Ближневосточный кризис: биткоин под угрозой обвала до $54 000

cryptonews.ruPublicado a 2021-06-03Actualizado a 2024-10-03

Криптовалютный рынок лихорадит на фоне ближневосточного кризиса. За первые сутки биткоин рухнул более чем на 5%, а общая капитализация криптовалют просела на 7,2% за два дня. Похоже, инвесторы решили, что сейчас самое время избавиться от рисковых активов.

1-дневный график BTC/USD. Источник: Bitstamp/TradingView

Куда катится биткоин?

Трейдеры уже вовсю обсуждают, до каких глубин может докатиться «цифровое золото». Популярный аналитик Роман (Roman) считает, что мы еще увидим уровни $55 000–57 000:

«Рост объемов торгов при падении цены обычно указывает на сильный нисходящий тренд. Это подтверждает мою идею о том, что мы revisit область $55 000–57 000 перед возможным разворотом».

1-дневный график BTC/USDT. Аналитика: Роман

А вот трейдер Тони Гинеа (Toni Ghinea) и вовсе ожидает падения до $54 000. По его мнению, октябрь будет «медвежьим» месяцем для биткоина.

Интересно, что еще недавно аналитики наперебой предрекали биткоину рост на 23% в октябре. Видимо, не учли фактор геополитической нестабильности. Эх, знать бы, где упадешь — соломки бы подстелил!

Месячная доходность биткоина. Источник: CoinGlass

Не все так плохо?

Впрочем, некоторые эксперты сохраняют оптимизм. Трейдинговая фирма QCP Capital отмечает:

«Похоже, мы нашли некоторую поддержку на уровне $60 000, но дальнейшая эскалация может опустить нас намного ниже, возможно, до уровня $55 000. Геополитика Ближнего Востока сейчас выходит на первый план, но неглубокая распродажа говорит о том, что рынок по-прежнему хорошо настроен на рисковые активы. Эта небольшая неудача не должна отвлекать от общей картины».

Криптотрейдер и аналитик Михаэль ван де Поппе (Michaël van de Poppe) также считает, что мы близки к локальному дну:

«Думаю, мы довольно близки к минимуму, возможно, будет еще одно падение до $60 000, и затем разворот. Рынки упалм немного глубже, чем я ожидал, но все еще следуют моему сценарию».

4-часовой график BTC/USDT. Аналитика: Михаэль ван де Поппе

Что дальше?

Рынок криптовалют в очередной раз демонстрирует свою чувствительность к внешним факторам. Дальнейшее обострение ситуации на Ближнем Востоке может оказать дальнейшее давление на цифровые активы.

Однако не стоит забывать, что биткоин уже не раз доказывал свою устойчивость к потрясениям. Возможно, текущая коррекция — это лишь небольшая передышка перед новым ралли. В мире криптовалют предсказать что-либо наверняка — задача не из легких.

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