Intraday Quantitative Sentiment Fluctuation Analysis Report — December 26, 2025
BTC Market Sentiment Analysis Report — 2025.12.26
Over the past 24 hours, BTC market sentiment exhibited a V-shaped pattern, starting stable, then declining, before rebounding. Overall sentiment was negative, with the CED (Crypto Emotion Index) dropping from an initial 12.27 to a low of -15.14, with a slight recovery to -13.05 by the end of the session.
Key情绪时段 (Emotional Phases):
- Morning (09:45–12:00): High volatility in sentiment (CED 12.27 → 7.12) with narrow price fluctuations.
- Afternoon to Evening (12:00–20:00): Sustained weakening of sentiment (CED 7.12 → -5.64), accompanied by a gradual price decline.
- Night (20:00–04:00): Intense sentiment swings (CED -5.64 ↔ 4.28) alongside significant price oscillations.
- Early Morning to Open (04:00–09:45): Sentiment plunged deeply (CED 1.86 → -13.05), resulting in a breakdown in price.
Extreme Sentiment and Price Correlation:
- Periods of extreme negative sentiment (CED < -10) showed a significantly higher probability of price declines, with an average drop of 0.12%.
- Neutral sentiment ranges (|CED| ≤ 10) showed minimal directional bias, with a slight average increase of 0.03%.
- Extreme sentiment phases often signal potential price reversals, particularly rebounds following intense negative sentiment.
Summary and Conclusions:
- Market sentiment remains deeply negative (CED = -13.05), reflecting severe lack of investor confidence.
- Emotional momentum has noticeably weakened, suggesting a possible consolidation or bottoming phase in the short term.
- A short-term support level has formed between 87,000–87,400; monitoring sentiment recovery is crucial.
- Prolonged extreme negative sentiment increases the risk of further downward movement.
marsbit12/26 02:26
