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XRP Price Forecast: Can the Rarest Monthly XRP Buy Signal Overcome Declining ETF Flows?

XRP Price Forecast: Can a Rare Buy Signal Overcome Declining ETF Flows? Analyst Ali Charts highlights a rare Tom Demark Sequential buy signal on the monthly XRP chart, which previously preceded massive rallies of 1,074% in 2020 and 973% in 2022. Currently, XRP is consolidating near the lower Bollinger Band at $1.01, with immediate resistance at the 20-day EMA of $1.0628. A monthly close above the key $1.06 level, where nearly 3 billion XRP changed hands, could pave the way for a bullish move toward $1.35 and then $1.64. On-chain data shows whales have accumulated over 380 million XRP in the past week, signaling confidence. However, XRP spot ETF inflows have slowed dramatically, hitting a yearly low of just $1.01 million for the week ending August 7th. In derivatives, long positions are absorbing most of the liquidation pain, though top traders remain net long. The bullish case requires holding $1.01 and a monthly close above $1.06 to validate the Demark signal. The bearish risk is a break below the psychological $1.00 level, which would invalidate the setup. The outcome hinges on whether the rare technical signal and whale accumulation can overcome the clear weakening in institutional ETF demand.

cryptonews.ru08/10 20:15

XRP Price Forecast: Can the Rarest Monthly XRP Buy Signal Overcome Declining ETF Flows?

cryptonews.ru08/10 20:15

Bitcoin ETFs Record First Net Inflow Month Since April

In July, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $172.4 million, ending a two-month streak of outflows according to SoSoValue data. This positive result occurred despite a volatile month-end, which saw a $265.4 million outflow on July 31st and a net weekly outflow of $61.53 million. This inflow follows nearly $7 billion in withdrawals over the prior two months, with June alone experiencing a record $4.5 billion net outflow since the ETFs launched in January 2024. Despite July's gain, the cumulative net outflow for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs since the start of 2026 remains at approximately $5.29 billion. Only three months in 2026—March, April, and July—have seen inflows, totaling $3.46 billion. Since inception, these products have attracted $51.32 billion in investments, with total net assets reaching $76.29 billion by the end of July. Spot Ethereum ETFs outperformed in July, posting a net inflow of $365.2 million and marking four consecutive weeks of positive flows. This was their second profitable month of 2026 after April. However, their cumulative net flow for the year is still negative at about $1.1 billion. Other cryptocurrency ETFs also saw inflows, with XRP products attracting $27.3 million (bringing their year-to-date total to ~$343 million) and Solana products receiving $14.6 million.

cryptonews.ru08/01 19:27

Bitcoin ETFs Record First Net Inflow Month Since April

cryptonews.ru08/01 19:27

Blackrock Accounts for 79% of Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, Totaling $233 Million

Institutional demand for Bitcoin has returned strongly, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting over $233 million in inflows, breaking a previous four-day outflow streak. BlackRock's IBIT ETF dominated, accounting for nearly 80% ($183.38M) of the total Bitcoin ETF inflows. No ETFs reported outflows. Trading volume reached $1.73 billion, with total net assets at $78.76 billion. Ethereum ETFs also saw a net inflow of $13.29 million, led by BlackRock's ETHA. XRP ETFs attracted $5.98 million, bringing total net assets back to $1 billion, while Solana ETFs saw a modest $403,890 inflow. The data indicates a broad return of risk appetite across the cryptocurrency market, extending beyond Bitcoin.

cryptonews.ru07/31 20:45

Blackrock Accounts for 79% of Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, Totaling $233 Million

cryptonews.ru07/31 20:45

Institutional Analysis on Gold Price: Persistent Support at $4000, Has Gold Hit Bottom?

Despite a sharp 11.7% drop in June and repeated tests near $4000/oz, State Street Investment Management maintains its $5000/oz gold price target for early 2027. The report acknowledges near-term headwinds: Western ETF outflows reached $18.7bn over four months, higher U.S. interest rate expectations increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, and cash in money market funds offers competition. Consequently, the probability of a consolidation scenario ($4000-$4750) has been raised to 25%. The core bullish structure remains intact, primarily driven by sustained central bank buying. Global central banks are expected to purchase 680-820 tonnes in 2026, providing a stable demand floor for diversification away from the U.S. dollar and Treasury debt. Gold's share of global reserves has now surpassed that of U.S. Treasuries. Asian and Chinese physical demand offers additional support, with strong imports and local premiums. However, for a sustained rally towards $5000, a halt in Western ETF outflows is seen as crucial. The base case (70% probability) still projects a move to $4750-$5500 within 6-9 months, but the path is likely to be volatile, with high rates initially capping upside momentum.

marsbit07/28 04:31

Institutional Analysis on Gold Price: Persistent Support at $4000, Has Gold Hit Bottom?

marsbit07/28 04:31

Bitcoin: Rising oil prices keep BTC in check – Long-term holders in limbo

Bitcoin faces mixed signals as it tests $64,500. While traditional investors added modest inflows, long-term holders (those holding coins for 155+ days) remain a focal point of caution. On-chain data shows this group is still selling at a loss, with their Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) at 0.94, indicating 6% losses—a significant improvement from earlier 27% losses but not yet a sign of full conviction. Market activity is currently dominated by short-term holders, as indicated by the Exchange Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, suggesting a more relaxed selling phase. Exchange reserves have also declined slightly. However, macroeconomic risks pose a headwind. Rising oil prices, driven by Middle East tensions, threaten to reignite inflation concerns. This could dampen the risk-on sentiment crucial for Bitcoin and potentially lead US investors to reduce exposure via spot Bitcoin ETFs. The market's recovery hinges on balancing these improving on-chain dynamics against persistent external economic pressures.

ambcrypto07/21 04:02

Bitcoin: Rising oil prices keep BTC in check – Long-term holders in limbo

ambcrypto07/21 04:02

Why former Bank of America strategist sees an Ethereum ‘tactical bottom’

Stephen Suttmeier, former Bank of America strategist, identifies a potential "tactical bottom" for Ethereum (ETH), contingent on the price holding above $1690-$1700 and reclaiming $1800. A decisive move above $1800, turning the 50-day moving average into support, could target the 200-day MA near $2200, implying a 25% upside. This technical view finds some support from other analysts and a double-bottom pattern on the daily chart. However, on-chain data shows significant headwinds. Exchange selling pressure has surged, with over 220K ETH moved to exchanges recently, and whale selling persists. Furthermore, U.S. spot ETH ETFs, after days of inflows, recorded a $52 million net outflow due to macro risks like U.S.-Iran tensions and bond market volatility. In summary, while technicals suggest a bullish reversal is possible if ETH sustains above $1800, sustained selling pressure and macroeconomic risks threaten to invalidate the optimistic "tactical bottom" thesis.

ambcrypto07/10 18:03

Why former Bank of America strategist sees an Ethereum ‘tactical bottom’

ambcrypto07/10 18:03

Rare monthly buy signal flashes for Ethereum—but the bullish case isn’t clear-cut

Ethereum (ETH) has seen recent price gains of 8.05% in the past week and 4.9% in the past day. However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, evidenced by significant outflows of $358.3 million from its spot ETFs since mid-June 2026 and the loss of key support levels at $3.2k and $2.0k. Despite the downtrend, market data shows a potential short-term squeeze. The taker buy-sell ratio and Open Interest have risen, indicating aggressive buyer orders and renewed speculative interest in perpetual swap markets. This activity could fuel a short squeeze, though a slowdown in Open Interest would suggest the bounce is merely due to short covering, not sustained demand. A critical long-term support level is the -1.0σ MVRV band at $1,549. Meanwhile, a rare monthly TD Sequential buy signal has flashed for July—similar signals in the past preceded major rallies of 235% and 182%. However, the persistent negative ETF flows and weak market sentiment cast doubt on whether a major bottom is forming. The bullish case is not clear-cut, and time will tell if further decline is ahead.

ambcrypto07/02 22:32

Rare monthly buy signal flashes for Ethereum—but the bullish case isn’t clear-cut

ambcrypto07/02 22:32

Wintermute Market Weekly: Iran War Ends, Inflation Meets Expectations, BTC Rebounds to Lower 60ks But Don’t Rush to Buy the Dip

**Wintermute Market Weekly: BTC Rebounds to $60K Lows, But Caution Advised** This week saw a broad market rebound, primarily driven by two converging factors: a US CPI inflation reading that met expectations (4.2% YoY) and former President Trump's announcement of a deal to end the Iran conflict. The latter triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, reducing geopolitical risk premiums and easing inflation fears. Consequently, risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies rallied, with Bitcoin recovering from lows around $60,000 to close the week up 1.9%, while altcoins gained 3.1%. Despite the price bounce, the underlying liquidity picture for crypto remains weak. Key funding channels—stablecoin flows, ETF inflows, and Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) activity—show no signs of structural improvement. ETF outflows recently hit a record streak, and DAT assets have declined significantly. The rally from $60K to $83K earlier is now viewed as a bear-market rally that has failed. The current environment is characterized by low directional conviction and choppy, range-bound trading, likely persisting into summer. The report advises caution against aggressively buying the dip. While the $60K area offers attractive long-term risk/reward, a sustained bull run requires a visible turnaround in capital inflows, which hasn't materialized. The upcoming FOMC meeting and Powell's commentary, alongside the formal Iran deal signing, are noted as near-term catalysts. The core takeaway is to watch fund flows rather than price action and avoid being whipsawed by volatility before clear signs of institutional or retail capital returning emerge.

marsbit06/17 04:00

Wintermute Market Weekly: Iran War Ends, Inflation Meets Expectations, BTC Rebounds to Lower 60ks But Don’t Rush to Buy the Dip

marsbit06/17 04:00

Bitcoin Surges Then Retreats, CLARITY Act Rally Quickly Fizzles Out: What's Next to Watch?

Bitcoin's price surge following the U.S. Senate Banking Committee's advancement of the CLARITY Act was short-lived, with gains in crypto-related stocks like Coinbase and Bitcoin itself quickly erasing. The primary driver was a dominating macro environment, where rising 10-year Treasury yields (hitting a one-year high of 4.59%) and tightening financial conditions overshadowed the regulatory catalyst. This demonstrates that for sustained positive price action, legislative progress must coincide with favorable macro conditions. The article argues that if passed, the CLARITY Act could most significantly benefit "AI utility tokens"—digital assets tied to sufficiently decentralized networks with real-world use cases, such as those in decentralized computing or verifiable AI data layers. However, it cautions that many projects use "AI" as a marketing label without substantial utility. Looking ahead, key factors to monitor include: the trajectory of the 10-year Treasury yield, ongoing political negotiations (like ethics compromises for the bill's passage), betting market odds on Polymarket for the bill's likelihood, and sustained inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs to gauge genuine institutional conviction beyond headline-driven trading. The bill still faces a long legislative path before potentially becoming law.

marsbit05/18 09:28

Bitcoin Surges Then Retreats, CLARITY Act Rally Quickly Fizzles Out: What's Next to Watch?

marsbit05/18 09:28

What Will End the AI Bull Market: Positioning or Narrative?

Who Will End the AI Bull Market: Overcrowded Positions or the Narrative Itself? The US stock market's relentless rally, led by AI-themed stocks, faces a growing contradiction. Technically, positioning appears dangerously stretched: the S&P 500's six-week winning streak is historically extreme, and Goldman Sachs's Risk Appetite Indicator signals potential for a pullback. Many hot sectors are in extreme overbought territory, with mechanical fund flows suggesting the market is at or near maximum long positioning, limiting upside and creating pressure for a reset. However, shorting is difficult due to volatile exit timing and the risk of a sharp short squeeze. Fundamentally, the AI narrative remains robust, propping up sentiment. Strong corporate earnings, contained inflation concerns, and absorbed geopolitical risks provide no clear catalyst for a bear market. Yet, market performance has become excessively concentrated. Without AI contributions, broader market returns would be mediocre; semiconductors alone accounted for nearly 40% of gains since March. The market has shifted into a "greed mode," overlooking previous concerns about AI costs, energy bottlenecks, pricing wars, and security issues. The core risk is the interplay between these two factors. Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott warns that a sudden, DeepSeek-style negative catalyst could trigger a Nasdaq limit-down event, with semiconductor ETFs potentially plunging 15% in a day. The same mechanical flows that fueled the rally could violently reverse and amplify a downturn. Thus, the bull market's fragility lies in the tension between immediate technical vulnerability from crowded trades and a deeper, narrative-driven collapse should the AI story falter.

marsbit05/14 10:34

What Will End the AI Bull Market: Positioning or Narrative?

marsbit05/14 10:34

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