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Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound May Be Just a 'Breather' Rather Than a Reversal

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound More Likely a "Pause" Than a Reversal Following a sharp decline, Bitcoin's price has fallen into a key target range. While the macro environment has improved marginally with stronger US growth indicators and a weaker dollar, Bitcoin has failed to show a clear, sustainable reversal signal. The price action remains caught between macro improvements and insufficient technical repair. A critical technical change is the breach and loss of a major trend level that previously distinguished between a rebound and a structural downtrend. This former support has now turned into resistance. Without a compelling new narrative or clear catalyst, the recent price recovery is more likely a technical rebound within a downtrend rather than a genuine trend reversal. Technically, Bitcoin continues to trade below its 21-week moving average. A sustained break above this level is needed to confirm a trend reversal. Historically, when both medium and long-term support structures are broken, the market tends to enter a prolonged weak phase. Furthermore, the funding structure presents constraints. Despite the sharp price drop, ETF holdings have not decreased significantly. Since their launch, investors have bought approximately $54.3 billion worth of Bitcoin via ETFs at an average cost of $90,000. This has resulted in tens of billions in unrealized losses. This large volume of underwater positions is more likely to create selling pressure on any rebound rather than provide support. In conclusion, despite marginal macro improvements, the weak technical structure, crowded positioning, and declining participation suggest macro positives are unlikely to translate into sustained upward momentum in the short term. The current rebound is more likely a pause within a top formation, with selling pressure potentially overwhelming new buying interest. A strict risk management approach is advised.

Matrixport02/06 09:17

Matrixport Research: Bitcoin Breaches Key Support, Rebound May Be Just a 'Breather' Rather Than a Reversal

Matrixport02/06 09:17

Bitcoin Wave 3 Crash: What’s Next As Price Makes A Rebound?

Bitcoin's price rebounded cautiously to around $79,000 after finding support near $75,400, easing immediate selling pressure. However, technical analysis suggests this recovery is part of a larger bearish Elliott Wave structure. The cryptocurrency is believed to be in Intermediate Wave 3 of a downward impulse that began after peaking at $126,000 in October 2025, having already fallen roughly 41%. The analyst anticipates further downside, with a potential bottom forming between $60,000 and $63,000, possibly testing the 200-week moving average near $58,000. After this Wave 5 low, a counter-trend bear market rally toward the $90,000 to low-$100,000 range is projected before the next major decline.

bitcoinist02/04 00:02

Bitcoin Wave 3 Crash: What’s Next As Price Makes A Rebound?

bitcoinist02/04 00:02

‘Crypto is bottoming now’: Why Fundstrat’s Tom Lee expects a rebound

Top analysts are divided on the crypto market outlook. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee believes a rebound is imminent, citing aligned conditions for a market bottom, with key price levels at $77K for BTC and $2400 for ETH. He attributed recent declines to Fed chair confirmation but noted the sell-off exceeded expectations. In contrast, Galaxy’s Alex Thorn predicts further losses, suggesting BTC may fall toward the $50K 200-week moving average due to weak catalysts and macro uncertainty. Nansen’s Aurelie Barthere also shared a bearish view, citing potential quantitative tightening by the Fed. Despite whale accumulation at lower prices, caution is advised as current patterns resemble the 2021 cycle, with possible support at $70K.

ambcrypto02/03 23:02

‘Crypto is bottoming now’: Why Fundstrat’s Tom Lee expects a rebound

ambcrypto02/03 23:02

Bitcoin Price May Slide To $58,000, Galaxy Digital Warns

Galaxy Digital warns that Bitcoin's recent selloff may continue, potentially driving the cryptocurrency down toward $58,000 in the coming weeks or months. Analyst Alex Thorn points to on-chain data, weakening technical levels, and a lack of positive catalysts as key reasons for concern. The selloff, which saw a 15% drop late last month and triggered over $2 billion in long liquidations, pushed BTC below several important investor cost bases. Historically, drawdowns of this magnitude often extend toward 50% from the peak, which would imply a fall to approximately $63,000. Key levels to watch are the 200-week moving average and the realized price, both near the $58,000-$56,000 zone, which have acted as a gravitational pull in past cycles. Additionally, recent outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and a noticeable ownership "gap" in the $82,000–$70,000 range suggest there is light support, increasing the potential for a deeper decline. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $78,301.

bitcoinist02/03 20:02

Bitcoin Price May Slide To $58,000, Galaxy Digital Warns

bitcoinist02/03 20:02

Bitcoin Pattern From 2022 That Led To Crash To $20,000 Reappears

A technical analysis by Crypto Bullet suggests Bitcoin is mirroring a pattern from its 2022 cycle that preceded a major crash to $20,000. The current setup shows BTC retesting and getting rejected at the 100-day Moving Average (MA100), then pulling back to a support zone within an ascending channel, similar to 2022. After a short-term recovery that could push the price to $102,000, the analyst predicts a dramatic 23.5% crash to around $68,450, as downside momentum accelerates if Bitcoin fails to reclaim the 200-day Moving Average (MA200) as support. Another analyst, Tyrex, notes consolidation above $89,000 and a potential rally to $92,000, but warns the broader market sentiment is fearful despite a forming ascending channel.

bitcoinist01/24 20:02

Bitcoin Pattern From 2022 That Led To Crash To $20,000 Reappears

bitcoinist01/24 20:02

Bitcoin Demand Is Picking Up, But The Bear Market Still Holds

Bitcoin recently surged past $94,000, raising questions about a potential bull market return. However, analytics firm CryptoQuant asserts that Bitcoin remains in a bear market despite improving conditions. Although demand has become less negative and the price is approaching the 365-day moving average (around $101,000), it has not yet reclaimed this key technical level, which has historically acted as a resistance point during bear markets. On-chain data shows that while U.S. spot indicators briefly improved, ETF inflows remain weak and apparent demand has declined by approximately 67,000 BTC over the past month. Additionally, rising exchange inflows—reaching a seven-day average of 39,000 BTC—signal increased selling pressure. Thus, despite recent gains, Bitcoin is still considered to be in a bear cycle. As of writing, BTC is trading around $95,200 with little change over the past day.

bitcoinist01/18 04:01

Bitcoin Demand Is Picking Up, But The Bear Market Still Holds

bitcoinist01/18 04:01

Dogecoin Is Breakout Ready: Analyst Shows Major Target For The Meme Coin King

Technical analysis by Jonathan Carter indicates that Dogecoin is poised for a potential breakout from a prolonged descending channel that has constrained its price action since September 2025. Recent trading behavior shows weakening selling pressure, with DOGE pushing toward the upper trendline and reclaiming the 50-day moving average—a bullish signal. A confirmed breakout could trigger a rally toward initial targets in the mid-$0.15 range, followed by resistance levels at $0.18–$0.20, $0.24, and ultimately $0.28–$0.30. These short- to mid-term targets are achievable if bullish sentiment strengthens across crypto markets.

bitcoinist01/12 23:33

Dogecoin Is Breakout Ready: Analyst Shows Major Target For The Meme Coin King

bitcoinist01/12 23:33

Cardano Logs First Golden Cross of 2026 With ADA Price Up

Cardano (ADA) has recorded its first golden cross of 2026, a bullish technical pattern where the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average. This occurred on the 2-hour timeframe on January 4, generating optimism about potential price increases. A similar crossover is forming on the 4-hour chart, suggesting further bullish momentum if the trend continues. Analysts note that the golden cross is a lagging indicator, meaning the uptrend may have already begun. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 56.09, indicating strong conditions without being overbought, leaving room for further gains. Sustained volume and positive market sentiment could help ADA test higher resistance levels.

TheNewsCrypto01/07 19:00

Cardano Logs First Golden Cross of 2026 With ADA Price Up

TheNewsCrypto01/07 19:00

Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) Overcome $30 Resistance or Face a Short-Term Correction?

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is showing early signs of stabilization, trading near $27.38 with a modest 0.7% gain. After a prolonged downtrend since late October, the token is attempting to form a base near the $25–$26 support zone. Key resistance lies at the 50-day and 100-day moving averages around $31.7 and $37.5, which continue to slope downward, indicating the broader trend remains weak. The RSI is neutral in the mid-40s, suggesting eased selling pressure but limited buying strength. Critical support is at $25, with further downside possible to $23. A break above $28.5–$29.0 could signal improved near-term momentum, but the overall structure requires consolidation.

TheNewsCrypto01/07 13:38

Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) Overcome $30 Resistance or Face a Short-Term Correction?

TheNewsCrypto01/07 13:38

Monero – Why XMR buyers should wait for this potential opportunity

Monero (XMR) experienced a 7% rally during the Christmas period, rising from $432 to over $460, partly due to a slight decline in Bitcoin dominance. However, the bounce was accompanied by low liquidity and trading volume, making it vulnerable to a reversal. A potential buying opportunity may arise if XMR retests the $400–$420 support zone, which aligns with the 50-day Moving Average—a level that has historically acted as a rebound point. The MACD indicator is nearing a Death Cross, which could push the price toward this support area. A bounce from this level could target $470, representing a potential 15% gain. While the futures market shows no signs of overheating, broader market sentiment remains negative. A shift to positive sentiment could support a stronger recovery. A break below the 50-day MA would invalidate this outlook.

ambcrypto12/29 06:01

Monero – Why XMR buyers should wait for this potential opportunity

ambcrypto12/29 06:01

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