$40B erased in 4 months: Is Strategy’s Bitcoin bet backfiring?

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-02-05Actualizado a 2026-02-05

Resumen

Michael Saylor's company, MicroStrategy, is facing significant pressure as its substantial Bitcoin bet has led to over $3.5 billion in unrealized losses, with nearly $40 billion erased from its crypto portfolio in just four months. This downturn is directly tied to Bitcoin's recent crash, where its price fell 19% in a week, also causing MicroStrategy's stock to decline. The company remains the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin with 713,502 BTC. Other firms that adopted a similar strategy, such as MARA Holdings, Metaplanet, and Riot Platforms, are also experiencing sharp stock declines. Widespread negative market sentiment, indicated by the Crypto Fear and Greed Index hitting "extreme fear," has prompted criticism from notable figures like Michael Burry and Peter Schiff, who question the long-term viability of this high-risk strategy. The situation is now an industry-wide stress test for crypto-linked corporations.

For years, Michael Saylor’s Strategy has been seen as either brilliantly bold or dangerously reckless for its heavy bet on Bitcoin [BTC]. Now, that bet is under serious pressure.

Recent data from The Kobeissi Letter shows that the company’s Bitcoin [BTC] holdings are sitting on more than $3.5 billion in unrealized losses.

In just four months, nearly $40 billion has been erased from its crypto portfolio, one of the toughest challenges yet to Saylor’s conviction in holding Bitcoin through extreme volatility.

Beyond the drop in prices, the deeper concern is how this strategy might impact corporate treasuries across the broader industry.

Is Bitcoin’s price the reason behind this?

Strategy’s losses are directly tied to Bitcoin’s recent crash.

At the time of writing, CoinMarketCap data showed BTC trading at $70,849.57, down 6.61% in a single day and 19% over the past week. For a company whose core strategy revolves around Bitcoin, such declines have dealt a significant blow to its financial health.

Consequently, Strategy’s stock also dropped, slipping to $129.09, a 4.17% decline.

Still, despite these setbacks, Strategy remains the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with about 713,502 BTC in its portfolio.

The Saylor playbook under pressure

But other companies that copied this strategy are now feeling the impact too.

At press time, MARA Holdings Inc. stock fell 8.51%, holding around 53,250 BTC, and hasn’t locked in losses yet, but pressure is building. Then, Metaplanet, often called Asia’s MicroStrategy, has dropped 30%. Additionally, its 35,102 BTC holdings are down about 34%.

Riot Platforms was no exception, as its stock fell by 7.82% while holding 18,005 BTC.

Together, these declines show that Saylor’s Bitcoin-focused strategy is being tested across the industry, not just at Strategy.

Current market conditions draw concern

Market sentiment has turned sharply negative.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped into the extreme fear zone, which usually signals panic selling. At this stage, even long-term holders often start selling to avoid bigger losses.

This fear has brought back warnings from well-known critics.

Michael Burry, best known for predicting the 2008 financial crash, has warned that companies heavily exposed to Bitcoin may face significant financial risks.

Additionally, Peter Schiff, a longtime supporter of gold and Bitcoin skeptic, has pointed out that despite Bitcoin’s past gains, Strategy is now sitting on about a 3% unrealized loss.

He has used this to question Michael Saylor’s long-term strategy, mocking it publicly on social media.

Going by his style, Schiff put it best when he said,

“I’m sure the losses over the next five years will be much greater!”


Final Thoughts

  • Extreme fear in the market signals that even loyal long-term holders are beginning to question their positions.
  • Falling stock prices across crypto-linked firms suggest this is no longer just Strategy’s problem, it’s an industry-wide stress test.

Criptos en tendencia

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat is the main reason behind MicroStrategy's significant unrealized losses on its Bitcoin holdings?

AThe losses are directly tied to Bitcoin's recent price crash, which saw BTC decline by 6.61% in a single day and 19% over the past week, significantly impacting the value of their 713,502 BTC portfolio.

QHow much in unrealized losses is MicroStrategy currently facing on its Bitcoin bet according to The Kobeissi Letter?

AMicroStrategy is sitting on more than $3.5 billion in unrealized losses on its Bitcoin holdings.

QWhich other companies that copied MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy are also experiencing negative impacts?

AOther affected companies include MARA Holdings Inc. (stock down 8.51%), Metaplanet (often called Asia's MicroStrategy, stock down 30%), and Riot Platforms (stock fell 7.82%).

QWhat does the current reading of the Crypto Fear and Greed Index indicate about market sentiment?

AThe Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped into the 'extreme fear' zone, which typically signals panic selling and indicates that even long-term holders may be starting to sell to avoid further losses.

QWhich two prominent critics have recently issued warnings about companies heavily exposed to Bitcoin?

AMichael Burry, known for predicting the 2008 financial crash, and Peter Schiff, a longtime gold supporter and Bitcoin skeptic, have both warned about the significant financial risks facing these companies.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Bitcoin Withdrawals Continue: 8 Years of Storage in a Coldcard Cold Wallet Ended in Zero

Coldcard Hardware Wallet Hacked: Losses Mount Due to Vulnerable Seed Generation A critical vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets has led to a continued wave of fund thefts. According to Galaxy Research, the total stolen has reached 1,367.05 BTC (approx. $88.6 million) from 4,585 addresses, a significant increase from the initial 594.5 BTC reported on July 30, 2026. Most of the stolen funds remain on the attackers' addresses. The issue is not with the current firmware, which Coinkite has updated, but with seed phrases generated on vulnerable devices between March 2021 and the release of fixed firmware versions. Due to a programmer error, devices switched from using a hardware random number generator to the software-based Yasmarang generator, which was initialized with publicly accessible data like the chip's serial number. This made the seed phrases predictable through offline brute-force attacks, meaning wallets remain at risk until funds are moved to a new wallet generated with the patched firmware. Affected devices include Mk2/Mk3 with firmware 4.0.1–4.1.9 (and up to 5.0.3), Mk4/Mk5 up to version 5.6.0, and Q models up to 1.5.0Q. The only exceptions are seeds created with a high-entropy method like at least 50 independent dice rolls or a strong unique BIP-39 passphrase. All other owners must generate a new seed on the fixed firmware and transfer their assets. A case highlighting the human impact involves a 39-year-old long-term investor who lost 2 BTC (approx. $130,000) in minutes. He had accumulated the Bitcoin over eight years through physical labor, viewing it as a financial lifeline and a retirement plan in a country suffering from hyperinflation. His story underscores that even conservative "buy and hold in cold storage" strategies can be compromised by such underlying technical flaws. From a technical perspective, this incident echoes historical failures where weak random number generators undermined cryptographic security, challenging the assumption that offline storage is automatically foolproof.

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