Wintermute зафиксировал четырехкратный рост OTC-объемов торгов криптовалютами

cryptonews.ruPublicado a 2023-09-18Actualizado a 2025-01-18

Маркетмейкер Wintermute сообщил о четырехкратном росте объема внебиржевой (OTC) торговли на платформе в 2024 году. Основным драйвером стал высокий спрос со стороны институциональных инвесторов.

2024 Wintermute OTC year in review

Institutional demand propelled our OTC trading volumes to quadruple in 2024, marking a defining year for crypto markets

From institutional engagement to market structure transformation, here're the key trends our OTC desk observed in 2024 ↓ pic.twitter.com/yInG6cPLcd
— Wintermute (@wintermute_t) January 17, 2025

В годовом отчете компания отметила, что число сделок увеличилось на 250%, а OTC-оборот подскочил на 313%. Для сравнения, общий рост объемов торгов на криптовалютных биржах составил лишь 142%.

Средний размер сделки вырос на 17%.

Spot OTC desk growing alongside institutional demand

‣ 946 unique pairs (up 64% from 2023)
‣ Average trade size up 17% → signaling institutional-sized trading

This combination of broader coverage and larger trades reflects a growing institutional presence pic.twitter.com/aEwVyb5LIN
— Wintermute (@wintermute_t) January 17, 2025

Пиковые OTC-обороты за сутки достигали $2,24 млрд, что существенно превысило рекорд 2023 года, когда максимальный недельный показатель составлял $2 млрд.

В Wintermute уверены, что рост объемов связан с растущей активностью институционалов, которая, в свою очередь, «подогрета» запуском спотовых крипто-ETF в США и политической поддержкой более прозрачного регулирования.

«Регуляторная ясность стала катализатором беспрецедентного интереса со стороны институционалов и притока капитала, что способствовало стремительному росту торговой экосистемы, которая все больше интегрируется с традиционными финансами», — отметили в Wintermute.

В отчете также говорится, что объем внебиржевых торгов деривативами увеличился на 300%, «поскольку учреждения искали более продвинутые инструменты для получения дохода и риск-менеджмента».

Помимо прочего, в Wintermute отметили заинтересованность представителей традиционных финансов в мем-коинах. Доля таких активов в OTC-обороте платформы выросла до 16,2% (в 2023 году показатель составлял 7,3%). При этом удельный вес основных криптовалют снизился с 67,9% до 58,7%.

Прогнозы от Wintermute

Аналитики прогнозируют снижение ценовой волатильности в 2025 году, обусловленное ростом объемов торгов и ликвидности крипторынка. Также они ожидают стабильный спрос на биткоин- и Ethereum-опционы.

«Смотрим на 2025 год с оптимизмом: ожидаем еще большего роста, поскольку криптовалюты продолжают интегрироваться в глобальную финансовую инфраструктуру через ETF, корпоративные активы, токенизацию и развитие структурированных продуктов», — заявил CEO компании Group Евгений Гаевой.

В Wintermute надеются, что с приходом к власти Трампа снизится регуляторная неопределенность, а криптоактивы будут классифицироваться как товары, а не security-токены.

Аналитики также не исключают создание стратегического биткоин-резерва в США, а в перспективе и в Китае, ОАЭ, странах ЕС.

Помимо прочего, компания прогнозирует появление новых продуктов на базе криптовалют, в том числе ETF на базе нескольких активов, токенов DeFi-сегмента и мем-коинов.

«В 2025 году один из ведущих управляющих активами запустит ETF на мем-токены», — сообщили в Wintermute.

По их мнению, весьма вероятно появление биржевого фонда на основе Dogecoin.

Напомним, трейдер Wintermute Джейк Островскис ожидает повсеместного использования корпорациями капитала для покупки биткоинов в качестве резервного актива по примеру MicroStrategy.

Полмиллиона за биткоин, доминация ИИ-агентов и нечто переломное в TON: прогнозы на 2025 год

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