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On March 30, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will attend a public event and participate in a live Q&A session at 22:30 Beijing time. Against the backdrop of ongoing tensions in the Middle East and increased market volatility, this speech is regarded as one of the most closely watched macro events of the week. The market widely expects Powell to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding clear signals regarding the path of interest rate cuts. With inflation still above the 2% target, compounded by tariffs and geopolitical conflicts that elevate uncertainty, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in the short term is rising, reinforcing expectations of 'no rate cuts'. Meanwhile, the tense relationship between President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve continues. If Powell signals a hawkish or wait-and-see approach, the market anticipates that Trump may exert pressure again, intensifying the policy game. On the fundamentals front, signs of weakening in the U.S. job market are emerging, with a significant drop in new jobs in February, putting pressure on the economic outlook and placing the Federal Reserve in a dilemma of 'high inflation + slowing growth'. Analysts point out that until the situation in the Middle East becomes clearer, monetary policy is likely to remain cautious, and market trends will continue to heavily depend on changes in geopolitical dynamics and inflation trajectories.

[Powell to Appear Tonight: Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures Test Rate Cut Expectations]On March 30, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will attend a public event and participate in a live Q&A session at 22:30 Beijing time. Against the backdrop of ongoing tensions in the Middle East and increased market volatility, this speech is regarded as one of the most closely watched macro events of the week. The market widely expects Powell to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding clear signals regarding the path of interest rate cuts. With inflation still above the 2% target, compounded by tariffs and geopolitical conflicts that elevate uncertainty, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in the short term is rising, reinforcing expectations of 'no rate cuts'. Meanwhile, the tense relationship between President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve continues. If Powell signals a hawkish or wait-and-see approach, the market anticipates that Trump may exert pressure again, intensifying the policy game. On the fundamentals front, signs of weakening in the U.S. job market are emerging, with a significant drop in new jobs in February, putting pressure on the economic outlook and placing the Federal Reserve in a dilemma of 'high inflation + slowing growth'. Analysts point out that until the situation in the Middle East becomes clearer, monetary policy is likely to remain cautious, and market trends will continue to heavily depend on changes in geopolitical dynamics and inflation trajectories.

Powell to Appear Tonight: Middle East Tensions and Inflation Pressures Test Rate Cut Expectations

According to monitoring by 1M AI News, after a recent update to Google's AI programming tool Antigravity, users have reported frequent 'high traffic' capacity errors across all models, preventing the completion of complex tasks. The Reddit community r/google_antigravity and the Google AI developer forum have seen a surge of similar complaints, affecting even paid subscription users. This continues the ongoing capacity crisis that Antigravity has faced since March. Version 1.20.5 (released on March 9) fixed a token measurement bug, but the AI Credits billing system introduced at the same time has led to abnormal credit consumption, with some users' quotas locked for up to 7 days. Following Google's shift of Antigravity from a free to a credit-based payment model in mid-March, dissatisfaction within the developer community has been escalating. Temporary solutions circulating in the community include disabling AI Credits in settings and reverting to version 1.19.6.

[Update Crashes: Google Antigravity Faces Capacity Issues Amid Ongoing Complaints Since March]According to monitoring by 1M AI News, after a recent update to Google's AI programming tool Antigravity, users have reported frequent 'high traffic' capacity errors across all models, preventing the completion of complex tasks. The Reddit community r/google_antigravity and the Google AI developer forum have seen a surge of similar complaints, affecting even paid subscription users. This continues the ongoing capacity crisis that Antigravity has faced since March. Version 1.20.5 (released on March 9) fixed a token measurement bug, but the AI Credits billing system introduced at the same time has led to abnormal credit consumption, with some users' quotas locked for up to 7 days. Following Google's shift of Antigravity from a free to a credit-based payment model in mid-March, dissatisfaction within the developer community has been escalating. Temporary solutions circulating in the community include disabling AI Credits in settings and reverting to version 1.19.6.

Update Crashes: Google Antigravity Faces Capacity Issues Amid Ongoing Complaints Since March

On March 30, US Treasury yields continued to decline from their recent highs, as investors gradually shifted their attention to the risks posed by the Middle East conflict on economic growth and inflationary pressures. The surge in energy prices has raised inflation concerns, prompting the market to significantly lower expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Konstantinos Chrysikos from Kudotrade stated that a series of US economic data set to be released this week will be crucial in shaping expectations for monetary policy. According to Tradeweb, the yield on the two-year US Treasury fell by 2.3 basis points to 3.893%, while the yield on the ten-year note dropped by 4 basis points to 4.4%.

[US Treasury Yields Decline as Market Focuses on Economic Growth and Inflation Risks]On March 30, US Treasury yields continued to decline from their recent highs, as investors gradually shifted their attention to the risks posed by the Middle East conflict on economic growth and inflationary pressures. The surge in energy prices has raised inflation concerns, prompting the market to significantly lower expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Konstantinos Chrysikos from Kudotrade stated that a series of US economic data set to be released this week will be crucial in shaping expectations for monetary policy. According to Tradeweb, the yield on the two-year US Treasury fell by 2.3 basis points to 3.893%, while the yield on the ten-year note dropped by 4 basis points to 4.4%.

US Treasury Yields Decline as Market Focuses on Economic Growth and Inflation Risks

On March 30, according to Coinshares' latest weekly report, there was a net outflow of $414 million after five consecutive weeks of inflows. Concerns over the Iran conflict and expectations of a shift in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy have led to a decrease in assets under management to $129 billion. The U.S. saw the largest outflow of $445 million, while Germany and Canada took the opportunity to absorb funds. Ethereum faced the largest sell-off with an outflow of $222 million (net inflow of $273 million year-to-date), possibly related to the CLARITY Act; Bitcoin experienced an outflow of $194 million but still maintains a net inflow of $964 million for the year; XRP performed well, recording an inflow of $15.8 million.

[Digital Asset Investment Products Experience $414 Million Net Outflow Last Week, First Outflow in Five Weeks]On March 30, according to Coinshares' latest weekly report, there was a net outflow of $414 million after five consecutive weeks of inflows. Concerns over the Iran conflict and expectations of a shift in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy have led to a decrease in assets under management to $129 billion. The U.S. saw the largest outflow of $445 million, while Germany and Canada took the opportunity to absorb funds. Ethereum faced the largest sell-off with an outflow of $222 million (net inflow of $273 million year-to-date), possibly related to the CLARITY Act; Bitcoin experienced an outflow of $194 million but still maintains a net inflow of $964 million for the year; XRP performed well, recording an inflow of $15.8 million.

Digital Asset Investment Products Experience $414 Million Net Outflow Last Week, First Outflow in Five Weeks

On March 30, as market fears over the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East drove up oil prices and dampened risk sentiment, the dollar strengthened once more. Previously, the yen had strengthened slightly, causing a minor retreat in the dollar, due to stronger warnings from Japanese officials about potential intervention to support the yen. However, the dollar's decline was limited and short-lived, supported by its safe-haven status and the U.S. position as a net oil exporter. Chris Turner from ING stated in a report: 'Unless Iran provides clear signals of de-escalation, it will be difficult to see the dollar give back its gains for the month in the short term.' (Jin Shi)

[Dollar Strengthens Again Amid Concerns Over Escalating War]On March 30, as market fears over the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East drove up oil prices and dampened risk sentiment, the dollar strengthened once more. Previously, the yen had strengthened slightly, causing a minor retreat in the dollar, due to stronger warnings from Japanese officials about potential intervention to support the yen. However, the dollar's decline was limited and short-lived, supported by its safe-haven status and the U.S. position as a net oil exporter. Chris Turner from ING stated in a report: 'Unless Iran provides clear signals of de-escalation, it will be difficult to see the dollar give back its gains for the month in the short term.' (Jin Shi)

Dollar Strengthens Again Amid Concerns Over Escalating War

On March 30, as conflicts in the Middle East escalated and policy uncertainties increased, the U.S. stock market faced downward pressure, with the S&P 500 index recording its fifth consecutive week of decline, marking the longest losing streak since 2022. Despite U.S. President Trump's repeated attempts to signal calming measures to stabilize market sentiment, investor reactions have noticeably weakened. Market analysts indicate that as the conflict drags on without resolution and policies fluctuate, the 'Trump put option' effect is fading, and investors are no longer trading solely based on policy statements; they are even beginning to engage in reverse operations in the absence of substantial progress. Meanwhile, oil prices remain high (with WTI crude surpassing $100), exacerbating global 'stagflation' concerns, coupled with the uncertainty in the Middle East, leading to heightened risk aversion in the market. The VIX volatility index rose above 31, significantly higher than the historical average. Institutions generally believe that without substantial easing of the situation in the Middle East, particularly the stabilization of the Strait of Hormuz, mere policy rhetoric will struggle to reverse the downward trend in the market.

[Trump's Influence Fades: Market Immune to Verbal Assurances as U.S. Stocks Drop for Five Consecutive Weeks]On March 30, as conflicts in the Middle East escalated and policy uncertainties increased, the U.S. stock market faced downward pressure, with the S&P 500 index recording its fifth consecutive week of decline, marking the longest losing streak since 2022. Despite U.S. President Trump's repeated attempts to signal calming measures to stabilize market sentiment, investor reactions have noticeably weakened. Market analysts indicate that as the conflict drags on without resolution and policies fluctuate, the 'Trump put option' effect is fading, and investors are no longer trading solely based on policy statements; they are even beginning to engage in reverse operations in the absence of substantial progress. Meanwhile, oil prices remain high (with WTI crude surpassing $100), exacerbating global 'stagflation' concerns, coupled with the uncertainty in the Middle East, leading to heightened risk aversion in the market. The VIX volatility index rose above 31, significantly higher than the historical average. Institutions generally believe that without substantial easing of the situation in the Middle East, particularly the stabilization of the Strait of Hormuz, mere policy rhetoric will struggle to reverse the downward trend in the market.

Trump's Influence Fades: Market Immune to Verbal Assurances as U.S. Stocks Drop for Five Consecutive Weeks

On March 30, QCP's latest market report noted that Bitcoin briefly dipped to $65,000 during the Asian trading session before quickly rebounding, currently maintaining a range between $66,000 and $67,000, continuing the typical trend of weakening over the weekend and stabilizing at the beginning of the week. Despite facing selling pressure after options expiration and uncertainties in the Middle East, BTC has overall held within the $65,000 to $70,000 range, although it may record a sixth consecutive month of decline, reflecting continued weak market sentiment. The report also highlighted that Bitcoin's recent relative performance remains resilient, outperforming gold and U.S. stocks since the escalation of the conflict in Iran, indicating a return of some safe-haven attributes. As Trump's '10-day buffer period' for military action against Iran approaches its April 6 deadline, the market remains vigilant regarding potential escalations, with BTC's short-term movements likely driven by news. On the macro front, high oil prices and risks to key transportation routes continue to strengthen 'stagflation' expectations; even if the situation eases, the war risk premium is unlikely to dissipate in the short term. The derivatives market shows limited volatility compression after options expiration, with traders still paying for market fluctuations, reflecting a cautious rather than panic sentiment, and the market has yet to form a clear upward breakout momentum.

[QCP: Bitcoin Maintains Range Consolidation, No Clear Upside Momentum Yet]On March 30, QCP's latest market report noted that Bitcoin briefly dipped to $65,000 during the Asian trading session before quickly rebounding, currently maintaining a range between $66,000 and $67,000, continuing the typical trend of weakening over the weekend and stabilizing at the beginning of the week. Despite facing selling pressure after options expiration and uncertainties in the Middle East, BTC has overall held within the $65,000 to $70,000 range, although it may record a sixth consecutive month of decline, reflecting continued weak market sentiment. The report also highlighted that Bitcoin's recent relative performance remains resilient, outperforming gold and U.S. stocks since the escalation of the conflict in Iran, indicating a return of some safe-haven attributes. As Trump's '10-day buffer period' for military action against Iran approaches its April 6 deadline, the market remains vigilant regarding potential escalations, with BTC's short-term movements likely driven by news. On the macro front, high oil prices and risks to key transportation routes continue to strengthen 'stagflation' expectations; even if the situation eases, the war risk premium is unlikely to dissipate in the short term. The derivatives market shows limited volatility compression after options expiration, with traders still paying for market fluctuations, reflecting a cautious rather than panic sentiment, and the market has yet to form a clear upward breakout momentum.

QCP: Bitcoin Maintains Range Consolidation, No Clear Upside Momentum Yet

On March 30, Lista DAO released the LIP024 proposal, aiming to introduce the LISTA token economic model 2.0 and gradually phase out the veLISTA mechanism, while expanding the application of LISTA throughout the protocol. The voting period for this proposal is from March 30, 2026, to April 2, 2026. Key changes include: 1. The elimination of the veLISTA mechanism, with all staked veLISTA being unlocked without any penalties, regardless of the original lock duration. 2. Simplified governance, where holding LISTA will grant proposal voting rights. The liquidity provider (LP) pool voting mechanism will be gradually phased out. 3. Replacement of revenue sharing with LISTA buybacks. Fees previously allocated to veLISTA stakers will be redirected to fund protocol development, user benefits, and LISTA buybacks. 4. Expansion of the application scope of the LISTA token, with the first new product feature, 'Delayed Liquidation', set to launch in the second quarter of 2026.

[Lista DAO Proposes New Initiative: Introduction of LISTA Token Economic Model 2.0 and Gradual Phasing Out of veLISTA Mechanism]On March 30, Lista DAO released the LIP024 proposal, aiming to introduce the LISTA token economic model 2.0 and gradually phase out the veLISTA mechanism, while expanding the application of LISTA throughout the protocol. The voting period for this proposal is from March 30, 2026, to April 2, 2026. Key changes include: 1. The elimination of the veLISTA mechanism, with all staked veLISTA being unlocked without any penalties, regardless of the original lock duration. 2. Simplified governance, where holding LISTA will grant proposal voting rights. The liquidity provider (LP) pool voting mechanism will be gradually phased out. 3. Replacement of revenue sharing with LISTA buybacks. Fees previously allocated to veLISTA stakers will be redirected to fund protocol development, user benefits, and LISTA buybacks. 4. Expansion of the application scope of the LISTA token, with the first new product feature, 'Delayed Liquidation', set to launch in the second quarter of 2026.

Lista DAO Proposes New Initiative: Introduction of LISTA Token Economic Model 2.0 and Gradual Phasing Out of veLISTA Mechanism

On March 30, the last week of March, the crypto market may experience a high volatility window. According to the schedule, the FTX Recovery Trust will distribute approximately $2.2 billion to creditors on March 31, which could have a direct impact on market liquidity. On the macro level, the U.S. non-farm employment data for March will be released on Friday, along with several key indicators such as the unemployment rate, initial jobless claims, and ISM. Given the ongoing tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation expectations, there remains uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's policy path. Additionally, BNP Paribas will launch six crypto ETN products; several DAO governance votes, token unlocks, and new project launches will also take place this week, including token unlocks for projects like SUI, Ethena, and Hyperliquid. Analysts believe that under the combined influence of geopolitical factors, macro data, and on-chain capital flows, this week may serve as an important observation window for the short-term trends in the crypto market.

[This Week's Crypto Market Outlook: FTX to Distribute $2.2 Billion in Payouts, U.S. Non-Farm Data as Key Variable]On March 30, the last week of March, the crypto market may experience a high volatility window. According to the schedule, the FTX Recovery Trust will distribute approximately $2.2 billion to creditors on March 31, which could have a direct impact on market liquidity. On the macro level, the U.S. non-farm employment data for March will be released on Friday, along with several key indicators such as the unemployment rate, initial jobless claims, and ISM. Given the ongoing tensions in the Middle East and rising inflation expectations, there remains uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's policy path. Additionally, BNP Paribas will launch six crypto ETN products; several DAO governance votes, token unlocks, and new project launches will also take place this week, including token unlocks for projects like SUI, Ethena, and Hyperliquid. Analysts believe that under the combined influence of geopolitical factors, macro data, and on-chain capital flows, this week may serve as an important observation window for the short-term trends in the crypto market.

This Week's Crypto Market Outlook: FTX to Distribute $2.2 Billion in Payouts, U.S. Non-Farm Data as Key Variable

The SEC wrote in a document filed on Friday that Ripple’s motion should be denied “because the undisputed evidence shows that defendants engaged in unregistered offers and sales of securities to public investors.”
Meanwhile, Ripple has also filed a document against the SEC’s motion for summary judgment, saying the securities watchdog has no viable legal theory to support its claim that Ripple had to register XRP as a security under the Securities Act of 1933.

Detail

【SEC asks court to deny Ripple motion for summary judgment in XRP lawsuit】The SEC wrote in a document filed on Friday that Ripple’s motion should be denied “because the undisputed evidence shows that defendants engaged in unregistered offers and sales of securities to public investors.”
Meanwhile, Ripple has also filed a document against the SEC’s motion for summary judgment, saying the securities watchdog has no viable legal theory to support its claim that Ripple had to register XRP as a security under the Securities Act of 1933.

SEC asks court to deny Ripple motion for summary judgment in XRP lawsuit

Article

Fed's April Rate Hike Probability Drops to 4.1%

cfg soared to 0.1688 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 4.96%. It currently trades at 0.163 USDT on HTX.

Analysts: 'CLARITY Act' May Pose Bearish Pressure on Yield-Bearing DeFi Tokens

ETH broke through 2000  USDT

ETH Surpasses $2,000

SEC asks court to deny Ripple motion for summary judgment in XRP lawsuit

Descargo de responsabilidad：El contenido anterior no representa las posiciones de HTX.，HTX no ofrece ninguna recomendación de trading.。

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