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On March 29th, "describing the recent shift in market expectations for central bank monetary policy as a '180-degree turn' seems insufficient." Just a few weeks ago, the market was anticipating multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026. Now, it has clearly begun to price in the possibility of a rate hike this year. 

Latest data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of the federal funds rate being higher than the current range of 3.50%-3.75% by the end of this year is approaching 30%, while the probability of a rate decrease has fallen to 2.9%.

This shift in expectations is primarily driven by inflation concerns stemming from the energy market. Since the escalation of tensions in the Middle East in late February, Brent crude oil prices have risen from around $70 per barrel to approximately $111 per barrel currently. Concurrently, long-term U.S. Treasury yields have also surged significantly, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing from below 4% a few weeks ago to around 4.40%.

The newsletter "Crypto is Macro Now" pointed out: "Food and energy prices will unfortunately continue to rise and remain at high levels for some time, at least until the issues with Middle East shipping disruptions are resolved. Even if a peace agreement were reached tomorrow (which is unlikely), it would still take months to see any relief."

[Market Reprices Rate Hike Expectations Amid Inflation and Geopolitical Concerns Reshaping Fed's Path]On March 29th, "describing the recent shift in market expectations for central bank monetary policy as a '180-degree turn' seems insufficient." Just a few weeks ago, the market was anticipating multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026. Now, it has clearly begun to price in the possibility of a rate hike this year. 

Latest data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of the federal funds rate being higher than the current range of 3.50%-3.75% by the end of this year is approaching 30%, while the probability of a rate decrease has fallen to 2.9%.

This shift in expectations is primarily driven by inflation concerns stemming from the energy market. Since the escalation of tensions in the Middle East in late February, Brent crude oil prices have risen from around $70 per barrel to approximately $111 per barrel currently. Concurrently, long-term U.S. Treasury yields have also surged significantly, with the 10-year Treasury yield climbing from below 4% a few weeks ago to around 4.40%.

The newsletter "Crypto is Macro Now" pointed out: "Food and energy prices will unfortunately continue to rise and remain at high levels for some time, at least until the issues with Middle East shipping disruptions are resolved. Even if a peace agreement were reached tomorrow (which is unlikely), it would still take months to see any relief."

Market Reprices Rate Hike Expectations Amid Inflation and Geopolitical Concerns Reshaping Fed's Path

btw Hits New High of 0.025769 USDT, Up 4.83% in 24H

【btw soared to 0.026489 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 4.83%. It currently trades at 0.025769 USDT on HTX.】btw Hits New High of 0.025769 USDT, Up 4.83% in 24H

btw soared to 0.026489 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 4.83%. It currently trades at 0.025769 USDT on HTX.

Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, posted on X stating that Bitcoin currently feels like when your parents started using Facebook. On one hand, with the "Boomers" entering, it's no longer as "cool." On the other hand, as this "coolness" faded, Facebook's user base grew from approximately 1 billion to 3 billion, making the implication quite clear...

[Bloomberg Analyst: Bitcoin Echoes Facebook's 'Coolness' Decline, Poised for User Growth]Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, posted on X stating that Bitcoin currently feels like when your parents started using Facebook. On one hand, with the "Boomers" entering, it's no longer as "cool." On the other hand, as this "coolness" faded, Facebook's user base grew from approximately 1 billion to 3 billion, making the implication quite clear...

Bloomberg Analyst: Bitcoin Echoes Facebook's 'Coolness' Decline, Poised for User Growth

On March 29, Iran's Islamic Republic Broadcasting reported that an MQ-9 Reaper drone was shot down by the Iranian Army's air defense forces in the eastern part of the Strait of Hormuz. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Iran Claims Downing of MQ-9 Reaper Drone]On March 29, Iran's Islamic Republic Broadcasting reported that an MQ-9 Reaper drone was shot down by the Iranian Army's air defense forces in the eastern part of the Strait of Hormuz. (Xinhua News Agency)

Iran Claims Downing of MQ-9 Reaper Drone

On March 29th, according to HyperInsight monitoring, as Ethereum fell below $2,000, the total long positions held by "Machi Big Brother" Steven Huang, valued at over $15 million, are currently showing an unrealized loss exceeding $300,000. Among these, the ETH long position is valued at $10.87 million, with an opening price of $2,040.64 and a liquidation price of $1,950.33, potentially facing liquidation risk again.

[Machi Big Brother Faces Over $300K Loss on Long Positions, Liquidation Risk Looms]On March 29th, according to HyperInsight monitoring, as Ethereum fell below $2,000, the total long positions held by "Machi Big Brother" Steven Huang, valued at over $15 million, are currently showing an unrealized loss exceeding $300,000. Among these, the ETH long position is valued at $10.87 million, with an opening price of $2,040.64 and a liquidation price of $1,950.33, potentially facing liquidation risk again.

Machi Big Brother Faces Over $300K Loss on Long Positions, Liquidation Risk Looms

On March 29th, a group of Ethereum projects announced a new initiative aimed at addressing a growing problem within Ethereum: its ecosystem is becoming increasingly fragmented. Officially unveiled at the EthCC conference in Cannes, France, the project, named the 'Ethereum Economic Zone' (EEZ), aims to enable more seamless collaboration among Ethereum's numerous scaling networks, also known as Layer 2s (L2s).

The framework was jointly developed by Gnosis, Zisk, and the Ethereum Foundation. Gnosis is a development team with a long history in Ethereum infrastructure, while Zisk focuses on zero-knowledge proof technology.

For years, Ethereum has relied on L2 networks for scaling, but these networks have often operated like "islands." Users need to transfer assets between different networks using cross-chain bridges, a process that is typically slow, costly, and risky. Meanwhile, developers often have to rebuild the same tools on each network.

The EEZ aims to change this status quo, allowing these networks to operate as a unified system. In simple terms, it will enable applications and transactions on different Ethereum networks to interact instantly – without the need for cross-chain bridges, while still relying on Ethereum's core security.

This launch comes at a time when discussions about Ethereum's long-term reliance on the L2 scaling path are heating up. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently stated that the ecosystem may need to re-examine its L2-centric roadmap as fragmentation and user experience issues persist. The EEZ appears to be a direct response to such concerns, attempting to consolidate the entire network ecosystem by unifying liquidity, infrastructure, and user flows, rather than continuing to add more disconnected chains.

[Gnosis and Zisk Launch 'Ethereum Economic Zone' Rollup Framework, Co-Funded by Ethereum Foundation]On March 29th, a group of Ethereum projects announced a new initiative aimed at addressing a growing problem within Ethereum: its ecosystem is becoming increasingly fragmented. Officially unveiled at the EthCC conference in Cannes, France, the project, named the 'Ethereum Economic Zone' (EEZ), aims to enable more seamless collaboration among Ethereum's numerous scaling networks, also known as Layer 2s (L2s).

The framework was jointly developed by Gnosis, Zisk, and the Ethereum Foundation. Gnosis is a development team with a long history in Ethereum infrastructure, while Zisk focuses on zero-knowledge proof technology.

For years, Ethereum has relied on L2 networks for scaling, but these networks have often operated like "islands." Users need to transfer assets between different networks using cross-chain bridges, a process that is typically slow, costly, and risky. Meanwhile, developers often have to rebuild the same tools on each network.

The EEZ aims to change this status quo, allowing these networks to operate as a unified system. In simple terms, it will enable applications and transactions on different Ethereum networks to interact instantly – without the need for cross-chain bridges, while still relying on Ethereum's core security.

This launch comes at a time when discussions about Ethereum's long-term reliance on the L2 scaling path are heating up. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently stated that the ecosystem may need to re-examine its L2-centric roadmap as fragmentation and user experience issues persist. The EEZ appears to be a direct response to such concerns, attempting to consolidate the entire network ecosystem by unifying liquidity, infrastructure, and user flows, rather than continuing to add more disconnected chains.

Gnosis and Zisk Launch 'Ethereum Economic Zone' Rollup Framework, Co-Funded by Ethereum Foundation

March 29th report: US Democratic Senator Andy Kim from New Jersey has urged President Trump not to send ground troops to Iran. Kim, a former diplomat, stated in an interview with CNN on Sunday morning that deploying ground troops to Iran would only prolong the conflict and further increase risks, especially after so many military personnel have already been placed in danger. Kim also questioned the purpose of such an extremely risky action. This comes after a report by The Wall Street Journal indicated that the US Department of Defense is considering sending up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East. While the specific deployment locations for these troops remain unclear, they would likely be positioned within range to strike Iran and its oil export hub on Kharg Island.

[US Senator Urges Trump Against Deploying Troops to Iran]March 29th report: US Democratic Senator Andy Kim from New Jersey has urged President Trump not to send ground troops to Iran. Kim, a former diplomat, stated in an interview with CNN on Sunday morning that deploying ground troops to Iran would only prolong the conflict and further increase risks, especially after so many military personnel have already been placed in danger. Kim also questioned the purpose of such an extremely risky action. This comes after a report by The Wall Street Journal indicated that the US Department of Defense is considering sending up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East. While the specific deployment locations for these troops remain unclear, they would likely be positioned within range to strike Iran and its oil export hub on Kharg Island.

US Senator Urges Trump Against Deploying Troops to Iran

March 29th News: A recent poll released by Fox News Channel in the United States shows that nearly two-thirds of surveyed American voters are dissatisfied with President Trump's performance, with his disapproval rating reaching a new high during his two terms. The poll, conducted by the conservative media outlet among 1001 registered voters, revealed that 59% of respondents are dissatisfied with Trump's governance. This figure is an 8 percentage point increase from a year ago, marking not only the highest disapproval rating since the start of his second term but also surpassing his first term's record. His approval rating has fallen from 49% a year ago to 41%. The poll randomly selected respondents from the US voter registry. Among Republican supporters, Trump's approval rating stands at 84%, an 8 percentage point decrease from the same period last year, and the lowest since the beginning of his second term. His disapproval ratings among Democratic and independent voters reached 95% and 75% respectively. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Poll: Record High Disapproval for Trump Among US Voters]March 29th News: A recent poll released by Fox News Channel in the United States shows that nearly two-thirds of surveyed American voters are dissatisfied with President Trump's performance, with his disapproval rating reaching a new high during his two terms. The poll, conducted by the conservative media outlet among 1001 registered voters, revealed that 59% of respondents are dissatisfied with Trump's governance. This figure is an 8 percentage point increase from a year ago, marking not only the highest disapproval rating since the start of his second term but also surpassing his first term's record. His approval rating has fallen from 49% a year ago to 41%. The poll randomly selected respondents from the US voter registry. Among Republican supporters, Trump's approval rating stands at 84%, an 8 percentage point decrease from the same period last year, and the lowest since the beginning of his second term. His disapproval ratings among Democratic and independent voters reached 95% and 75% respectively. (Xinhua News Agency)

Poll: Record High Disapproval for Trump Among US Voters

On March 29, according to Coinglass data, Bitcoin's return rate for March this year is reported at -0.76%, which may result in a consecutive 6-month decline. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a similar situation once: from August 2018 to January 2019, it saw a cumulative drop of about 54.8% over 6 months. Subsequently, Bitcoin experienced a consecutive 5-month rise (from February 2019 to June 2019), with a total increase of up to 208%.

[Bitcoin May Experience Second Consecutive 6-Month Decline, Following First Decline with 208% Surge]On March 29, according to Coinglass data, Bitcoin's return rate for March this year is reported at -0.76%, which may result in a consecutive 6-month decline. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a similar situation once: from August 2018 to January 2019, it saw a cumulative drop of about 54.8% over 6 months. Subsequently, Bitcoin experienced a consecutive 5-month rise (from February 2019 to June 2019), with a total increase of up to 208%.

Bitcoin May Experience Second Consecutive 6-Month Decline, Following First Decline with 208% Surge

火币HTX数据监测显示， ZBT  快速上涨，最高涨至 0.168 USDT，现报 0.16 USDT，24H最高涨幅 58%。

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【ZBT 涨超 58 % ，现报 0.16 USDT】火币HTX数据监测显示， ZBT  快速上涨，最高涨至 0.168 USDT，现报 0.16 USDT，24H最高涨幅 58%。

ZBT 涨超 58 % ，现报 0.16 USDT

Article

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IDF Completes New Round of Large-Scale Airstrikes on Iranian Capital

ZBT 涨超 58 % ，现报 0.16 USDT

Descargo de responsabilidad：El contenido anterior no representa las posiciones de HTX.，HTX no ofrece ninguna recomendación de trading.。

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