2017→2022,加密资本格局发生了什么变化?

SevenUP DAOPublicado a 2022-11-17Actualizado a 2022-11-18

Resumen

上周加密世界的事(指 FTX 倒塌)让我开始自我反省。在过去的 4 年里,我一直在跟踪和分析加密行业的资本配置。

上周加密世界的事(指 FTX 倒塌)让我开始自我反省。在过去的 4 年里,我一直在跟踪和分析加密行业的资本配置。如今,监管的铁锤即将到来,是时候说出我看到的所有问题了。

在 2017 和 2018 年,IC0 是资本配置的主要驱动力,VC 不是。IC0 虽然充斥着骗局和糟糕的想法,但公开的 IC0 模型比我们今天资本配置的模式更加民主。当时 VC 也在投资,但可能和普通交易者投资的方式如出一辙。

大多数最具吸引力的趋势都是民主的,不会被 VC 捕捉到价值,这并非巧合:人人都可以参与 融资。人人都可以挖 YFI(DeFi)。人人都可以 mint Crypto Punk 或 Bored Ape (NFT)。

我们应该问自己:“我们是怎么走到今天这一步的?为什么到了 2022 年,我们的系统比 2017 年还要严格?”

“你并没有拥有 Web3,拥有 Web3 的是 VC 和他们的 LP。”当 Jack Dorsey 说出这番话之后,激怒了很多人,但他说错了吗?

很多人都指出了一个生态系统(高 FDV 的 Solana 项目)的不公平,但忽视了这个生态系统的优势也已被捕获。人人都可以买以太坊。至于它的未来(L2)?那是留给软银(SoftBank)、红杉(Sequoia)和 Tiger Global 思考的问题。

可以肯定的是,很多代币项目都希望他们的代币分配更加民主。这就是为什么我们看到空投给用户赋能的原因。这里的主要问题在于,缺乏监管透明度和对从散户中筹集资金的担忧。

公开销售可能已经成为过去,由于监管的问题,VC 模式可能是唯一的出路。无论如何,是时候要求代币募资过程的透明度了。对于一个大谈特谈透明度的行业来说,我们完全没有透明度。

项目想表现得像一个典型的创业公司(出售股权 + 代币认股权证),但在他们方便的时候又变成了一个去中心化的协议。我们要求交易所提供储备证明的方式,应该是要求他们对所有上线的代币储备完全透明。

我们创建的这个系统有公开上线的代币,所有散户都可以购买这些代币。然而创造者却不需要披露他们筹集了多少资金,筹集了几次资金,什么时候筹集的资金,谁买了他们的币,又是以什么价格买的。

更讽刺的是,我们正在尝试创建公开的系统,而这些系统的大多数创造者却并未公开对于普通用户和投资者来说必不可少的重要信息。

天使投资:在我看来,目前的融资状况并不理想,因为很多人都有成为天使投资者的特权。许多人已经忘记了自己的初衷。为什么要大声说出对自己有利的事情呢?

天使投资:投资的公开性仍然存在,但前提是你已经达到了天使级别。与我所见过的其他任何行业不同,加密领域的股权结构表有时看起来像小说,里面有太多的人物。

潜在的利益冲突:除了知名 VC 之外,谁能获得最多的交易流?加密货币交易所和做市商。项目喜欢把他们放在股权结构表里,期望自己能被交易所上线并获得被做市的机会。

毫无疑问,对于 Coinbase、Kraken 等交易所来说,他们的风投部门和交易所业务是完全独立的。但是,对于很多暗箱操作的交易所,我们是否可以完全信任他们?Alameda/FTX 的现状就印证了这一担忧。

交易所是否应该直接披露在他们平台上线的代币?这是我们应该提出的问题。

现在想象一下这样一个世界:传统金融领域最活跃的投资者是纳斯达克和纽交所,而这些平台列出的证券金融信息是不透明的。这就是加密领域的现状,是我们一手造成的。

将来会发生什么?仅在今年,与加密货币有关的 VC 已经筹集了数十亿美元。令人担忧的是,这些基金中的大多数筹集了太多资金,因为他们是滚动基金。在最近的事件之后,毫无疑问,许多 LP 将寻求削减风险,并回收他们的资本。

这不包括许多宣布成立新基金但基于预先承诺的基金。例如)X 基金为一个新的加密风投筹集了 7500 万美元,但实际上,它只承诺了,例如,2500 万美元。宣布的很多美元是软承诺,不会出现。

那么已经被分配的资本呢?迄今为止,已经有近 300 亿美元被部署到加密企业。从理论上讲,这些资金应该足以支撑这些企业运行多年。但是,如果这部分钱有很多已经被花掉了呢?

即将到来的几个月将证明哪些公司为漫长的冬天做好了准备,哪些公司就像一个幻想着 “只涨不跌” 环境的加密货币 Degen 交易员一样肆意妄为。10 月已经是自 2 月 21 日以来融资金额最低的月份,而且是发生在这场动荡之前。

我们应该从中吸取什么教训?是时候少说废话了。是时候要诚实了。是时候要改进了。是时候自我反省了。是时候自我调节了。是时候更加透明了。筹资资金的项目不要再躲在去中心化的面纱后面了。

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