Биткоин ползет, альткоины спят: когда же начнется ралли?

cryptonews.ruPublicado a 2024-06-22Actualizado a 2024-10-22

Кажется, что первая криптовалюта решила поиграть с нами в «черепаху и зайца». Пока альткоины продолжают дремать в тени деревьев, биткоин медленно, но верно ползет вверх. Михаэль ван де Поппе (Michaël van de Poppe), основатель MN Trading, в своем новом видеообзоре рассказал, почему такое поведение рынка — абсолютно нормальное явление.

Настроение рынка: кто в лес, кто по дрова

Если вы держите биткоин или, не дай бог, какой-нибудь мемкоин вроде Sui, то сейчас, вероятно, потираете руки от удовольствия. А вот владельцы большинства альткоинов продолжают кусать локти. Индекс страха и жадности показывает «жадность», но это как средняя температура по больнице — у одних жар, а другие уже в морге.

Ethereum относительно биткоина продолжает бить антирекорды. Казалось бы, снижение ставок должно было подтолкнуть ETH вверх, но не тут-то было. Похоже, медведи решили устроить последний, особенно яростный танец перед зимней спячкой.

Ключевые события: выборы, выплаты FTX и заседания ФРС

Впереди нас ждет несколько важных событий:

Выборы в США через две недели. По данным Polymarket, Трамп лидирует с 60% поддержки. Его победа может стать краткосрочным катализатором для крипторынка.
Начало выплат кредиторам FTX. Часть этих средств наверняка вернется на рынок.
Заседания ФРС. Для нового снижения ставок нужны «ужасные» экономические данные. И, похоже, мы на пороге именно такого сценария.

Когда же начнется бычий рынок?

Ван де Поппе считает, что мы уже в нем — по крайней мере, для биткоина. Сейчас BTC повторяет паттерн предыдущих циклов: период бокового движения перед резким ростом. На дневном графике уже видны признаки разворота тренда.

Доминирование биткоина приближается к ключевому сопротивлению на уровне 60%. Это может стать сигналом к развороту и началу альтсезона. Для многих альткоинов, включая Optimism и TIA, критические уровни сопротивления не за горами. Прорыв этих уровней может привести к взрывному росту на 50% и более всего за пару дней.

Стратегия: терпение и подготовка

Ван де Поппе советует уже сейчас занимать позиции в перспективных альткоинах и продолжать покупать биткоин на каждом откате. Он подчеркивает, что сейчас самое время избавиться от эмоций и, возможно, даже удалить соцсеть X. Ведь когда начнется настоящее ралли, войти в рынок будет гораздо сложнее и рискованнее.

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