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Bitcoin rainbow chart’s undervaluation signal vs supply overhang – Which one wins?

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $70k level, yet remains significantly below the miner cost range of $89k-$91k. On-chain metrics, such as the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse, show a bullish crossover, suggesting potential accumulation. However, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart indicates that BTC is in an extremely undervalued, or "Bitcoin is dead," zone. Analysis of holder behavior reveals short-term holders are realizing losses, with 140k BTC leaving this cohort, indicating possible capitulation. The substantial 21.3% gap between the market price and the realized price of $89k creates a supply overhang. This suggests short-term holders may sell into any price rallies to break even. The LTH/STH SOPR ratio of 0.89, far from the lows seen at previous bear market bottoms, indicates that calling a structural low may be premature. In summary, while the Rainbow Chart signals undervaluation, on-chain data points to significant selling pressure up to $89k.

ambcryptoHace 6 min(s)

Bitcoin rainbow chart’s undervaluation signal vs supply overhang – Which one wins?

ambcryptoHace 6 min(s)

Bitcoin Supply Pressure Builds As Short-Term Holders Realize Losses Below $70K

Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $70,000 level amid ongoing market volatility. On-chain data indicates sustained selling pressure from short-term holders, who have been realizing losses over the past week. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) has remained below 1.0 for seven of the last eight days, signaling that recent investors are selling at a loss. Additionally, the supply of Bitcoin held by short-term holders has decreased by approximately 140,000 BTC in two weeks, suggesting either capitulation or coins maturing into long-term holdings. With the average acquisition price for this group near $89,028—about 24% above the current price—many are facing significant unrealized losses, creating psychological pressure and potential selling pressure in future rallies.

bitcoinistHace 9 min(s)

Bitcoin Supply Pressure Builds As Short-Term Holders Realize Losses Below $70K

bitcoinistHace 9 min(s)

Former Binance Labs Executive: AI + Institutional Impact Will Drastically Change the Crypto Industry in Two Years

A former Binance Labs executive, with a decade in crypto, argues the industry is undergoing a fundamental shift driven by two structural forces: institutional capital entering via stablecoins and AI driving the cost of building to near zero. The era of token speculation is ending. The new winners will be licensed infrastructure companies with real revenue, regulatory moats (not just code), and the ability to serve AI agents. Stablecoins are becoming the primary institutional on-ramp, facilitating trillions in real economic activity, not speculative TVL. AI is making building cheap but verification priceless. As AI agents generate infinite noise, cryptographic proof (like ZK technology) becomes the essential trust layer. The convergence of institutional on-chain finance and autonomous AI agents will create demand for machine-readable financial primitives: cryptographic identity, programmable assets (like tokenized treasuries), and verifiable credentials. Investment is shifting from narrative token plays to licensed entities capturing stablecoin flows and building the foundational layer for the machine-driven economy.

marsbitHace 10 min(s)

Former Binance Labs Executive: AI + Institutional Impact Will Drastically Change the Crypto Industry in Two Years

marsbitHace 10 min(s)

Trump's One Sentence Extinguishes Oil Prices, Crypto Fights Back

Trump's remarks triggered a sharp reversal in oil prices, which plummeted by over 30% in a single day after briefly surging to $110 per barrel, while Bitcoin rebounded strongly, reclaiming the $70,000 mark. The dramatic shift followed Trump's暗示 that military operations in the Middle East were "progressing very well and ahead of schedule," suggesting major objectives were largely achieved and a resolution would come "very soon." This eased market fears of a prolonged conflict and potential disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transit route. To further stabilize oil supply, Trump announced plans for U.S. naval escorts for tankers, potential sanctions exemptions for energy exports, and the release of around 100 million barrels of oil from Venezuela. The G7 also pledged readiness to deploy strategic petroleum reserves. These measures prompted speculative traders to unwind positions near $120/barrel. Analysts suggest Trump is seeking an exit strategy to declare victory and avoid a protracted ground conflict, mindful of economic pressures from soaring oil prices fueling inflation and domestic security concerns. If the conflict de-escalates quickly, reduced geopolitical risk premiums may cool inflation expectations, potentially accelerating Fed rate cuts—benefiting liquidity-sensitive assets like Bitcoin. The rebound may be an early signal of broader market shifts.

marsbitHace 18 min(s)

Trump's One Sentence Extinguishes Oil Prices, Crypto Fights Back

marsbitHace 18 min(s)

Istanbul Blockchain Week Launches Institutional Markets Summit: Pioneering Institutional Adoption of Digital Assets

Istanbul Blockchain Week announces the launch of the Institutional Markets Summit, a closed-door forum for senior decision-makers, set for June 2, 2026. Organized by EAK Digital, the event will focus on the structural evolution of digital assets within regulated financial markets. It will bring together policymakers, regulators, financial institutions, and infrastructure providers to discuss liquidity formation, custody, compliance, and the integration of digital assets into traditional capital markets. Exclusive roundtables with institutional leaders will foster strategic discussions. Istanbul’s strategic location and significant crypto transaction volume make it an ideal hub for this dialogue. Attendance is limited to invited institutional leaders and IBW VIP pass holders.

TheNewsCryptoHace 59 min(s)

Istanbul Blockchain Week Launches Institutional Markets Summit: Pioneering Institutional Adoption of Digital Assets

TheNewsCryptoHace 59 min(s)

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