【重磅解读】巨鲸吸筹1.7万枚BTC,ETH未确认交易下降到14.9万

火币资讯Publicado a 2022-08-24Actualizado a 2022-08-25

Resumen

BTC巨鲸少量吸筹,关键支撑已经确认。

1、 BTC横盘整理

日小时K线图中显示,BTC价格横盘整理特征明显,价格没能在横盘阶段强劲反弹,意味着调整仍然可能持续较长时间。OBV指标显示,该指标的数值从7月初开始一路震荡回撤,指标下跌意味着BTC在下跌期间积累了更多交易量。 这说明,BTC在更多下跌交易者持续放量,换手增加以后,当前2.1万美元套牢了短线入市的投资者以后,进一步的反弹压力较大。

2、巨鲸地址数小幅回升

随着BTC震荡的延续,巨鲸地址数的减少趋势趋于缓和,该地址数从近期低位2128个增长到了8月23日的2145个,增加了17个。按照每个地址数1000枚BTC计算,有17000个BTC被巨鲸吸收。相比较前期3月21日巨鲸地址数有多达2282个,目前巨鲸地址数的数量仍然相对回落。就是说,BTC数量趋于发散,进一步的低吸机会可等待主力进一步确认入市后在考虑。

3、 已实现价格在21669美元

BTC的已实现价格计算为已实现上限除以总硬币供应量。它衡量的是整个市场参与者为其硬币支付的供应加权的平均价格。它可以被解释为链上支持或阻力价格。

当BTC价格回撤到已实现价格的时候,相应的支撑就会体现出来。2020年初,BTC在已实现价格5400美元下方完成底部形态,就是一次比较典型的低吸交易信号。

8月23日,BTC的已实现价格落在了21669美元,当前BTC的21300美元附近靠近已实现价格。据此判断,BTC若能反弹至已实现价格上方,才能有效验证看多信号。

4、ETH小幅反弹

ETH近期2个月内的走势中,价格反弹期间交易量回升,OBV指标数值小幅反弹,意味着上涨期间的交易量更高。因此,不同于BTC的是,ETH近期获得了更多投资者的主动买入。价格表现上,ETH处在1627美元附近运行,点位上依然低于布林线中轨对应的1769美元。据此判断,ETH处在一个相对弱势的运行状态,价格表现上依然趋于回落。

5、ETH未确认交易数低迷

ETH的未确认交易维持回落态势,表明当前行情下,交易热度相对低迷,意味着ETH价格进一步表现强势的机会不多。前期3月25日前后一度持续了较大的反弹空间,未确认交易笔数达到峰值130万的峰值。而目前来看,未确认交易笔数不仅表现低迷,还处在回调状态。8月24日的未确认交易笔数下降到了14.9万的低位,对价格的提振可能性很低。

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