【重磅解读】DOGE缩量回撤到位,BTC主力抛压显著增加

火币资讯Publicado a 2022-11-07Actualizado a 2022-11-08

Resumen

获利盘增加,推动BTC价格短线回撤。

1、BTC冲高回落

短期的30分钟K线图显示,随着BTC短线上涨乏力,近期调整步伐有加速的迹象。BTC在回撤期间扩大了跌幅,并且表现为小幅放量的迹象。这说明,从11月2日美联储加息利空再次出现以后,BTC价格虽然触底回升,但是价格涨幅基本已经消耗殆尽。目前点位在20770美元附近,为11月3日的峰值水平。据此判断,BTC走势仍然有不确定性因此,关注价格调整步伐。

2、BTC获利盘出逃

BTC涨幅达到了21480美元的过程中,获利盘回吐迹象明显。特别是持币时间在155交易日以上的投资者中,多数在10月18日 、10月25日和11月4日出逃。在此期间,BTC的SOPR指标高达1.436、1.135和1.59。可见主力获利达到或者接近了50%的情况下,BTC高位抛压仍然较大,对近期价格上涨明显不利关注调整走向。

3、ETH活跃度下降

仅从活跃地址数的变化来看,ETH的活跃地址数下降趋势明显持续,近期活跃地址数维持在271.万附近,意味着 ETH价格上仍然在蓄势阶段。至少从活跃地址数表现判断,ETH没能在多数投资者准备交易的情况下完成突破前的准备。因此,目前ETH仍然有短线波动增强的可能性,价格在1600美元下方有二次回撤的迹象。

4、DOGE抛压小幅释放

尽管价格持续回撤,但是DOGE的4小时K线小时,并未持续非常明显的放量出逃迹象。DOGE近期冲高回落期间,放量回撤的时间较短,多数交易时段都以缩量下跌为主。当DOGE回撤到短期低位0.114美元的时候,多数主流币也出现到位的迹象。从DOGE的量价表现看,已经到了缩量回撤的末期。短线关注反弹机会。

5、RARI小幅反弹

RARI近期走势仍然很强势,但是拉升阶段的交易量相对收缩。4小时K线图小时,RARI再次回到了5美元的过程中,成交量相对11月1日减少了75%。因此,本次RARI为短线强势的延续,还未做好再创新高的准备。交易上,受制于BTC等主流币调整步伐延续,RARI等热门币种的走势仍然有不确定性。

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