Crypto speculation at 2024 lows as TradFi leveraged ETFs hit record $239B

cointelegraphPublicado a 2025-12-12Actualizado a 2025-12-12

Resumen

Crypto speculative activity has hit a near two-year low in 2024, with memecoin dominance falling significantly, according to CryptoQuant. In contrast, traditional finance leveraged ETFs reached a record $239 billion in assets under management in Q3 2025. This shift indicates declining interest in high-risk digital assets and a move toward regulated TradFi products. Crypto investor sentiment remains in "Fear" territory following the October market crash, and smart money traders are betting against memecoins while showing more interest in assets like Ether and tokens with real utility. The memecoin market is described as "dead," with concerns around fair launches and liquidity further dampening interest. A strong catalyst would be needed to revive retail speculation.

Traditional finance leveraged investment products are at a record high, but the appetite for speculative assets remains muted in the cryptocurrency market.

Speculative appetite is cooling among crypto investors, with memecoin dominance vs altcoins hitting a near two-year low last seen in February 2024, according to crypto data platform CryptoQuant.

“Memecoin markets are dead,” wrote CryptoQuant co-founder and CEO, Ki Young Ji, in a Thursday X post.

Memecoin dominance in altcoin markets. Source: Ki Young Ju

In contrast, speculative appetite is soaring among equities investors, as traditional leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) hit a new all-time high of $239 billion in assets under management during the third quarter of 2025, according to Bloomberg data shared by Barchart.

The dynamic signals a waning enthusiasm for high-risk digital assets, as speculative appetite is recalibrating to regulated, TradFi leveraged products in less volatile equity markets.

Source: Bloomberg/Barchart

The market dynamic signals a maturation in crypto and equities markets, as risk-taking is “expressed through regulated, familiar products with defined safeguards,” not memecoins that suffer from “thin” liquidity and regulatory uncertainty, Lacie Zhang, market analyst at Bitget Wallet, told Cointelegraph.

”A revival would likely require a strong catalyst — such as a new viral narrative, major exchange listings, or decisive price action — to reignite retail interest.”

Related: Bitcoin treasuries stall in Q4, but largest holders keep stacking sats

Crypto investor sentiment yet to recover from October market crash

The appetite of crypto investors remains muted for most cryptocurrencies since the record market crash at the beginning of October, not just for memecoins.

Crypto investor sentiment saw a small recovery from the “Extreme Fear” of 10 recorded on Nov. 23, but the current 29 reading still signals “Fear,” and remains far below the 62 “Greed” level from Oct. 7, before the $19 billion crypto market crash occurred, according to CoinMarketCap's Fear & Greed Index.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index, 1-year chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

Meanwhile, the crypto industry’s best-performing traders by returns, who are tracked as “smart money” traders on Nansen’s blockchain intelligence platform, are betting on the decline of the leading memecoins and most cryptocurrencies.

Smart money was net short on Fartcoin (FART) for $3.5 million and net short on the Pump.fun (PUMP) token for $1.5 million, Nansen data shows.

However, the cohort is betting on more upside for Ether (ETH) and decentralized exchange Hyperliquid’s (HYPE) token, signaling a preference for tokens with real revenue-generating blockchain protocols.

Smart money traders top perpetual futures positions on Hyperliquid. Source: Nansen

Related: Crypto nears its ‘Netscape moment’ as industry approaches inflection point

The positioning from this cohort may also signal investor fatigue with the memecoin launches of the past cycle, as troubling data is emerging about some of these coins.

On Thursday, blockchain data from Bubblemaps claimed that about 30% of the Pepe (PEPE) token’s genesis supply was bundled under an entity that sold $2 million a day after the coin’s debut, casting doubt on the memecoin’s fair-launch premise.

Magazine: Memecoin degeneracy is funding groundbreaking anti-aging research

Lecturas Relacionadas

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

China's A-share market recently faced selling pressure, especially in tech sectors, initially triggered by a global tech sell-off that began in South Korea. However, the article argues this is a case of "mistaken injury" and highlights the market's underlying resilience. This resilience stems from three main pillars: **1) Tech Sector Fundamentals:** Unlike Korea's market dominated by a few memory chip stocks, China's tech sector is diversified across computing, communications, electronics, and semiconductors, supported by dual narratives of global AI supply chains and domestic substitution. Core areas like optical modules and fiber optics continue to show strong earnings growth. **2) "National Team" Support:** State-backed institutions and large corporations have made significant market purchases and announced buybacks, providing liquidity and signaling confidence. This is seen as a stabilizing policy signal, often associated with market bottoms. **3) Broader Market Pillars:** Other major sectors are showing endogenous recovery momentum. Consumer stocks benefit from stabilizing CPI and signs of sector recovery (e.g., liquor price hikes). Cyclical sectors like aluminum have high earnings, potential price increases due to tight supply, and low valuations. The financial sector offers stable dividends and low valuations. The conclusion is that the sell-off was driven by external contagion, not a collapse in fundamentals. With strong policy support and recovering momentum across key sectors, the A-share market possesses the toughness to regain stability.

marsbitHace 7 min(s)

Misjudged A-Shares: Resilience, Expectations, and Confidence

marsbitHace 7 min(s)

The Clarity Act's Journey Through Congress: The Thorny Path of Bipartisan Compromise in the U.S.

The U.S. Congress is struggling to advance the crypto market structure bill known as the Clarity Act, with bipartisan compromise proving difficult. Key hurdles include unresolved disputes over "yield" products and, more critically, the inclusion of strong ethics provisions for elected officials—a non-negotiable demand for many Democrats. While a compromise on yield was reached in May, securing only limited Democratic support in committee, the separate Senate Agriculture Committee version later passed with no Democratic votes due to the ethics impasse. As Republicans push for a full Senate vote in July, demands for ethics rules have expanded, and other contentious issues like developer protections and concerns from law enforcement and large banks further complicate negotiations. Despite consensus on the need for legislation, the path forward is unclear. Recent discussions between senators and White House officials aim to find acceptable ethics language. Some lawmakers question whether a compromise text can garner enough bipartisan support, with one Democrat stating the current proposal lacks the strong ethics provisions required for their vote. Potential short-term goals for the crypto community include symbolic Senate action before the August recess, a longer-term aim for passage by 2026, or establishing a detailed framework that addresses ethics and other compromises. The process remains arduous, relying on the traditional, vote-by-vote effort to build bipartisan support.

marsbitHace 26 min(s)

The Clarity Act's Journey Through Congress: The Thorny Path of Bipartisan Compromise in the U.S.

marsbitHace 26 min(s)

Are Kalshi and Polymarket Founders at Odds? This Business Rivalry Is More Brutal Than You Think

"The Rivalry Between Kalshi and Polymarket Founders Turns Bitter and Litigious" The intense feud between Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, and Shayne Coplan, founder of Polymarket, has escalated far beyond typical business competition into personal animosity and regulatory battles. Both lead billion-dollar prediction market platforms, but their approaches differ sharply. Kalshi positions itself as the compliant operator, securing U.S. regulatory approval before launching. In contrast, Polymarket initially operated offshore, allowing U.S. users to access its platform via VPN, which drew regulatory scrutiny. The conflict reached a peak in November 2024 when FBI agents raided Coplan's New York apartment. While Coplan publicly blamed political motives, his team privately suspected Kalshi was involved. According to sources, Kalshi's lawyers had previously reported Polymarket's operations to federal prosecutors, highlighting its accessibility to U.S. users despite a ban. This incident fueled mutual accusations and underhanded tactics, including social media smear campaigns and attempts to sabotage each other's major business deals. Their rivalry also played out in Washington, influencing regulatory debates. Kalshi actively lobbied against Polymarket's practices, framing them as illegal and unethical. Polymarket, after facing a CFTC fine and investigation, later acquired a licensed U.S. firm to launch a domestic app, regaining a foothold. Despite the hostility, both companies have seen massive growth, with combined trading volumes soaring. However, increased regulatory scrutiny, particularly around insider trading on Polymarket's platform, continues to pose challenges. The founders' deep-seated mutual disdain ensures their battle for market dominance remains as much a personal vendetta as a commercial one.

marsbitHace 35 min(s)

Are Kalshi and Polymarket Founders at Odds? This Business Rivalry Is More Brutal Than You Think

marsbitHace 35 min(s)

Trading

Spot
活动图片