[dragon and tiger list] BTC's long position explosion rebounded, XTZ ushered in a rebound opportunity

Huobi ResearchPublicado a 2022-05-24Actualizado a 2022-05-31

Resumen

BTC prices retreated again, and bulls were under pressure. Pay attention to adjusting expectations.

1. 4-hour chart, BTC volume withdrawal

During the horizontal consolidation of BTC, the fluctuation space is small, but the price retreats frequently, which also brings trading pressure to more investors.

At present, BTC's short-term trading profit space is obviously insufficient. The price retreat speed in the 4-hour K-line chart is fast, which depresses the profit space of investors.

Judging by the interval fluctuation, the low fluctuation operation characteristics of BTC continue. In addition to bargain hunting, investors with heavy positions can pay close attention to the possible breaking signals of BTC. After all, there are still a large number of investors in loss making transactions, and the bottom confirmation cycle will be prolonged. In terms of support, BTC has frequently approached the US $28307 corresponding to 61.8% of Fibonacci in the near future, but the rebound intensity is weak. Be vigilant that BTC falls below the expectation of this support.

2. Increase in the number of contract positions

In terms of the number of positions burst, the number of positions burst in the overall market rebounded slightly on May 23, and the scale of long positions burst is still higher than short positions, which is related to the rapid withdrawal of BTC in the short term. On May 23, the overall position of bulls burst $146 million, a significant contraction compared with $570 million on May 20. On the trend of long position explosion, since April, the scale of long position explosion is often significantly higher than that of short position explosion, but the scale of long position explosion has narrowed recently.

In terms of positions, after the number of long holders decreased, the explosion scale of BTC and mainstream currencies guided the overall explosion decline. The main currency volatility retreats, which means that the market may change further.

3. Global market

The global market has been shaken recently, and the US dollar index is still higher than 100 points, which is currently around 101.7 points. The dollar index recently retreated from its high of 105 points. On the contrary, gold and crude oil prices rebounded. U.S. stocks fell in a short-term shock, BTC's recent weak consolidation, and there is a rebound expectation during the sideways operation. However, considering that the gold absorption effect of the US dollar is still strong, there will be great uncertainty at the bottom of BTC.

4. Longhubang:

Due to the obvious low-level operation characteristics of mainstream currencies, most of the currencies with the market value of the top 100 have limited growth. LRC and xtz performed better in the ranking list. After LRC fell from the highest $3.50, although the price rebounded slightly, the room for increase is still very limited.

Increase list

XTZ

Xtz has ranked high in terms of growth in the past 24 hours. During the continuous decline of its price, it has already continued the signal of obvious volume reduction adjustment. The daily trading volume decreased to a very low level, suggesting that the selling pressure of xtz decreased significantly. From around $3.50 of xtz, the decline in trading volume means that xtz's recent increase is expected to increase.

Decline list

The decline of mainstream currencies in the list is staggering, and the declines of Zec, sand, avax and GRT are relatively large, indicating that the overall market is in the adjustment stage, and currency holding investors properly control their positions.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Podcast Notes: Hyperliquid Has Become the Top Interest Point for Traditional Hedge Funds

Empire Podcast hosts Jason Yanowitz and Santiago Santos discuss the surging institutional interest in Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual exchange, marking the highest level of engagement from traditional hedge fund managers since Paul Tudor Jones endorsed Bitcoin in 2020. The primary driver is the demand for weekend trading of commodities like oil, especially during geopolitical tensions such as the Iran conflict, as Hyperliquid provides the only active price discovery venue when traditional markets are closed. Trade XYZ, a front-end on Hyperliquid, has seen significant growth, with weekend oil price predictions having a median error of only 50 basis points. Santos predicts commodity trading volume on Hyperliquid will surpass Bitcoin within the year and that its market cap could rise from $25 billion to $100 billion. Other key points include Kraken raising $200 million at a reduced valuation of $13.3 billion, and the SEC clarifying that self-custodied DeFi frontends like MetaMask are not subject to broker-dealer rules, resolving a major regulatory uncertainty. The hosts also note the strong correlation between crypto and macro markets, with the S&P 500 posting one of its best 10-day rallies since 1950. They highlight MicroStrategy's continued Bitcoin acquisitions and the potential of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization as a key trend. The discussion concludes with skepticism towards many L2 projects, predicting a wave of protocols truly going to zero as capital concentrates in proven assets like Bitcoin and Hyperliquid.

marsbitHace 50 min(s)

Podcast Notes: Hyperliquid Has Become the Top Interest Point for Traditional Hedge Funds

marsbitHace 50 min(s)

a16z: The Next Frontier of AI, The Triple Flywheel of Robotics, Autonomous Science, and Brain-Computer Interfaces

a16z presents a comprehensive investment thesis for the next frontier of AI: Physical AI, centered on a synergistic flywheel of robotics, autonomous science, and novel human-computer interfaces (HCIs) like brain-computers. While the current AI paradigm scales on language and code, the most disruptive future capabilities will emerge from three adjacent fields leveraging five core technical primitives: 1) learned representations of physical dynamics (via models like VLA, WAM, and native embodied models), 2) embodied action architectures (e.g., dual-system designs, diffusion-based motion generation, and RL fine-tuning like RECAP), 3) simulation and synthetic data as scaling infrastructure, 4) expanded sensory channels (touch, neural signals, silent speech, olfaction), and 5) closed-loop agent systems for long-horizon tasks. These primitives converge to power three key domains: * **Robotics:** The literal embodiment of AI, requiring all primitives for real-world physical interaction and manipulation. * **Autonomous Science:** Self-driving labs that conduct hypothesis-experiment-analysis loops, generating structured, causally-grounded data to improve physical AI models. * **Novel HCIs:** Devices (AR glasses, EMG wearables, BCIs) that expand human-AI bandwidth and act as massive data-collection networks for real-world human experience. These domains form a mutually reinforcing flywheel: Robotics enable autonomous labs, which in turn generate valuable data for robotics and materials science. New interfaces provide rich human-physical interaction data to train better robots and scientists. Together, they represent a new scaling axis for AI, moving beyond the digital realm to interact with and learn from physical reality, promising significant emergent capabilities and value.

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

a16z: The Next Frontier of AI, The Triple Flywheel of Robotics, Autonomous Science, and Brain-Computer Interfaces

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

Conversation with Bitwise Advisor: From K-Shaped Economy to AI Taking Jobs, How Can Bitcoin Save the Younger Generation?

Jeff Park, a macro strategist and advisor at Bitwise, argues that the traditional financial system is broken, particularly for young generations. He describes a "K-shaped economy" where asset inflation enriches the wealthy while leaving others behind, with unaffordable housing as a key symptom. Park explains that real estate is often a depreciating asset due to maintenance costs and taxes, yet it remains unattainable for many young people due to distorted demand from global capital flows. He proposes Bitcoin as a superior store of value—scarce, portable, and free from maintenance costs or excessive taxation. By diverting capital away from real estate, Bitcoin could help lower housing prices and increase accessibility. Park also discusses the decline of traditional "smart investing" (e.g., value stocks) and the rise of "ideological investing" in non-correlated assets like crypto, luxury goods, and collectibles. On AI, Park warns it could trigger extreme social inequality by eliminating jobs while boosting corporate profits. He believes this will push younger generations toward Bitcoin, not only as a hedge but also as a symbol of decentralization and data sovereignty—offering an alternative to centralized AI systems that use personal data without fair compensation. He advises a diversified portfolio with Bitcoin as a core holding to hedge against currency devaluation and systemic risk.

marsbitHace 2 hora(s)

Conversation with Bitwise Advisor: From K-Shaped Economy to AI Taking Jobs, How Can Bitcoin Save the Younger Generation?

marsbitHace 2 hora(s)

Trading

Spot
Futuros
活动图片