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On May 4, the Panic and Greed Index fell to 40 (down from 47 yesterday), changing its status from neutral to panic. Note: The panic index ranges from 0 to 100 and includes the following indicators: volatility (25%) + market trading volume (25%) + social media heat (15%) + market surveys (15%) + Bitcoin's proportion in the overall market (10%) + Google Trends analysis (10%).

[Panic and Greed Index Drops to 40, Shifts from Neutral to Panic]On May 4, the Panic and Greed Index fell to 40 (down from 47 yesterday), changing its status from neutral to panic. Note: The panic index ranges from 0 to 100 and includes the following indicators: volatility (25%) + market trading volume (25%) + social media heat (15%) + market surveys (15%) + Bitcoin's proportion in the overall market (10%) + Google Trends analysis (10%).

Panic and Greed Index Drops to 40, Shifts from Neutral to Panic

On May 4, U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra stated that the economic and financial pressure imposed by the United States is 'suffocating' Iran, suggesting that Tehran will be forced to make concessions. 'We have been running a marathon for the past 12 months, and now we are sprinting towards the finish line,' Becerra said in an interview with Fox News on Sunday. 'Iran cannot pay its soldiers. This is a real economic blockade.' Becerra noted that as oil storage facilities are rapidly filling up, Iran may start shutting down oil wells in the coming week.

[U.S. Treasury Secretary: Economic and Financial Pressure is 'Suffocating' Iran]On May 4, U.S. Treasury Secretary Becerra stated that the economic and financial pressure imposed by the United States is 'suffocating' Iran, suggesting that Tehran will be forced to make concessions. 'We have been running a marathon for the past 12 months, and now we are sprinting towards the finish line,' Becerra said in an interview with Fox News on Sunday. 'Iran cannot pay its soldiers. This is a real economic blockade.' Becerra noted that as oil storage facilities are rapidly filling up, Iran may start shutting down oil wells in the coming week.

U.S. Treasury Secretary: Economic and Financial Pressure is 'Suffocating' Iran

On May 4, Trump stated on social media that the U.S. will begin guiding some neutral ships stranded in the Persian Gulf out of the Hormuz Strait starting Monday. U.S. representatives are engaged in "very positive discussions" with Iran, which may ultimately lead to a result that is "very beneficial" for all parties, although he did not disclose further details. Trump emphasized that "this move is purely to rescue those completely innocent individuals, businesses, and nations who are victims trapped by the situation." He also warned that if this humanitarian action is interfered with in any way, the U.S. would unfortunately have to respond with forceful measures. According to a senior U.S. official, this new initiative, referred to by Trump as the "Freedom Plan," aims to enable countries, insurance companies, and shipping organizations to coordinate the passage of vessels through the Hormuz Strait. The official noted that the plan does not currently involve U.S. Navy ships escorting vessels through the strait.

[Trump: Guidance for Stranded Ships to Begin Monday in Hormuz Strait]On May 4, Trump stated on social media that the U.S. will begin guiding some neutral ships stranded in the Persian Gulf out of the Hormuz Strait starting Monday. U.S. representatives are engaged in "very positive discussions" with Iran, which may ultimately lead to a result that is "very beneficial" for all parties, although he did not disclose further details. Trump emphasized that "this move is purely to rescue those completely innocent individuals, businesses, and nations who are victims trapped by the situation." He also warned that if this humanitarian action is interfered with in any way, the U.S. would unfortunately have to respond with forceful measures. According to a senior U.S. official, this new initiative, referred to by Trump as the "Freedom Plan," aims to enable countries, insurance companies, and shipping organizations to coordinate the passage of vessels through the Hormuz Strait. The official noted that the plan does not currently involve U.S. Navy ships escorting vessels through the strait.

Trump: Guidance for Stranded Ships to Begin Monday in Hormuz Strait

On May 4, the key events and data forecast for this week are as follows: 1. Monday: ① Data: Final manufacturing PMI for France, Germany, and the Eurozone for April; US factory orders month-on-month for March. ② Holidays: Markets closed in Japan, the UK, Hong Kong, and mainland China. ③ Trump threatens to impose a 25% tariff on EU cars exported to the US this week. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision for May; Switzerland's CPI for April; US trade balance for March, final S&P Global services and composite PMI for April, ISM non-manufacturing PMI, March JOLTs job openings, annualized new home sales. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Williams speaks; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers attend parliamentary hearings; Reserve Bank of Australia announces interest rate decision and monetary policy statement, Chair Lowe holds a press conference; Saudi Aramco announces official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. ③ Holidays: Markets closed in South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, and mainland China. ④ Earnings reports: Pfizer, AMD. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA weekly oil reports, April ADP; China's RatingDog services PMI for April; final services PMI for the UK, France, Germany, and the Eurozone for April; Eurozone PPI for March. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Musalem speaks on economic outlook and monetary policy; central bank conducts a 300 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a three-month term. ③ Holidays: Markets closed in Japan. ④ Earnings reports: Walt Disney, ARM. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US Challenger job cuts for April, initial jobless claims, March construction spending month-on-month, EIA natural gas inventory, New York Fed one-year inflation expectations, China's foreign exchange reserves for April. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Goolsbee participates in a panel discussion at a conference. 5. Friday: ① Data: Germany's seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month for March, trade balance; Switzerland's consumer confidence index for April; Canada's employment numbers for April; US non-farm payroll report for April; preliminary one-year inflation expectations, University of Michigan consumer confidence index, March wholesale sales month-on-month. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Hamrick and Williams speak; domestic refined oil prices will enter a new adjustment window. 6. Saturday: ① Data: China's trade balance for April. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Goolsbee and Daly attend a panel discussion at the Hoover Institution's 2026 monetary policy conference; Putin will deliver an important speech at the Victory Day parade. (Jin Shi)

[Key Events and Data Forecast This Week - US Non-Farm Payroll, China's Trade Balance; Trump Threatens to Raise Tariffs on EU Cars]On May 4, the key events and data forecast for this week are as follows: 1. Monday: ① Data: Final manufacturing PMI for France, Germany, and the Eurozone for April; US factory orders month-on-month for March. ② Holidays: Markets closed in Japan, the UK, Hong Kong, and mainland China. ③ Trump threatens to impose a 25% tariff on EU cars exported to the US this week. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision for May; Switzerland's CPI for April; US trade balance for March, final S&P Global services and composite PMI for April, ISM non-manufacturing PMI, March JOLTs job openings, annualized new home sales. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Williams speaks; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers attend parliamentary hearings; Reserve Bank of Australia announces interest rate decision and monetary policy statement, Chair Lowe holds a press conference; Saudi Aramco announces official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. ③ Holidays: Markets closed in South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, and mainland China. ④ Earnings reports: Pfizer, AMD. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA weekly oil reports, April ADP; China's RatingDog services PMI for April; final services PMI for the UK, France, Germany, and the Eurozone for April; Eurozone PPI for March. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Musalem speaks on economic outlook and monetary policy; central bank conducts a 300 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a three-month term. ③ Holidays: Markets closed in Japan. ④ Earnings reports: Walt Disney, ARM. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US Challenger job cuts for April, initial jobless claims, March construction spending month-on-month, EIA natural gas inventory, New York Fed one-year inflation expectations, China's foreign exchange reserves for April. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Goolsbee participates in a panel discussion at a conference. 5. Friday: ① Data: Germany's seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month for March, trade balance; Switzerland's consumer confidence index for April; Canada's employment numbers for April; US non-farm payroll report for April; preliminary one-year inflation expectations, University of Michigan consumer confidence index, March wholesale sales month-on-month. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Hamrick and Williams speak; domestic refined oil prices will enter a new adjustment window. 6. Saturday: ① Data: China's trade balance for April. ② Events: Federal Reserve's Goolsbee and Daly attend a panel discussion at the Hoover Institution's 2026 monetary policy conference; Putin will deliver an important speech at the Victory Day parade. (Jin Shi)

Key Events and Data Forecast This Week - US Non-Farm Payroll, China's Trade Balance; Trump Threatens to Raise Tariffs on EU Cars

On May 4, the US Central Command announced that the military will begin supporting 'Freedom of Navigation' operations to restore the freedom of commercial vessels to transit through the Strait of Hormuz. This mission, ordered by the President, aims to provide support for merchant ships seeking free passage through this critical international trade route. A quarter of the world's maritime oil trade, along with a significant amount of fuel and fertilizer products, is transported through this strait. Central Command Commander Admiral Brad Cooper stated, 'Support for this defensive mission is crucial for regional security and the global economy as we maintain maritime blockades.' Last week, the US State Department announced a new initiative in collaboration with the Department of Defense to enhance coordination and information sharing among international partners to support maritime security in the strait. The 'Maritime Freedom Concept' aims to combine diplomatic actions with military coordination, which will be vital during the 'Freedom of Navigation' operations. US military support for 'Freedom of Navigation' will include missile destroyers, over 100 land-based and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 personnel.

[US Central Command to Provide Missile Destroyers and Aircraft for Strait of Hormuz Operations]On May 4, the US Central Command announced that the military will begin supporting 'Freedom of Navigation' operations to restore the freedom of commercial vessels to transit through the Strait of Hormuz. This mission, ordered by the President, aims to provide support for merchant ships seeking free passage through this critical international trade route. A quarter of the world's maritime oil trade, along with a significant amount of fuel and fertilizer products, is transported through this strait. Central Command Commander Admiral Brad Cooper stated, 'Support for this defensive mission is crucial for regional security and the global economy as we maintain maritime blockades.' Last week, the US State Department announced a new initiative in collaboration with the Department of Defense to enhance coordination and information sharing among international partners to support maritime security in the strait. The 'Maritime Freedom Concept' aims to combine diplomatic actions with military coordination, which will be vital during the 'Freedom of Navigation' operations. US military support for 'Freedom of Navigation' will include missile destroyers, over 100 land-based and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 personnel.

US Central Command to Provide Missile Destroyers and Aircraft for Strait of Hormuz Operations

On May 4, the US Central Command announced that the military would begin supporting 'Operation Freedom' on May 4 to restore the freedom of navigation for commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. This mission, ordered by the President, aims to support merchant ships seeking free passage through this vital international trade route. A quarter of the world's maritime oil trade, along with significant amounts of fuel and fertilizer products, is transported through the strait. General Brad Cooper, commander of Central Command, stated, 'Support for this defensive mission is critical for regional security and the global economy while we maintain maritime blockades.' Last week, the US State Department announced a new initiative in collaboration with the Department of Defense to enhance coordination and information sharing among international partners to support maritime security in the strait. The 'Maritime Freedom Initiative' aims to combine diplomatic actions with military coordination, which will be crucial during 'Operation Freedom.' US military support for 'Operation Freedom' will include missile destroyers, over 100 land-based and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 personnel.

[US Central Command to Provide Missile Destroyers and Aircraft for Strait of Hormuz Operations]On May 4, the US Central Command announced that the military would begin supporting 'Operation Freedom' on May 4 to restore the freedom of navigation for commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. This mission, ordered by the President, aims to support merchant ships seeking free passage through this vital international trade route. A quarter of the world's maritime oil trade, along with significant amounts of fuel and fertilizer products, is transported through the strait. General Brad Cooper, commander of Central Command, stated, 'Support for this defensive mission is critical for regional security and the global economy while we maintain maritime blockades.' Last week, the US State Department announced a new initiative in collaboration with the Department of Defense to enhance coordination and information sharing among international partners to support maritime security in the strait. The 'Maritime Freedom Initiative' aims to combine diplomatic actions with military coordination, which will be crucial during 'Operation Freedom.' US military support for 'Operation Freedom' will include missile destroyers, over 100 land-based and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 personnel.

On May 4, according to The Wall Street Journal: GameStop (GME.N) has proposed to acquire eBay (EBAY.O) at a price of $125 per share, valuing the company at approximately $56 billion. (Jin Shi)

[GameStop Proposes Acquisition of eBay at $125 per Share, Valuing Company at $56 Billion]On May 4, according to The Wall Street Journal: GameStop (GME.N) has proposed to acquire eBay (EBAY.O) at a price of $125 per share, valuing the company at approximately $56 billion. (Jin Shi)

GameStop Proposes Acquisition of eBay at $125 per Share, Valuing Company at $56 Billion

On May 4, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 92.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 7.2%. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged until July is 88.8%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 10.9% and a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability of 0.3%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged until September is 83.0%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability of 16.0% and a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability of 1.0%. (Jin Shi)

[Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in June at 92.8%]On May 4, according to CME's 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 92.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 7.2%. The probability of maintaining rates unchanged until July is 88.8%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 10.9% and a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability of 0.3%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged until September is 83.0%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability of 16.0% and a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability of 1.0%. (Jin Shi)

Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in June at 92.8%

On May 4, The Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. President Trump had earlier announced that the U.S. would begin guiding commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz. He also stated that negotiations between the U.S. and Tehran are ongoing, aimed at finding a way to end the conflict. According to a senior U.S. official, this new initiative, referred to by Trump as the 'Freedom Plan,' is designed to enable countries, insurance companies, and shipping organizations to coordinate the passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. The official noted that the plan currently does not involve U.S. Navy ships escorting vessels through the strait.

[U.S. Officials Clarify: Trump's 'Rescue' Operation for Stranded Ships in the Strait of Hormuz Does Not Involve Naval Escort]On May 4, The Wall Street Journal reported that U.S. President Trump had earlier announced that the U.S. would begin guiding commercial ships out of the Strait of Hormuz. He also stated that negotiations between the U.S. and Tehran are ongoing, aimed at finding a way to end the conflict. According to a senior U.S. official, this new initiative, referred to by Trump as the 'Freedom Plan,' is designed to enable countries, insurance companies, and shipping organizations to coordinate the passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. The official noted that the plan currently does not involve U.S. Navy ships escorting vessels through the strait.

U.S. Officials Clarify: Trump's 'Rescue' Operation for Stranded Ships in the Strait of Hormuz Does Not Involve Naval Escort

On May 2, the Ethereum Foundation released a summary of the Soldøgn Interop Recap event. At the end of April 2026, over 100 Ethereum core developers participated in the Soldøgn interoperability event, focusing on the upcoming Glamsterdam network upgrade. The event achieved three core objectives: establishing the gas limit lower bound at 200M after the upgrade, ensuring ePBS operates stably across multiple clients (supporting external builders), and setting the gas repricing parameters for EIP-8037. Progress was also made in optimizing block access lists, making decisions on multiple Glamsterdam EIPs, and laying the groundwork for future features such as FOCIL for Hegotá and native account abstraction. Through intensive coding, stress testing, and breakout discussions, the team successfully built a stable devnet, resolved numerous cross-client edge issues, and optimized state growth control and execution efficiency, providing reliable data support for enhancing throughput security.

[EF: Gas Limit Lower Bound Set at 200M After Glamsterdam Upgrade]On May 2, the Ethereum Foundation released a summary of the Soldøgn Interop Recap event. At the end of April 2026, over 100 Ethereum core developers participated in the Soldøgn interoperability event, focusing on the upcoming Glamsterdam network upgrade. The event achieved three core objectives: establishing the gas limit lower bound at 200M after the upgrade, ensuring ePBS operates stably across multiple clients (supporting external builders), and setting the gas repricing parameters for EIP-8037. Progress was also made in optimizing block access lists, making decisions on multiple Glamsterdam EIPs, and laying the groundwork for future features such as FOCIL for Hegotá and native account abstraction. Through intensive coding, stress testing, and breakout discussions, the team successfully built a stable devnet, resolved numerous cross-client edge issues, and optimized state growth control and execution efficiency, providing reliable data support for enhancing throughput security.

EF: Gas Limit Lower Bound Set at 200M After Glamsterdam Upgrade

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EF: Gas Limit Lower Bound Set at 200M After Glamsterdam Upgrade

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