AAVE Flags a Downside Move: Bearish Target Near $130

TheNewsCryptoPublicado a 2025-12-30Actualizado a 2025-12-30

Resumen

AAVE is experiencing a bearish trend, with its price declining by 1.42% and trading around $150.19. It has broken below a descending flag pattern, with key support levels at $149 and $142, and a potential downside target near $130. Technical indicators, including MACD, Chaikin Money Flow, and Bull Bear Power, all signal strong selling pressure and continued bearish momentum. The RSI at 40.79 suggests weak to neutral momentum with limited buying strength. If the downtrend persists, AAVE could fall below $145.32, potentially reaching $140.12. A shift to bullish momentum would require breaking above the $155.78 resistance level.

With the prolonged bearish momentum, the crypto market has been moving in all possible ways. All major assets have lit up the red candlesticks, losing momentum. The largest asset, Bitcoin (BTC), is trading near $87.7K, and Ethereum (ETH), the largest altcoin, hovers at $2.9K. Turning attention toward the altcoin pack, the AAVE price has slipped by 1.42%.

The asset opened the day trading at a high range of $152.37.With the bearish encounter, the AAVE price has dropped toward the low of $148.66. If the asset continues to lose momentum, the price movement could see more downside correction within the market.

Currently, AAVE trades at $150.19, with the market cap at $2.29 billion. Meanwhile, the trading volume is down by 19.22% to $172.74 million. Additionally, the Ali chart shows AAVE formed a descending flag pattern. It is consolidated in a narrow range. It has recently broken below the lower trend line, and the key support levels are at $149, $142, with a potential target near $130.

Is AAVE Set for Further Downside?

AAVE’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and signal lines are found below the zero line, showing the active bearish momentum. As long as the lines stay below zero, downside risk remains higher. A potential shift occurs only if they start moving back above the zero line.

Significantly, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator value at -0.13 reflects the selling pressure in the market. Notably, the capital is flowing out of the asset, and distribution is happening rather than accumulation. If it moves back toward zero, it might ease the selling pressure.

The Bull Bear Power (BBP) reading of -1.40 indicates strong bearish pressure. Notably, it is pushing the price well below as the downside momentum is dominant. Moreover, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) of AAVE at 40.79 suggests weak to neutral momentum, which leans slightly to the bearish side. The asset is not oversold yet, but the buying strength remains limited, hinting at consolidation.

The recent trading pattern of the AAVE/USDT pair points to the downside price trajectory. It could fall below the $145.32 support range, and an extended loss would invite the death cross to take place, driving the price toward $140.12. Assuming the AAVE price has changed the gear to bullish, it might climb to the resistance range at $155.78. Further upside pressure could trigger the emergence of the golden cross and likely send the asset’s price above $160.59.

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Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat is the current trading price of AAVE and how much has it declined?

AAAVE is currently trading at $150.19, having declined by 1.42%.

QWhat technical pattern has AAVE formed according to the Ali chart?

AAccording to the Ali chart, AAVE has formed a descending flag pattern and has recently broken below the lower trend line.

QWhat are the key support levels and the potential bearish target for AAVE mentioned in the article?

AThe key support levels are at $149 and $142, with a potential bearish target near $130.

QWhat do the MACD and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicators suggest about AAVE's momentum?

AThe MACD and signal lines are below the zero line, indicating active bearish momentum. The CMF value of -0.13 reflects selling pressure and capital flowing out of the asset.

QWhat is the significance of the Bull Bear Power (BBP) reading and the RSI level for AAVE?

AThe BBP reading of -1.40 indicates strong bearish pressure, pushing the price down. The RSI at 40.79 suggests weak to neutral momentum leaning slightly bearish, indicating limited buying strength and potential consolidation.

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UBS: The Crowdedness of A-Share Tech Stocks Is Far From Reaching Historical Peaks

UBS: A-share tech stocks still far from peak crowding levels A-shares' technology sector has seen a strong rebound, with trading activity hitting record highs, raising concerns about market crowding. However, UBS Securities argues that a key indicator of institutional positioning suggests the current crowding level remains well below historical peaks. While the large-cap tech sector's share of total A-share trading volume and market capitalization have reached historical highs, the overweight ratio of domestic mutual funds in this sector stood at 9.9% in Q1 2026. This is down from 11.6% in Q3 2025 and significantly lower than the historical peak of 14.1% in Q4 2015. It also pales in comparison to the historical peak overweight of 18.7% for the consumer sector. UBS notes that typical cycles from a low to a peak in fund overweighting last about three years, and the current outperformance of the tech/growth style has lasted less than two years since the policy pivot in September 2024. UBS expects A-share earnings recovery to accelerate, providing fundamental support. It forecasts 2026 A-share profit growth to rise to 11% from 3.9% in 2025. Non-financial A-share profits grew 11.8% YoY in Q1 2026, with gross and net profit margins at their highest since 2023. Persistent fund inflows, the expansion of thematic ETFs, and a recovery in private fund issuance are supporting market liquidity. In tactical allocation, UBS favors growth and cyclical styles under its "slow bull" base case, with overweight ratings on six sectors: Electronics (benefiting from semiconductor inventory recovery and AI innovation), Communications (driven by AI computing demand), Machinery (aided by domestic capex recovery), Non-ferrous Metals (due to rising copper/aluminum prices), Chemicals (supported by anti-involution policies), and Electrical Equipment (driven by policy support and AI data center power demand).

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