Important Notice
This document is for business presentation and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All strategies involve market risk; cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile. Investors should make independent decisions based on their own risk tolerance.
Objective: Stay as market-neutral as possible while harvesting funding/basis/carry; use options to cap drawdowns when going on offense; prefer coin-margined contracts and low-cost borrowing.
Account assumptions:
- Holdings: 5 BTC; Price: 113,000 USDT; Total ≈ 565,000 USDT
- LTV: 45% → Borrowable ≈ 254,250 USDT
- Fees: Spot maker 0.08% / taker 0.1%; Futures maker 0.012% / taker 0.04%
- USDT flexible savings: 10% annualized
- All examples assume maker execution; using taker will slightly reduce returns
A) Perpetual funding-rate arbitrage (spot long + perp short, collect positive funding)
- Core: When funding is positive (longs pay, shorts receive), build equal notional “spot long + perp short” to collect funding; directional delta ≈ 0.
- Funding paths (under segregated accounts)
- Preferred: Borrow BTC at 0.1% for the spot leg; short Coin-M perps with BTC as margin (no USDT needed)
- Optional: Borrow USDT at 4% to buy spot; short USDT-M perps (requires USDT margin)
- 30-day case (notional ≈ 254,250 ≈ 2.25 BTC; funding 0.01%/8h × 3 × 30)
- Funding income ≈ 2,288
- Fees (maker open + close) ≈ 61
- BTC borrow cost ≈ 21 → Monthly net ≈ 2,206 USDT
- If borrowing USDT: minus monthly interest ≈ 847.5 → Monthly net ≈ 2,288 − 61 − 847.5 ≈ 1,379.5
- Risk control: If funding collapses or turns negative, reduce or flip to “spot short + perp long”; keep ample margin buffer to avoid forced reductions.
B) Spot/Quarterly basis arbitrage + Perp-Quarter swap
- Play 1 (classic): Long spot, short quarterly (near/next) → harvest positive basis mean reversion (see Standard edition “Basis”).
- Play 2 (swap): Hedge the two legs when basis vs funding are mispriced
- If quarterly basis annualized > perp funding annualized: go “perp long, quarterly short”
- If funding annualized > quarterly basis annualized: go “perp short, quarterly long”
- Example (quarterly basis ≈ 2.21%/quarter; recent 7-day avg funding ≈ 0.002%/8h ≈ 2.2%/year)
- Quarterly gross spread for “perp long / quarterly short” ≈ 2.21% − 0.55% (funding annualized to a quarter) ≈ 1.66%
- On 254,250 notional: gross ≈ 4,227; still attractive net of maker fees/slippage
- Ops notes: Entry threshold = (annualized basis or funding differential) > fees + slippage + financing; stagger rolls near expiry to reduce impact.
C) Synthetic low-cost USDT (financing alternative; better if <4%)
- Core: Use “borrow BTC 0.1% + hedge long (perp or quarterly)” to synthesize USDT financing, pushing effective cost below 4%, then deploy to 10% flexible savings/other strategies.
- Steps
1) Borrow BTC (0.1%) → sell spot to obtain USDT
2) Hedge directional risk: go long equal notional quarterly or perp (Coin-M or USDT-M)
- Cost estimate
- Effective ≈ BTC borrow (0.1%) + hedge leg’s implied rate (quarterly basis annualized or perp funding annualized) + fees
- Example: quarterly implied ≈ 3% → effective ≈ 3.1% < 4% → ~0.9%/yr cheaper than direct USDT borrow
- Risk: If basis widens or funding rises, exit promptly; avoid effective cost exceeding 4%.
D) Leveraged long + protective put (bullish: convex returns, capped risk)
- Steps: Borrow USDT 4% to reach ≤1× leverage on the long; buy a put (K = 105,000, tenor 1–2 months).
- Case (add ≈ 2.25 BTC at 113,000)
- At 130,000: long PnL ≈ 38,250; minus premium ≈ 2,000 and monthly interest ≈ 847.5 → expected net ≈ 35,402.5
- At 100,000: long loss ≈ 29,250; put gain ≈ 11,250 → net loss (ex interest/premium) ≈ 18,000; tail risk materially limited
- Details: Premiums are richer at high IV; prefer to add hedges when IV retreats; scale out around 125,000–130,000.
E) Cross-asset relative value (Market-Neutral Pair)
- Core: Long the stronger asset (e.g., ETH), short the weaker (e.g., BTC), earn relative outperformance; target β-neutrality.
- Case (notional 254,250; 1M ETH vs BTC +8%)
- Gross ≈ 20,340; assume total costs ≈ 2,500 → Monthly net ≈ 17,840
- Funding path: Prefer BTC 0.1% borrowing to cover margin/build hedge legs; prefer Coin-M contracts.
- Risk: Volatility-weighted sizing; ETH/BTC ratio stop-outs/take-profits; monitor funding on both legs.
F) Options volatility strategies (two paths)
- Gamma scalping (buy straddle when IV is low)
- Buy ATM Call + Put (1M), dynamically delta-hedge with small futures; if realized vol > implied, harvest the spread
- Funding: USDT 4% (for premium) or BTC as options margin (if supported)
- Covered call yield (range/slow bull)
- Hold/borrow BTC (0.1%) → sell OTM calls to earn premium; steadily lift annualized return
- Risk: Opportunity cost if price rips; roll up strikes as needed
- Risk control: Size and gamma discipline; reduce net short-vol before major events (data/news).
Professional edition suggested mix (example)
- 35% Funding-rate arbitrage (borrow BTC + Coin-M preferred)
- 25% Basis/swap (diversify near/next quarters)
- 20% Synthetic low-cost USDT → redeploy to flexible/short-term plays
- 10% Cross-asset relative value
- 10% Options (protection or vol strategies)
Goal: Maintain “floor yield” across regimes while preserving upside optionality.
Execution & risk consensus
- Financing priority: BTC 0.1% ≫ ETH 2% ≫ USDT 4% (use low-cost coins when possible)
- Contract priority: Coin-M first (BTC as margin reduces USDT usage); USDT-M requires separate USDT margin
- LTV: ≤45%, keep ≥10% buffer; in high vol, de-lever first
- Execution: post-only (maker) preferred; avoid high-vol/data windows; scale orders
- Entry threshold: annualized basis/funding must cover “financing + fees + slippage”
- Operational risks: API/maintenance, borrow limits/recall; diversify maturities/instruments
- Compliance/tax: follow local regulations
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