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On August 7, Fed's Barkin said that the employment data is very consistent with a labor market in a weak balance. The current labor market is more characterized by 'low hiring, low layoffs.' The latest employment data performance is not satisfactory, but that is the actual situation at present. It can be said that the current labor market is in a 'zero to moderate growth' environment. Barkin also noted that corporate earnings are quite strong and maintaining good growth, and he is paying attention to the link between corporate earnings and the labor market.

[Fed's Barkin: Job Data Not Satisfactory, but That's the Situation]On August 7, Fed's Barkin said that the employment data is very consistent with a labor market in a weak balance. The current labor market is more characterized by 'low hiring, low layoffs.' The latest employment data performance is not satisfactory, but that is the actual situation at present. It can be said that the current labor market is in a 'zero to moderate growth' environment. Barkin also noted that corporate earnings are quite strong and maintaining good growth, and he is paying attention to the link between corporate earnings and the labor market.

Fed's Barkin: Job Data Not Satisfactory, but That's the Situation

On August 7, prediction market platform Kalshi announced the launch of an AI tool called Blanket, designed to help small businesses hedge operational risks such as weather, energy prices, tariffs, and elections using event contracts. Blanket was developed by independent fintech entrepreneur Lauris Zminsky and operates on Kalshi's CFTC-regulated prediction market, but is not an internal Kalshi product. The tool does not directly execute trades or handle funds; instead, it uses AI to analyze the risks facing a business and recommend Kalshi event contracts that can be used for hedging.

[Kalshi Launches AI Risk Tool Blanket to Help Small Businesses Hedge Operational Risks via Prediction Markets]On August 7, prediction market platform Kalshi announced the launch of an AI tool called Blanket, designed to help small businesses hedge operational risks such as weather, energy prices, tariffs, and elections using event contracts. Blanket was developed by independent fintech entrepreneur Lauris Zminsky and operates on Kalshi's CFTC-regulated prediction market, but is not an internal Kalshi product. The tool does not directly execute trades or handle funds; instead, it uses AI to analyze the risks facing a business and recommend Kalshi event contracts that can be used for hedging.

Kalshi Launches AI Risk Tool Blanket to Help Small Businesses Hedge Operational Risks via Prediction Markets

On August 7, glassnode released a market insight stating that sentiment in the Bitcoin options market is improving, with short-term downside skew notably declining. The 1-week 25-delta skew has dropped to approximately 7%, indicating that recent panic has eased. However, skew on longer tenors remains elevated at around 10%–12%, suggesting that demand for downside protection persists. Currently, open interest in BTC call options stands at about $15 billion, exceeding the roughly $10 billion in put options. Recent positioning is mainly concentrated in the $61,000–$67,000 range, with notable buying of $65,000 call options. glassnode believes the market is shifting toward more aggressive positioning, though it has not yet abandoned risk hedging.

[glassnode: Bitcoin Options Sentiment Improving, but Demand for Long-Term Downside Protection Remains High]On August 7, glassnode released a market insight stating that sentiment in the Bitcoin options market is improving, with short-term downside skew notably declining. The 1-week 25-delta skew has dropped to approximately 7%, indicating that recent panic has eased. However, skew on longer tenors remains elevated at around 10%–12%, suggesting that demand for downside protection persists. Currently, open interest in BTC call options stands at about $15 billion, exceeding the roughly $10 billion in put options. Recent positioning is mainly concentrated in the $61,000–$67,000 range, with notable buying of $65,000 call options. glassnode believes the market is shifting toward more aggressive positioning, though it has not yet abandoned risk hedging.

glassnode: Bitcoin Options Sentiment Improving, but Demand for Long-Term Downside Protection Remains High

On August 7, Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos said the July employment report would be a difficult data set for the Federal Reserve to interpret. New evidence that the labor market has not re-accelerated could weaken the urgency for a rate hike next month, but that still depends on better inflation data. The decline in the unemployment rate will continue to keep the market focused on inflation data. Whether price pressures rise or fall will determine whether more officials conclude that they cannot maintain their inflation forecast while holding rates steady. A moderate inflation report would strengthen the case for holding rates unchanged, as two consecutive months of moderate data begin to show a trend rather than noise. Strong data, on the other hand, would call the forecast into question again and give officials opposed to a rate hike the opportunity to win a fourth yes vote.

[Fed's Mouthpiece: July Jobs Report Hard to Read, Inflation Key to Rate Hike]On August 7, Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos said the July employment report would be a difficult data set for the Federal Reserve to interpret. New evidence that the labor market has not re-accelerated could weaken the urgency for a rate hike next month, but that still depends on better inflation data. The decline in the unemployment rate will continue to keep the market focused on inflation data. Whether price pressures rise or fall will determine whether more officials conclude that they cannot maintain their inflation forecast while holding rates steady. A moderate inflation report would strengthen the case for holding rates unchanged, as two consecutive months of moderate data begin to show a trend rather than noise. Strong data, on the other hand, would call the forecast into question again and give officials opposed to a rate hike the opportunity to win a fourth yes vote.

Fed's Mouthpiece: July Jobs Report Hard to Read, Inflation Key to Rate Hike

On August 7, according to market data from BIT (bit.com), SpaceX continued to rise during trading, gaining 11.29% and currently trading at $127.96. Earlier reports indicated that Argus Research and Bernstein have recently raised their price targets for SpaceX, expressing optimism about its stock performance.

[SpaceX Surges Over 11% Intraday, Now at $127.96]On August 7, according to market data from BIT (bit.com), SpaceX continued to rise during trading, gaining 11.29% and currently trading at $127.96. Earlier reports indicated that Argus Research and Bernstein have recently raised their price targets for SpaceX, expressing optimism about its stock performance.

SpaceX Surges Over 11% Intraday, Now at $127.96

On August 7, the US July New York Fed 1-year inflation expectation came in at 3.63%, versus an expected 3.71%, and a prior reading of 3.67%.

[US July New York Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectation at 3.63%, Below Expectations]On August 7, the US July New York Fed 1-year inflation expectation came in at 3.63%, versus an expected 3.71%, and a prior reading of 3.67%.

US July New York Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectation at 3.63%, Below Expectations

On August 7, according to market data from BIT (bit.com), SpaceX continued to rise during trading, with an increase of nearly 8.5%. Earlier reports indicated that Argus Research and Bernstein have recently raised their price targets for SpaceX, expressing optimistic expectations for its stock performance.

[SpaceX Rises Nearly 8.5% Intraday]On August 7, according to market data from BIT (bit.com), SpaceX continued to rise during trading, with an increase of nearly 8.5%. Earlier reports indicated that Argus Research and Bernstein have recently raised their price targets for SpaceX, expressing optimistic expectations for its stock performance.

SpaceX Rises Nearly 8.5% Intraday

On August 7, Jane Street is in talks with investors including Pimco to move approximately $11 billion of its debt from public markets into private instruments through a private credit transaction. Analysts note that this debt transfer by Jane Street aims to reduce quarterly financial disclosure requirements to a large number of creditors, while providing greater flexibility for the company to further invest in AI infrastructure, such as data centers and related technologies.

[Jane Street Plans to Shift $11B Public Debt to External Investors]On August 7, Jane Street is in talks with investors including Pimco to move approximately $11 billion of its debt from public markets into private instruments through a private credit transaction. Analysts note that this debt transfer by Jane Street aims to reduce quarterly financial disclosure requirements to a large number of creditors, while providing greater flexibility for the company to further invest in AI infrastructure, such as data centers and related technologies.

Jane Street Plans to Shift $11B Public Debt to External Investors

Data from prediction platform Kalshi shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged next month has risen to 65%.

[Kalshi Data Shows Probability of Fed Holding Rates Steady Next Month Rises to 65%]Data from prediction platform Kalshi shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged next month has risen to 65%.

Kalshi Data Shows Probability of Fed Holding Rates Steady Next Month Rises to 65%

HTX data monitoring shows that BTC has fallen below 62000 USDT, currently reported at 61966.02 USDT, with a 24H decline of 1.72%.

【BTC drops below 62000 USDT】HTX data monitoring shows that BTC has fallen below 62000 USDT, currently reported at 61966.02 USDT, with a 24H decline of 1.72%.

BTC drops below 62000 USDT

Descargo de responsabilidad：El contenido anterior no representa las posiciones de HTX.，HTX no ofrece ninguna recomendación de trading.。

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