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Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Create Content for HTX and Win a Share of 1000U!OPN: Omnichain Prediction Market Author: Michel Athayde, Bitget Wallet BD Ambassador Abstract In tradi

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Author: Michel Athayde, Bitget Wallet BD Ambassador

Abstract

In traditional financial markets, long-term buying of deep out-of-the-money (OTM) Puts is often considered a typical "black swan insurance" strategy: continuously losing premiums during normal times, only to recoup losses or even make a large profit in a single instance of extreme risk. The question is, does this logic still hold true in the more volatile and frequently crashing crypto market?

This backtest provides a more complex answer. Based on historical data from January 1, 2018 to March 14, 2026, we conducted a systematic test on BTC and ETH: purchasing one deep OTM Put each month and holding it until maturity without market timing. The results show that this is not a "stable profit" strategy, but rather an extremely right-skewed, extremely low-win-rate, and highly path-dependent tail insurance tool. Under the benchmark portfolio, BTC's final total return was 97.62%, while ETH's was -73.07%; that is, the same logic can yield completely opposite long-term results on different assets.

 Research Background

"Long-term insurance" has always been one of the most controversial strategies. Supporters argue that what truly determines the fate of long-term funds is not daily volatility, but rather a few systemic crashes; opponents, on the other hand, believe that paying premiums year after year is essentially gambling on uncertain disasters with certain losses.

The crypto market makes this debate even more interesting. On one hand, the volatility of BTC and ETH is far higher than that of traditional assets, and crashes are not uncommon; on the other hand, extreme market conditions occur more frequently, theoretically making tail hedging more suitable for survival. Thus, a key question arises: if one doesn't time the market or judge cycles, but simply mechanically buys o

Author: Michel Athayde, Bitget Wallet BD Ambassado

USOIL: Tokenized WTI Crude Oil

An Australian Senate committee has suggested passing a prominent crypto regulatory bill that would need financial licences for crypto platforms. The report released on March 16 mentioned that the Sena

An Australian Senate committee has suggested passing a prominent crypto regulatory bill that would need financial licences for crypto platforms.

The report released on March 16 mentioned that the Senate Economics Legislation Committee said the Corporations Amendment Bill 2025 would depict a substantial enhancement in the regulation of digital assets in Australia.

The committee also highlighted that developing rules which are able to accurately recognise and control risk while being technology-neutral and compatible with international frameworks is a significantly difficult undertaking but deduced that the bill offers meaningfully robust safeguards for Australian consumers.

The legislation is part of Australia's wider push to set up a comprehensive regulatory framework for crypto services. As per the proposal, businesses running digital asset platforms or tokenized custody platforms would be given similar treatment to other financial service providers and need to get an Australian Financial Services Licence, as per an official bill digest.

Instead of regulating the underlying blockchain technology, the bill aims at intermediaries that hold customer assets or facilitate trading, which regulators see as the prime source of potential risk in the ecosystem.

The bill also clarified prominent concepts like "digital tokens" and defined how current financial services laws apply to crypto platforms and rolled out rules governing asset custody, transaction

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An Australian Senate committee has suggested passi

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Singapore-based crypto exchange platform Coinhako has found itself in the spotlight today due to massive movements of Shiba Inu (SHIB) tokens. Thus, over the past 24 hours, the exchange redistributed 

Singapore Suddenly Takes Lead in Shiba Inu With 441.36 Billion SHIB Shuffle

A broader rally on the market saw major cryptocurrencies, including Shiba Inu, post one of their strongest weekly gains of late. Advertisement At the time of writing, Shiba Inu was up 8% in the last 2

A broader rally on the market saw major cryptocurrencies, including Shiba Inu, post one of their strongest weekly gains of late. Advertisement At the time of writing, Shiba Inu was up 8% in the last 24 hours to $0.0000063 and up 17% weekly. The 8% price jump in the last 24 hours corresponds with a "golden cross" on the three-hour chart. The 50 MA on the three-hour chart has risen above the 200 MA, indicating a golden cross. The price increase coincides with the Shiba Inu price achieving a much-watched breakout on the daily chart. Shiba Inu rose past the daily MA 50 at $0.00000621 for the first time since Jan. 18. HOT Stories Crypto Market Review: Where Did XRP's Volatility Go? Bitcoin (BTC) $72,000 Break Is Not What You Think It Is, Did Shiba Inu (SHIB) Reach Top? Price Below $0.000006 Strategy (MSTR) Buys $1.3 Billion Worth of Bitcoin, Ripple Secures Major Partnership, SBI Offers XRP Rewards to Investors - Top Weekly Crypto News SHIB/USD 3-Hour Chart, Image By: TradingViewShiba Inu had sought to sustain a rise above the daily MA 50 amid a previous attempt on March 13. The price jump marks the first clear move above this price level since early 2026, shifting short-term momentum toward buyers. Advertisement You Might Also Like Sun, 03/15/2026 - 16:38 Shiba Inu Burns 4 Million SHIB as Supply Stays Steady at 589 Trillion, Will Price React? ByTomiwabold Olajide Traders are now waiting to see whether Shiba Inu can maintain support above the daily MA 50 level of $0.00000621.If this support holds, this could open the pathway to $0.00000912 and then $0.00001017 as buying pressure increases. Advertisement However, a drop back below $0.0000062 (the daily MA 50) might cause the breakout to be lost and send Shiba Inu back to its

A broader rally on the market saw major cryptocurr

Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Bitcoin - Weekly Update: Floating at the Edge, Watc

Bitcoin - Weekly Update: Floating at the Edge, Watching for the Trigger The push to $73,900 this week is consistent with what Elliott Wave principles pointed toward a bounce toward the Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zones.

Bitcoin is doing what it does best when nobody knows what to do - nothing. The range between $70,000 and $64,000 has been the market's waiting room for weeks, and this week it finally showed signs of life, pushing to $73,900 before pulling back to consolidate around $71,000. Both levels carry serious weight. $74,000 is now the immediate line in the sand a high volume break above it opens $80,000 directly. $64,000 remains the structural floor that the entire bullish narrative depends on.

Bitcoin - Weekly Update: Floating at the Edge, Wat

XAUT maintained a price range between its high, low, and closing figures within a narrow band. The minimal change rate suggests that the market may be absorbing the BTC withdrawal without immediate pa

Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Predict BTC's Price & Win 480M $HTX for 30 DaysClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge TAO Jumps 40% as AI Network Expands Bittensor’s $TAO 

TAO Jumps 40% as AI Network Expands
Bittensor’s $TAO recorded a sharp 40% rally, reaching a high near $294 before easing to around $280. The surge follows rapid network expansion, with active AI subnets growing to 128 this year. Strong momentum came after Templar introduced Covenant 72B, a large decentralized language model trained on 1.1 trillion tokens, drawing significant market attention. Although some traders secured profits after the spike, continued network growth and supply tightening are keeping long-term sentiment constructive.


TAO Jumps 40% as AI Network Expands

Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Create Content for HTX and Win a Share of 1000U!OPN: Omnichain Prediction Market Crypto investment products recorded $1.06 billion in inflows last wee


Crypto investment products recorded $1.06 billion in inflows last week, even as geopolitical stress tied to tensions in the Middle East continued to weigh on broader financial markets. Summary Crypto investment products recorded $1.06 billion in inflows last week, extending a three-week run of positive flows despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Bitcoin led with $793 million in inflows, while Ethereum attracted $315 million. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted their first five-day inflow streak of 2026. Per a CoinShares report published Monday, crypto investor reaction to tensions in the Middle East appears relatively measured, as digital asset investment products have now recorded a three-week run of positive flows. In total, the past three weeks have brought in $2.7 billion in inflows, driving net inflows to around $1.2 billion year to date. Meanwhile, total assets under management in digital asset ETPs have also risen 9.4% to nearly $140 billion, according to CoinShares head of research James Butterfill. With the latest inflows, Bitcoin ETPs have pushed year-to-date gains to $933 million, while Ethereum funds are still in the red with around $23 million in outflows year to date, despite $315 million in inflows last week. Butterfill noted that the latest data highlights Bitcoin’s “resilience during geopolitical stress” and reinforces its role “as a relative safe haven.” You might also like: South Korea’s Hana Financial and Standard Chartered partner to explore crypto and stablecoins XRP suffered the most outflows among major assets, totaling $76 million, while Solana recorded $9.1 million in inflows. Short Bitcoin products also recorded inflows of $8.1 million, suggesting investor positioning remains “somewhat polarized.” Most of the inflows came from the United States, where spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first five

Crypto investment products recorded $1.06 billion

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Create Content for HTX and Win a Share of 1000U!Predict BTC's Price & Win 480M $HTX for 30 DaysClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Japan to Triple Prison Terms for Unregistered Crypto Sa


Japan to Triple Prison Terms for Unregistered Crypto Sales Japan's Financial Services Agency will dramatically tighten penalties for unlicensed cryptocurrency sales, Nikkei reported on March 16. Maximum prison terms will more than triple, from 3 to 10 years, under the proposed revision. The move marks Japan's clearest signal yet that it will regulate crypto as a full-fledged financial product, not a payment tool. Penalties Align With Securities-Grade Enforcement Fines will also rise sharply, from ¥3 million ($20,000) to ¥10 million ($67,000), or to the combined penalty. The changes come as crypto oversight shifts from the Payment Services Act to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. The migration places digital assets under the same legal framework governing stocks, bonds, and derivatives in Japan. Registered operators will be renamed from "crypto asset exchange providers" to "crypto asset trading firms." SESC Gets Criminal Investigation Powers Enforcement is getting sharper teeth as well. Previously, the FSA could only issue warning letters to unregistered operators. The SESC was Comment 0 1

Japan to Triple Prison Terms for Unregistered Cryp

Check In Weekly, Win Prizes Weekly — Join the Fun!Create Content for HTX and Win a Share of 1000U!OPN: Omnichain Prediction Market The war with Iran and the renewed conflagration on Israel’s northern 


The war with Iran and the renewed conflagration on Israel’s northern front have led the defense establishment to raise extensive budgetary demands. Only in December the government set the defense budget at NIS 112 billion. Since then it has grown to NIS 144 billion, and that apparently is not the final word. Sources inform "Globes" that in closed discussions with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the defense establishment has increased its demands to NIS 177 billion, in view of the possibility that the war with Iran will be prolonged, and that the fighting in Lebanon will escalate.In fact, even at the time that the NIS 112 billion budget was approved, it was clear to the Ministry of Defense that it was no longer relevant. It ostensibly compromised on drafting 40,000 reservists at any given time, out of the understanding that the operation against Iran would take place within the following months. But even before war broke out, the number of reservists on active duty gradually rose to 60,000, and it currently stands at almost 100,000. If the campaign in Lebanon expands, an even more extensive draft will be required.One main question remains open: How did a NIS 65 billion gap arise between the defense budget approved in December and the current demand, when the possibility of war with Iran was already on the cards? The government estimates that every day of fighting costs NIS 1.5 billion in military expenditure alone. Not everything is paid immediately, and some costs will be spread over several fiscal years, which means that the defense budget for 2026 will not cover all the costs of the current war.Last week, the government approved a NIS 32 billion supplement to the 2026 defense budget, but the budget has not yet passed the Knesset. Within this framework, NIS 13 billion was added as a "special reserve" for war expenditure. And on

The war with Iran and the renewed conflagration on

ether.fi stated on X platform that it is using 580,000 ETHFI to enhance the ETH Liquid Vault. Rewards will be given to all holders, including existing and new depositors. The ETHFI reward will end on June 30th, and participants can receive rewards based on Season 2 airdrop distribution.

ether.fi will provide 580,000 ETHFI rewards to ETH Liquid Vault depositors

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