Bitcoin Rebounds After Third Fed Rate Cut — Is a $100K Rally Before 2026 in Play?

ccn.comPublicado a 2025-12-12Actualizado a 2025-12-12

Resumen

Following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s third consecutive interest rate cut, Bitcoin rebounded after an initial decline, rising over 2% in 24 hours to trade around $92,291. The cuts, totaling 75 basis points since September, are seen as long-term supportive for risk assets like Bitcoin, though short-term reaction has followed a “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern. Despite strong inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, BTC briefly fell below $90,000 post-announcement before recovering. Analysts warn the rebound may be temporary, with technical indicators suggesting a potential deeper market correction of 17–29% if key support levels are broken.

Bitcoin rebounded on Friday after slipping sharply following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s third interest rate cut in as many months, as investors weighed the long-term impact of looser monetary policy.

Following the cut, BTC rose more than 2% over the past 24 hours to trade around $92,291 at the time of reporting, recovering from a brief dip below the $90,000 mark.

Is a rally possible before the end of 2026?

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Fed Rate Cuts

The Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates by a total of 75 basis points over the past three months, a move widely viewed as supportive for risk assets over the long term.

The first Fed rate cut came on Sept. 17, when the Fed lowered its target range to 4.00%–4.25% at its September meeting.

This was followed by a second cut on Oct. 29, bringing the range down to 3.75%–4.00%.

Most recently, on Dec. 10, the Fed reduced rates again to 3.50%–3.75%.

According to market intelligence platform Santiment, each of the three Fed rate cuts triggered a short-term “buy the rumor, sell the news” reaction in Bitcoin and crypto markets.

Santiment noted that such pullbacks are often followed by a rebound once volatility subsides, adding that signs of mild sell-offs can sometimes signal that post-announcement declines are nearing an end.

“Thus far, this latest rate cut has been no different,” it wrote.

Bitcoin Price Action After the Latest Cut

Bitcoin fell more than 3% on Thursday following the Fed’s December rate decision, briefly slipping below $90,000 before stabilizing around $90,025.

The decline occurred despite strong inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds throughout the week.

However, Bitcoin later rebounded, climbing more than 2% over the past 24 hours to around $92,291, as buyers stepped back into the market.

Technical Warnings From Analysts

Some analysts cautioned that the rebound may be temporary.

Valdrin Tahiri, an analyst at CCN, said the broader crypto market is showing signs of a potential final leg lower based on Elliott Wave analysis.

According to Tahiri, the total crypto market capitalization has completed a five-wave downward structure from its all-time high in October, with the market potentially having just finished wave four.

“If TOTALCAP loses the channel support, the next leg down could be steep, confirming that wave five has begun,” he wrote.

This could trigger another decline in the crypto market of between 17% and 29%, he said.

Tahiri added that traders should closely monitor the channel’s lower boundary, as it will determine whether the current pullback remains a short-term dip or develops into a deeper market breakdown.

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Criptos en tendencia

Lecturas Relacionadas

Bitcoin Boom in Full Swing: Saylor's Latest Statement Fuels Buying Speculation

MicroStrategy's Executive Chairman Michael Saylor has fueled speculation about a new Bitcoin purchase by posting "Bitcoin Drive engaged" on August 2, accompanied by the company's customary purchase tracker. This aligns with his pattern of hinting at treasury changes ahead of weekly reports. The accompanying report showed MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings at 843,775 BTC, with an average cost of $75,653 per coin and an unrealized loss of -$10.58B. A similar signal preceded the company's July 27 announcement, strengthening expectations for a treasury update on Monday. However, MicroStrategy's real-time ledger reflects two recent Bitcoin sales totaling 3,588 BTC, reducing holdings from 847,363 BTC to the current 843,775 BTC. The company stated these sales funded preferred stock dividends and replenished its U.S. dollar reserve. Recent reports indicate the company made no Bitcoin purchases the week ending July 26 while increasing its dollar reserve to approximately $3.75B. The company faces financial headwinds after reporting an $8.33B operating loss for Q2 2026, including an $8.32B unrealized loss on its digital assets. Management may sell up to $1.25B more in Bitcoin to meet cash obligations. The expected Monday update will reveal if the "Bitcoin Drive" signal marks a return to accumulation as MicroStrategy balances its massive Bitcoin stash against growing cash commitments.

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