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On March 31, Iran's First Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri warned U.S. President Trump against sending troops to attack Khark Island in Iran. Jahangiri stated that while Trump can decide whether to deploy troops to Khark Island, the ability to withdraw them will not be under U.S. control, as 'no one can return alive from hell.' Khark Island is located in the northwestern part of the Persian Gulf, approximately 25 kilometers from the Iranian coast, measuring about 6 kilometers in length and 3 kilometers in width. It is Iran's largest crude oil export base, with 90% of the country's crude oil exported from there. (CCTV News)

[Iran's First Vice President Warns U.S.: Troops Sent to Khark Island Will Not Return]On March 31, Iran's First Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri warned U.S. President Trump against sending troops to attack Khark Island in Iran. Jahangiri stated that while Trump can decide whether to deploy troops to Khark Island, the ability to withdraw them will not be under U.S. control, as 'no one can return alive from hell.' Khark Island is located in the northwestern part of the Persian Gulf, approximately 25 kilometers from the Iranian coast, measuring about 6 kilometers in length and 3 kilometers in width. It is Iran's largest crude oil export base, with 90% of the country's crude oil exported from there. (CCTV News)

Iran's First Vice President Warns U.S.: Troops Sent to Khark Island Will Not Return

On March 31, according to AXIOS, Ukrainian President Zelensky stated on Monday that a prolonged war in Iran would be very advantageous for Russia and highly detrimental to Ukraine. Zelensky noted that Russia's oil-dependent economy is receiving a significant boost due to soaring oil prices and the easing of U.S. sanctions, while this conflict could lead to shortages of urgently needed air defense interceptors and other weapons for Ukraine. He also mentioned that Ukraine has shared intelligence with leaders in the Middle East regarding Russia's assistance to Iran, including potential targeting support for attacks on U.S. and allied bases in the region. Zelensky expressed concerns about the U.S. sanctions exemptions related to Russian oil sales that have been implemented to address the energy crisis.

[Zelensky: Long-Term War in Iran Will Benefit Russia, Challenges Ahead for Ukraine's Weapon Supply]On March 31, according to AXIOS, Ukrainian President Zelensky stated on Monday that a prolonged war in Iran would be very advantageous for Russia and highly detrimental to Ukraine. Zelensky noted that Russia's oil-dependent economy is receiving a significant boost due to soaring oil prices and the easing of U.S. sanctions, while this conflict could lead to shortages of urgently needed air defense interceptors and other weapons for Ukraine. He also mentioned that Ukraine has shared intelligence with leaders in the Middle East regarding Russia's assistance to Iran, including potential targeting support for attacks on U.S. and allied bases in the region. Zelensky expressed concerns about the U.S. sanctions exemptions related to Russian oil sales that have been implemented to address the energy crisis.

Zelensky: Long-Term War in Iran Will Benefit Russia, Challenges Ahead for Ukraine's Weapon Supply

As of March 31, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 2.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 92.5%, and the probability of raising rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 2.5%.

[Fed's Rate Hold Probability in April at 97.4%]As of March 31, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 2.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 97.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 5%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 92.5%, and the probability of raising rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 2.5%.

Fed's Rate Hold Probability in April at 97.4%

On March 31, New York Fed President Williams stated on Monday that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and sufficient to address the risks of rising inflation in the short term. He pointed out that the conflict in the Middle East could trigger supply shocks, while also pushing up inflation and suppressing economic activity, with related impacts already beginning to manifest and signs of supply chain disruptions emerging. Although the uncertainty surrounding the inflation outlook is 'very high,' rising energy prices are expected to elevate overall inflation in the coming months; if the conflict ends and oil prices fall, some of the increases may reverse. Williams did not indicate that a change in monetary policy is imminent. In his remarks, he projected that the U.S. economic growth rate would be about 2.5% this year, with an inflation rate reaching 2.75%, before falling back to the 2% target level next year. He also mentioned that he expects the unemployment rate to decline over the next two years. Williams' outlook on inflation and employment is more optimistic than that of most of his Fed colleagues.

[Fed's Williams: Current Monetary Policy Adequate to Address Short-Term Inflation Risks]On March 31, New York Fed President Williams stated on Monday that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and sufficient to address the risks of rising inflation in the short term. He pointed out that the conflict in the Middle East could trigger supply shocks, while also pushing up inflation and suppressing economic activity, with related impacts already beginning to manifest and signs of supply chain disruptions emerging. Although the uncertainty surrounding the inflation outlook is 'very high,' rising energy prices are expected to elevate overall inflation in the coming months; if the conflict ends and oil prices fall, some of the increases may reverse. Williams did not indicate that a change in monetary policy is imminent. In his remarks, he projected that the U.S. economic growth rate would be about 2.5% this year, with an inflation rate reaching 2.75%, before falling back to the 2% target level next year. He also mentioned that he expects the unemployment rate to decline over the next two years. Williams' outlook on inflation and employment is more optimistic than that of most of his Fed colleagues.

Fed's Williams: Current Monetary Policy Adequate to Address Short-Term Inflation Risks

On March 31, Morgan Stanley downgraded its global stock rating from Overweight to Neutral and upgraded its rating for U.S. Treasuries and cash from Neutral to Overweight. The firm noted that there is uncertainty regarding the scale and duration of oil supply disruptions, indicating that the trajectory of risk assets has become increasingly asymmetric.

[Morgan Stanley Downgrades Global Stock Rating to Neutral, Upgrades U.S. Treasury Rating to Overweight]On March 31, Morgan Stanley downgraded its global stock rating from Overweight to Neutral and upgraded its rating for U.S. Treasuries and cash from Neutral to Overweight. The firm noted that there is uncertainty regarding the scale and duration of oil supply disruptions, indicating that the trajectory of risk assets has become increasingly asymmetric.

Morgan Stanley Downgrades Global Stock Rating to Neutral, Upgrades U.S. Treasury Rating to Overweight

On March 31, U.S. Senators Cynthia Lummis and Bill Cassidy introduced the 'Mined in America Act,' aimed at promoting the development of the cryptocurrency mining industry and codifying former President Trump's executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve into law. The bill plans to strengthen the role of cryptocurrency mining in the U.S. economy while solidifying previous policy arrangements regarding the strategic Bitcoin reserve through legislation. This reserve is primarily composed of Bitcoins seized by the U.S. Treasury through law enforcement actions. The bill also requires the U.S. Department of Commerce to establish a voluntary certification system to regulate mining pools and facilities. Additionally, certified mining facilities must gradually reduce their reliance on mining equipment produced by companies associated with 'foreign adversaries.' Proponents of the bill state that it is an important step towards making the U.S. a global center for digital assets and aims to enhance the country's strategic position within the cryptocurrency supply chain.

[Republican Party Introduces 'Mined in America Act' to Expand Mining and Strengthen Bitcoin Reserves]On March 31, U.S. Senators Cynthia Lummis and Bill Cassidy introduced the 'Mined in America Act,' aimed at promoting the development of the cryptocurrency mining industry and codifying former President Trump's executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve into law. The bill plans to strengthen the role of cryptocurrency mining in the U.S. economy while solidifying previous policy arrangements regarding the strategic Bitcoin reserve through legislation. This reserve is primarily composed of Bitcoins seized by the U.S. Treasury through law enforcement actions. The bill also requires the U.S. Department of Commerce to establish a voluntary certification system to regulate mining pools and facilities. Additionally, certified mining facilities must gradually reduce their reliance on mining equipment produced by companies associated with 'foreign adversaries.' Proponents of the bill state that it is an important step towards making the U.S. a global center for digital assets and aims to enhance the country's strategic position within the cryptocurrency supply chain.

Republican Party Introduces 'Mined in America Act' to Expand Mining and Strengthen Bitcoin Reserves

On March 31, U.S. prosecutors charged a Maryland man, Jonathan Spalletta, with multiple attacks on the decentralized exchange Uranium Finance starting in 2021, involving approximately $54 million. He has been formally indicted. According to the indictment released by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York, Spalletta faces two charges: computer fraud and money laundering, each carrying a maximum sentence of 10 years and 20 years in prison, respectively, totaling up to 30 years. Prosecutors allege that Spalletta manipulated smart contract trading processes to create false profits, illegally withdrawing more funds than entitled, ultimately causing significant damage and even collapse to the exchange. Additionally, the investigation revealed that he used part of the illicit proceeds to purchase collectibles, including a piece of fabric from the Wright brothers' airplane that was taken to the moon by astronaut Neil Armstrong during the Apollo 11 mission. Prosecutors emphasized that crypto assets are also protected by law, stating that the notion of 'cryptocurrency being just virtual assets' cannot serve as an excuse for theft.

[U.S. Man Charged in Uranium Finance Hacking Case Involving $54 Million, Faces Up to 30 Years in Prison]On March 31, U.S. prosecutors charged a Maryland man, Jonathan Spalletta, with multiple attacks on the decentralized exchange Uranium Finance starting in 2021, involving approximately $54 million. He has been formally indicted. According to the indictment released by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the Southern District of New York, Spalletta faces two charges: computer fraud and money laundering, each carrying a maximum sentence of 10 years and 20 years in prison, respectively, totaling up to 30 years. Prosecutors allege that Spalletta manipulated smart contract trading processes to create false profits, illegally withdrawing more funds than entitled, ultimately causing significant damage and even collapse to the exchange. Additionally, the investigation revealed that he used part of the illicit proceeds to purchase collectibles, including a piece of fabric from the Wright brothers' airplane that was taken to the moon by astronaut Neil Armstrong during the Apollo 11 mission. Prosecutors emphasized that crypto assets are also protected by law, stating that the notion of 'cryptocurrency being just virtual assets' cannot serve as an excuse for theft.

U.S. Man Charged in Uranium Finance Hacking Case Involving $54 Million, Faces Up to 30 Years in Prison

On March 31, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei stated on social media that Iran has not engaged in any negotiations with the United States since the outbreak of war. 'In these 31 days, we have not had any negotiations with the U.S.,' Baghaei said, adding that the current situation is that the U.S. has conveyed requests for negotiations and a package proposal through certain intermediaries, including Pakistan. He emphasized that Iran's position on a ceasefire has not changed. 'Our position is very clear. Currently, due to the ongoing military aggression and invasion by the U.S., all our efforts and capabilities are dedicated to defending Iran's fundamental interests.' Baghaei also noted that Iran 'will not forget the two betrayals of diplomatic means within less than a year.' The first betrayal he referred to was the 12-day war in June 2025, during which the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran's military and nuclear facilities while negotiations were ongoing.

[Iran Asserts No Negotiations with the U.S. Since War Began]On March 31, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei stated on social media that Iran has not engaged in any negotiations with the United States since the outbreak of war. 'In these 31 days, we have not had any negotiations with the U.S.,' Baghaei said, adding that the current situation is that the U.S. has conveyed requests for negotiations and a package proposal through certain intermediaries, including Pakistan. He emphasized that Iran's position on a ceasefire has not changed. 'Our position is very clear. Currently, due to the ongoing military aggression and invasion by the U.S., all our efforts and capabilities are dedicated to defending Iran's fundamental interests.' Baghaei also noted that Iran 'will not forget the two betrayals of diplomatic means within less than a year.' The first betrayal he referred to was the 12-day war in June 2025, during which the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran's military and nuclear facilities while negotiations were ongoing.

Iran Asserts No Negotiations with the U.S. Since War Began

On March 31, White House Press Secretary Levitt stated that U.S. military operations against Iran are 'proceeding as planned,' and the U.S. maintains that these operations will last '4 to 6 weeks.' Currently, Iran has agreed to allow 20 tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and 'we expect to announce an additional 20 tankers in the coming days,' attributing this to 'ongoing direct and indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.' (Xinhua News Agency)

[White House: U.S. Military Operations Expected to Last '4 to 6 Weeks']On March 31, White House Press Secretary Levitt stated that U.S. military operations against Iran are 'proceeding as planned,' and the U.S. maintains that these operations will last '4 to 6 weeks.' Currently, Iran has agreed to allow 20 tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and 'we expect to announce an additional 20 tankers in the coming days,' attributing this to 'ongoing direct and indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran.' (Xinhua News Agency)

White House: U.S. Military Operations Expected to Last '4 to 6 Weeks'

Ergo tweeted: “Using public data and chain forensics, we have attributed 432 addresses holding 317,705 BTC to likely GBTC custody activity. This total is about 50% of GBTC reported current holdings. Additional work is necessary to ID the remaining. ”

Detail

【432 addresses holding 317,000 BTC are related to GBTC custody, accounting for 50% of the total reported】Ergo tweeted: “Using public data and chain forensics, we have attributed 432 addresses holding 317,705 BTC to likely GBTC custody activity. This total is about 50% of GBTC reported current holdings. Additional work is necessary to ID the remaining. ”

432 addresses holding 317,000 BTC are related to GBTC custody, accounting for 50% of the total reported

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432 addresses holding 317,000 BTC are related to GBTC custody, accounting for 50% of the total reported

Descargo de responsabilidad：El contenido anterior no representa las posiciones de HTX.，HTX no ofrece ninguna recomendación de trading.。

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