【重磅解读】 矿工的186万枚BTC开始抛售,ETH活跃地址数走弱

火币资讯Publicado a 2022-08-12Actualizado a 2022-08-15

Resumen

近期主流币多数试探性走强,周末行情变化值得关注。

1、 BTC回撤提示调整信号

反弹阶段BTC短线冲高回落,整体依然维持向上态势,距离短线压力位斐波那契61.8%对应的28308美元仅有15%的涨幅空间。日线级别的交易量表现依然稳定,短线还持续了持续放量迹象。这说明,BTC的波动正在趋于强势,近期2.5万美元的压力位或将在短线试探性突破。因此,投资者需要做好应对准备。

2、长期投资者频繁兑现收益

BTC 的长期持币投资者短线有明显的出逃迹象,并且以获利形式转移了BTC。长期投资者的SOPR指标显示,该指标近期在8月6日和8月10日分别达到了1.2和1.63,意味着长期持币投资者的整体盈利在20%和63%。也就是说,近期有持币持币价在2.9万美元和3.8万美元附近的投资者减少了持币数量。据此判断,BTC反弹正在遇到持续的抛压。而涨幅越大抛压出现的可能性越高。一旦BTC加速回升,势必会出现冲高回落表现。

3、 BTC矿工短线减少持币

过去一年来BTC调整步伐加快,但是矿工积累BTC的趋势却在延续。持币数量方面,近期BTC矿工的持币数量达到了186.5万,相对2021年初的182.8万增长了3.7万。而短期内矿工持币数量小幅回撤186.1万,减少了4000枚BTC。矿工持币数量逐步靠近2021年峰值187万的过程中,其抛售迹象正在加强。矿工出售或对BTC反弹造成负面影响。

4、ETH涨幅达到区间高位

ETH价格涨幅达到区间高位,触及斐波那契61.8%对应的1910美元压力位。据此判断,涨幅已经在变盘的节点位置。近期2个月内,ETH价格触及到翻倍涨幅,随之而来的是能否延续这样的市场表现。

5、ETH活跃地址数回撤

近期ETH的活跃地址数回撤趋势相对明确,随着活跃地址数从两次峰值位置回落,交易热度也出现了降温迹象。活跃地址数表现平淡后,可继续关注ETH价格的突破力度。从振幅上看,日K线方面价格波动空间表现平稳,并未出现大幅度的震荡表现。接下来,可关注突破后的下个压力位,斐波那契50%对应的2474美元的价格表现机会。当然,如果ETH短线没能突破1910美元阻力位,回调空间将加深。

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