CryptoQuant: Bitcoin Needs a Breakout Above $81,700

cryptonews.ruPublicado a 2026-09-13Actualizado a 2026-09-13

Resumen

CryptoQuant states that Bitcoin needs to break and hold above $81,700 to confirm a new bull market. Despite a 24% gain over two weeks, BTC price has stalled, trading around $77,100. Analysts identify key resistance levels: the strongest near-term zone is $77,100-$80,200, followed by the 365-day moving average near $81,700—a historical benchmark for bull cycle starts. Further resistance lies at $83,600 and $88,700. Support is seen at the 200-day MA around $70,000 and a significant demand zone of $62,000-$65,000. While the overall outlook remains bullish, the CryptoQuant Bull Score Index has dropped from 80 to 60, indicating a slight deterioration; sustaining momentum requires absorbing sell-side pressure and boosting demand. Other analysts note BTC is currently squeezed between large buying walls from long-term holders at $84,000-$87,000 and short-term holders at $62,000-$65,000.

To confirm a new bull market, Bitcoin needs to consolidate above $81,700, according to a conclusion reached by CryptoQuant.

Read the full report ⤵️https://t.co/Nrp27VZ4Ap

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) September 11, 2026

Over the past two weeks, the leading cryptocurrency has gained 24%, but the rally has stalled: the price has been trading in the range of $76,000-$82,000. At the time of publication, the asset is trading around $77,100.

A Strong Resistance Zone Ahead

CryptoQuant's Head of Research Julio Moreno identified the nearest and strongest on-chain resistance zone as the $77,100-$80,200 corridor. According to his estimate, in 2026, long-term holders sold an average of up to 539,000 $BTC over a 30-day period within this range.

The next level is the 365-day moving average, which is around $81,700. Moreno noted that in past cycles, a bull market "officially" began after the price closed above this value. If Bitcoin fails to hold above this level, it could continue trading within a range.

Further, the analyst highlighted resistance at $83,600 based on the 3x Metcalfe band indicator (an estimate based on network activity). Another potential selling level is around $88,700. This corresponds to the upper boundary of the trader realized price model—a historical profit-taking zone for active participants.

If the market moves lower, CryptoQuant sees support around $70,000—where the 200-day moving average passes. The company identified another demand zone in the $62,000-$65,000 range: according to its estimate, in 2026, long-term holders purchased about 476,000 $BTC there.

Searching for New Demand

CryptoQuant believes the overall picture for Bitcoin remains bullish. For a new upward impulse, the market needs to absorb the overhang of supply and break through key resistance levels.

An analyst under the pseudonym Darkfost pointed out that CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index has dropped from 80 to 60 points in recent days.

The CryptoQuant Bull Score Index just dropped from a score of 80 to 60 within a few days.

The regime has deteriorated slightly but remains in a bull regime as long as the score stays >60.

$BTC needs the overall situation to improve further, particularly on the demand side. pic.twitter.com/DGbJ0kvRDW

— Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) September 12, 2026

"The regime has slightly deteriorated but remains bullish as long as the value is above 60 points. $BTC needs an improvement in the overall situation, particularly on the demand side," the expert stated.

According to the author of the Plan B model for Bitcoin, the asset is currently "squeezed between two giant walls" formed by purchases:

  • by long-term holders (LTH)—in the $84,000-$87,000 range;
  • by short-term investors (STH)—around $62,000-$65,000.

$77k bitcoin is squeezed between two giant walls:

🟠 1M $BTC sitting at $62–65k
🔵 1M $BTC sitting at $84–87k

Which way does it break $65k or $84k?

Live interactive version of this chart 100% free (full history, daily updates, alerts, CSV/XLS/JSON data):https://t.co/2WM9TfT8Mm pic.twitter.com/PT52myeGZb

— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) September 12, 2026

Recall that Glassnode also noted the formation of an important resistance zone by coins held by LTH, which the company identified as the $83,000-$86,000 range.

Preguntas relacionadas

QAccording to CryptoQuant, what key price level does Bitcoin need to break and hold above to confirm a new bull market?

ABitcoin needs to break and hold above the $81,700 level (specifically, above the 365-day moving average) to confirm a new bull market.

QWhat are the two major 'walls' of accumulated Bitcoin mentioned in the article that are currently squeezing the price?

AThe two major walls are: 1) Approximately 1 million BTC held by short-term investors (STH) in the $62,000-65,000 range, and 2) Approximately 1 million BTC held by long-term holders (LTH) in the $84,000-87,000 range.

QAccording to CryptoQuant, what is the nearest and strongest on-chain resistance zone for Bitcoin's price?

AThe nearest and strongest on-chain resistance zone is the corridor between $77,100 and $80,200, where long-term holders have been significant sellers in 2026.

QWhat happened to CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index in the days leading up to the report, and what does the index value signify?

AThe CryptoQuant Bull Score Index dropped from a score of 80 to 60 within a few days. A score above 60 still indicates a bull market regime, but the drop suggests the market regime has slightly deteriorated.

QWhat are the two main support levels identified by CryptoQuant if the Bitcoin price were to decline?

AThe two main support levels are: 1) Around $70,000, where the 200-day moving average is located, and 2) The range of $62,000-65,000, identified as a historical demand zone where long-term holders have been significant buyers in 2026.

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