【一周靓文】空头5.3万枚ETH爆仓,1年内值得关注的空投

火币资讯Publicado a 2022-11-05Actualizado a 2022-11-07

Resumen

近期ETH空头爆仓继续维持恐怖高位运行,连续持续了3个交易日的大量空头爆仓信号。

一周靓文,介绍过去一周最值得关注的热点文章,帮助投资者深刻理解市场动态。

1、《香港押注Web3,能否迎来下一个“八达通时刻”?》

10 月 31 日,香港特区政府今日发表有关虚拟资产在港发展的政策宣言,阐明政府为在香港发展具活力的虚拟资产行业和生态系统而订定的政策立场和方针。同时推出试验计划,包括 2022 年香港金融科技周发行非同质化 Token(NFT)、绿色债券 Token 化及数字港元。

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2、《2022 年和 2023 年值得关注的空投》

最近Aptos生态系统/代币的推出推动了空投的发展,其主要是通过空投总供应量的一部分给早期用户,对新的第1层和第2层测试网的炒作正在升温。

在开始之前,让我们先澄清一些与空投有关的常用词。

空投:空投是指你通过做一些事情来交换免费的代币,比如注册一个应用程序或加入一个群。

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3、《左转微信,右转Web 3:马斯克会把Twitter变成去中心化社交媒体吗?》

Tesla、SpaceX、1.1亿 Twitter Follwers的拥有者,——Elon Musk,正式释放了他的小蓝鸟,以440亿美元(3000亿人民币)的代价上演了“英雄救美”的玛丽苏故事。

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4、《 看懂美联储加息:第四次加息75基点》

正如市场普遍预期的那样,美国联邦储备委员会当地时间2日宣布,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调75个基点到3.75%至4%的水平。这是美联储连续第四次加息75个基点。

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5、《空头5.3万枚ETH爆仓,CHZ交易所抛压增长》

4小时K线图小时,随着ETH价格连续反弹后出现上涨乏力迹象,交易量也开始逐步收缩。不过成交量还未显著低于等量线,意味着ETH价格将延续强势整理的格局。目前可关注1500美元到1600美元价格区间的低吸机会。

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Lecturas Relacionadas

Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

Analysis of Bitcoin Trading Strategies: Why Celebrity Forecasts and Classic Models Fail, Leaving Only These Four Reliable Indicators This analysis examines the failure of common Bitcoin prediction methods and identifies four reliable indicators for constructing a trading strategy. The author reviewed all major BTC prediction approaches from 2017-2025, categorizing them into three groups: celebrity price targets (consistently over-optimistic), analytical models like Stock-to-Flow (broken post-2022), and on-chain signals. The key finding is that more data often creates confusion, not clarity. The strategy discards unreliable elements: celebrity predictions (incentivized to be extreme), pure models (invalidated by post-ETF market changes), and the Fear & Greed Index used alone (too many false signals). Four reliable indicators were selected: 1. **MVRV Z-Score:** Accurately identifies cycle bottoms when entering its green zone (e.g., 2018, 2020, 2022). Note: Its ability to call tops is now ineffective post-2024. 2. **SOPR (28-day MA):** Consistently signals bottoms when below 1.0, indicating holders are selling at a loss. 3. **ETF Net Flow:** A crucial post-2024 metric showing institutional momentum (e.g., sustained inflows = buying). 4. **Macro Liquidity (Fed policy & M2):** Sets the overall directional bias (e.g., bullish during easing cycles). The core strategy involves waiting for a multi-signal共振 (resonance). For example, a bottom signal requires MVRV in the green zone + SOPR < 1.0. A top signal requires overheated on-chain data + sustained ETF outflows. Macro policy sets the overall direction. The Fear & Greed Index is only used as a weighted confirmatory signal, never alone. Action is only taken when three or more indicators align. The author automated this into a monitoring system that sends Telegram alerts only when signals trigger. As of the article's date (April 15, 2026), the system showed a strong bottom signal: extreme fear (F&G=12), MVRV in the buy zone, and SOPR < 1.0. The only contrary signal was weak ETF flows. Historically, such triple on-chain共振 has preceded 100%+ returns. The conclusion emphasizes building a personal framework over relying on external predictions, allowing for iterative improvement and customization based on individual risk tolerance.

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Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

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