Analyst Exposes Bitcoin Market Maker Buy Strategy, Shows What Happens When Accumulation Ends

bitcoinistPublicado a 2026-04-18Actualizado a 2026-04-18

Resumen

A crypto analyst, Merlijn The Trader, has presented a market structure model suggesting Bitcoin is following an institutional trading cycle. The model outlines four key phases: a "Distribution" phase where large holders sold BTC near highs, a sharp "Flush" that dropped prices 38% to eliminate weak traders, the current "Accumulation" phase where institutions are buying in a tight range between $60k-$77k, and a future "Re-accumulation" period. The analyst projects that once accumulation ends, Bitcoin could break out to new all-time highs, with a potential target above $142,000 by early 2027. Holding above the $70,000 resistance level is critical for this bullish scenario to remain valid.

A crypto analyst has outlined a detailed market structure, suggesting that Bitcoin (BTC) may be entering a decisive stage after months of consolidation and price declines. His strategy maps recent price behavior into a sequence of institutionally driven phases, arguing that the end of accumulation often signals the start of a stronger upward expansion.

The Bitcoin MarketMaker Buy Strategy

Crypto market expert Merlijn The Trader has presented a market structure model on X, showing that Bitcoin’s recent price action is unfolding in line with an institutional trading cycle. The chart framework, known as the MarketMaker Buy Model, argues that large institutional players move markets in predictable stages designed to transfer Bitcoin from emotional retail traders into stronger, long-term holders before pushing prices significantly higher.

According to the analyst, the first stage of the cycle, highlighted in the first green box on the chart, began with a “Distribution” phase that occurred between about $100,000 and $120,000 in mid-2024. During this period, Bitcoin traded in a choppy downward pattern. This type of movement indicated that large holders were selling their Bitcoin amid strong demand from retail traders buying aggressively near the market top.

The second stage identified by Merlijn The Trader is the “Flush,” marked by the red box on the chart. This phase saw a sharp and aggressive price decline designed to force weaker traders out of the market. Here, Bitcoin reportedly fell from $100,000 to $62,000, a roughly 38% drop.

Source: Chart from Merlijn The Trader on X

Following this correction, the MarketMaker model transitions into the “Accumulation” phase, represented by the larger grey box on the chart. According to the model, this is the stage where the market is currently consolidating. Merlijn The Trader places this phase between roughly $60,000 and $77,000.

Within this zone, Bitcoin is trading in a relatively tight and choppy range rather than trending strongly in one direction. The sideways movement during this period also suggests that Bitcoin is building a foundation near a potential price bottom, as institutional buyers gradually accumulate more coins.

In the fourth stage, Merlijn The Trader identifies the two blue boxes on the chart as a “Re-accumulation.” This zone, between approximately $80,000 and $95,000, marks a secondary consolidation period that typically follows a price bottom. This phase provides another opportunity for large investors to strengthen their positions before BTC potentially begins its next upward movement.

What’s Next For BTC After Accumulation

Looking ahead, Merlijn The Trader projects a potential upside target above $142,000 once Bitcoin emerges from its accumulation and re-accumulation phases. In his chart model, the path to this level may involve another short consolidation period before a possible breakout into new all-time highs by January 2027.

The analyst also highlights a key resistance level around $70,000. Holding above this resistance is critical to maintaining the integrity of the MarketMaker model. Meanwhile, falling below the level suggests the structure may not be following the expected path.

BTC trading at $75,550 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat is the name of the market structure model presented by the analyst Merlijn The Trader?

AThe MarketMaker Buy Model.

QAccording to the model, what is the purpose of the 'Flush' phase?

AThe 'Flush' phase is a sharp and aggressive price decline designed to force weaker traders out of the market.

QIn which price range is the current 'Accumulation' phase taking place, according to the analyst?

AThe 'Accumulation' phase is taking place between roughly $60,000 and $77,000.

QWhat is the potential upside price target for Bitcoin once it emerges from the accumulation phases?

AThe potential upside price target is above $142,000.

QWhat is the critical resistance level that Bitcoin must hold above to maintain the integrity of the MarketMaker model?

AThe critical resistance level is around $70,000.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Summary of Kevin Warsh's Past Remarks: How Will This Prospective 'New Head' Upend the Fed?

Kevin Warsh, nominated by President Trump to replace Fed Chair Powell, is poised to introduce sweeping reforms at the Federal Reserve. His agenda includes structural changes, advocating for lower policy rates, a fundamentally new approach to inflation, a significantly smaller balance sheet, safeguarding Fed independence, narrowing the Fed’s mandate, improving coordination with the Treasury, and reducing communication “noise” from policymakers. Warsh has criticized current monetary policy as “broken” and called for “fundamental regime change,” arguing that continuity is meaningless when the Fed has lost credibility. He believes interest rates should be lower and that a smaller balance sheet would help achieve that, describing the current one as “multiple trillions of dollars larger than necessary.” On inflation, he attributes its rise to cognitive errors at the Fed—including overreliance on flawed models, neglect of money supply, and blaming external factors rather than excessive government spending. He also suggests AI could lead to a structural decline in prices. He strongly defends Fed independence as its “most important asset” and warns against mission creep, which he says risks its core objectives and increases political vulnerability. He proposes closer coordination with the Treasury to align balance sheet and debt issuance plans, clarifying expectations for markets. Regarding communication, Warsh supports transparency but criticizes the current “cacophony of voices” and “forward guidance” that creates ambiguity. He has urged Fed officials to speak less frequently to avoid market confusion.

marsbitHace 8 min(s)

Summary of Kevin Warsh's Past Remarks: How Will This Prospective 'New Head' Upend the Fed?

marsbitHace 8 min(s)

Under Political Pressure, Is the Federal Reserve Still Independent?

Amidst political pressure from former President Trump and congressional scrutiny, Kevin Warsh, nominated as Federal Reserve chair, argued that public comments from elected officials on interest rates do not fundamentally threaten the Fed’s operational independence. Instead, he emphasized that the real risk to the Fed’s autonomy lies in its failure to control inflation, which could erode public trust. Warsh also cautioned against the Fed overstepping into fiscal or social policy domains beyond its mandate. His remarks come as the Fed faces external pressures, including a Justice Department investigation into a renovation project and persistent inflation above the 2% target, exacerbated by rising energy prices. Warsh stressed that the Fed’s focus on its core mission—price stability—is essential to maintaining its credibility and independence.

marsbitHace 8 min(s)

Under Political Pressure, Is the Federal Reserve Still Independent?

marsbitHace 8 min(s)

Bitmine Loads Up On 101,627 Ether In Record Post-December Buy

Bitmine Immersion Technologies significantly expanded its Ethereum holdings by acquiring 101,627 ETH in mid-April, marking its largest single-week purchase since December 2025. The company now holds nearly 5 million ETH, valued at approximately $11.5 billion, representing about 4.12% of all circulating Ether. Its goal is to reach 5% ownership. Of its total ETH, 3.33 million is actively staked, generating over $200 million in annualized revenue. Chairman Tom Lee stated that the company has increased its buying pace, believing Ethereum is nearing the end of a "mini-crypto winter." Bitmine also recently uplisted to the NYSE, improving its visibility among institutional investors.

bitcoinistHace 15 min(s)

Bitmine Loads Up On 101,627 Ether In Record Post-December Buy

bitcoinistHace 15 min(s)

Arbitrum Pretends to Be the Hacker, 'Steals' Back the Money Lost by KelpDAO

Title: Arbitrum Poses as Hacker to Recover Stolen Funds from KelpDAO Last week, KelpDAO suffered a hack resulting in nearly $300 million in losses, marking the largest DeFi security incident this year. Approximately 30,765 ETH (worth over $70 million) remained on an Arbitrum address controlled by the attacker. In an unprecedented move, Arbitrum’s Security Council utilized its emergency authority to upgrade the Inbox bridge contract, adding a function that allowed them to impersonate the hacker’s address and initiate a transfer without access to its private key. The council’s action, approved by 9 of its 12 members, moved the stolen ETH to a frozen address in a single transaction before reverting the contract to its original state. The operation was coordinated with law enforcement, which attributed the attack to North Korea’s Lazarus Group. Community reactions are divided: some praise the recovery of funds, while others question the centralization of power, as the council can upgrade core contracts without governance votes. However, such emergency mechanisms are common among major L2s. Despite the partial recovery, over $292 million was stolen in total, with more than $100 million in bad debt on Aave and remaining funds scattered across other chains. The incident highlights escalating security challenges in DeFi, with state-sponsored hackers employing advanced tactics and L2s responding with elevated countermeasures.

marsbitHace 18 min(s)

Arbitrum Pretends to Be the Hacker, 'Steals' Back the Money Lost by KelpDAO

marsbitHace 18 min(s)

iQiyi Is Too Impatient

The article "iQiyi Is Too Impatient" discusses the controversy surrounding the Chinese streaming platform IQiyi's recent announcement of an "AI Actor Library" during its 2026 World Conference. IQiyi claimed over 100 actors, including well-known names like Zhang Ruoyun and Yu Hewei, had joined the initiative. CEO Gong Yu suggested AI could enable actors to "star in 14 dramas a year instead of 4" and that "live-action filming might become a world cultural heritage." The announcement quickly sparked backlash. Multiple actors named in the list issued urgent statements denying they had signed any AI-related authorization agreements. This forced IQiyi to clarify that inclusion in the library only indicated a willingness to *consider* AI projects, with separate negotiations required for any specific role. The incident, which trended on social media with hashtags like "IQiyi is crazy," is presented as a sign of the company's growing desperation. Facing intense competition from short-video platforms like Douyin and Kuaishou, as well as Bilibili and Xiaohongshu, IQiyi's financial performance has weakened, with revenues declining for two consecutive years. The author argues that IQiyi is "too impatient" to tell a compelling AI story to reassure the market, especially as it pursues a listing on the Hong Kong stock exchange. The piece concludes by outlining three key "AI questions" IQiyi must answer: defining its role as a tool provider versus a content creator, balancing the "coldness" of AI with the human element audiences desire, and properly managing the interests of platforms, actors, and viewers. The core dilemma is that while AI can reduce costs and increase efficiency, it risks creating homogenized, formulaic content and devaluing human performers.

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

Trading

Spot

Futuros