season Could Begin!

cryptonews.ruAyer 11:56

Raoul Pal: Bitcoin's 87% Correlation with Global Liquidity Outweighs Financial Results and News

Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision and former Goldman Sachs hedge fund manager, asserts that Bitcoin and major indices like the Nasdaq trade primarily based on global liquidity conditions, not fundamentals like earnings or news. He claims an 87% correlation between Bitcoin and global liquidity, with Nasdaq showing a 97% correlation. Global liquidity is measured by central bank balance sheets, the M2 money supply, and bank lending growth. Analysts at crypto market maker Keyrock developed a model supporting Pal's correlation claim, noting an eight-month lag between Treasury bill issuance and Bitcoin's price response. Pal's theory, which he detailed earlier this year, posits that central banks are forced to inject liquidity in a recurring cycle to manage global debt refinancing every four years. This forms the basis for his $450,000 Bitcoin price target, contingent on continued liquidity expansion. The high correlation suggests Bitcoin and tech stocks are trading as similar liquidity indicators rather than distinct asset classes. This view challenges narratives centered on Bitcoin's own supply dynamics, halving cycles, or adoption news. Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy has expressed a similar sentiment, downplaying the halving cycle's dominance in favor of capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, and sovereign reserves. It's noted that Pal's post does not include the original datasets or methodology. Furthermore, the correlation's strength has fluctuated in 2026, and Keyrock's model indicates an eight-month lag, meaning current correlations reflect past, not real-time, liquidity conditions. The future path of central bank balance sheet expansion remains a key test for Pal's thesis.

cryptonews.ru07/28 15:05

Raoul Pal: Bitcoin's 87% Correlation with Global Liquidity Outweighs Financial Results and News

cryptonews.ru07/28 15:05

Three AI tools predict XRP price on August 1st

"Three AI tools have made price predictions for XRP as of August 1st. Despite Bitcoin's struggles in July, XRP is currently trading at around $1.1, with a market cap of $68.9 billion and a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $575.7 million, indicating investor interest. To navigate the uncertain price dynamics, analysis was sought from three different AI agents using complex mathematical models and machine learning: 1. **CoinCodex's predictive algorithm** offered the most optimistic forecast. It predicts the average price of XRP in August 2026 will rise to $1.52, with a minimum not falling below $1.21, anticipating a strong influx of liquidity and a bullish sentiment. 2. **Changelly's AI agent** presented a more conservative and realistic outlook based on technical analysis. It forecasts an average August price of $1.18, with a monthly peak unlikely to exceed $1.21, suggesting consolidation without aggressive upward breaks. 3. **DigitalCoinPrice's neural network**, analyzing macroeconomic indicators and trading volumes, showed maximum caution. It predicts very low volatility, with the average price stabilizing at $1.11 and a maximum price also at $1.11. In summary, the AI tools present divergent views: one predicts confident growth above $1.50, another forecasts a slight increase, and the third anticipates a sideways trend (stagnation). This underscores a key rule of the cryptocurrency market: no algorithm offers a 100% guarantee. Investors should always conduct their own research and be aware of the risks."

cryptonews.ru07/27 16:42

Three AI tools predict XRP price on August 1st

cryptonews.ru07/27 16:42

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