AMBCrypto reported recently that Bitcoin [BTC] miners were struggling. Miners were under significant pressure, and data aligned with historical bear-market conditions.
Bitcoin has been in a bearish trend since the crash on October 10, 2025. It is unclear when the bear market low would arrive, but there are some criteria to watch out for.
Then there’s the question of how high the leading crypto can go in the next run, which is much harder to answer. What is the Bitcoin price prediction for 2030?
Handling the bear market bottom- the role of stablecoins and fractals
Like a rocket needs fuel for its launch, crypto needs stablecoin inflows to exchanges to power a bull trend. We saw this in April 2021, for example.
High stablecoin inflows [the metric above uses the 30DMA to smooth out the data] in late 2024 and July-October 2025 coincided with powerful upward Bitcoin price moves.
At present, monthly average exchange netflows were negative. This trend needs to be positive to signal a sentiment shift. Powerful spikes will likely coincide with high bullish enthusiasm.
The founder and CEO of crypto intelligence platform Alphractal shared in a post on X that $41.5k-$45k will mark this cycle’s bottom, and will arrive sometime in the first half of October 2026.
It was not a deterministic prediction, but only based on historical symmetry.
Looking ahead to the Bitcoin price prediction for 2030
Institutional adoption is likely to accelerate. Massive entities accumulating Bitcoin, such as Strategy, can influence the next cycle. As crypto matures, its cycles might not be as explosively bullish as it had been in the past.
Technical analysis and a focus on price action alone could clear some of these doubts, although there is the caveat that it is in no way an accurate model.
The 2020-2022 run retraced to just under the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level [orange, $17,738] before resuming the long-term uptrend. This uptrend extended beyond the 61.8% extension level, reaching $126.2k.
Currently, BTC is in a retracement phase.
If a similar scenario to the previous cycle develops, investors can expect a pullback to $39.1k [white, the Fibonacci retracement levels based on this cycle], which is not far from the $49.5k target analyst Joao Wedson had presented.
Such a pullback could then push beyond the 61.8% extension level at $152.3k.
A high of $200k-$220k could be reached by 2030 before Bitcoin enters its next bear cycle. Investors should remember that the cycle might take longer to complete. The previous cycle took almost twice as long to go from bottom to top, compared to the 2020 cycle.
Final Summary
- Fractal analysis showed that Bitcoin could reach a market bottom in October 2026, projected popular crypto analyst Joao Wedson.
- Stablecoin flows to exchanges are something to watch, and high inflows would be needed to drive Bitcoin to the $200k target, derived using Fibonacci extension levels.
