价格逆势上涨,BONK 周线却深陷看跌区间?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-12-08Last updated on 2025-12-08

Abstract

交易者必须保持耐心,等待价格在高成交量下出现区间突破后,再去押注下一个方向。

Bonk 在过去 24 小时内上涨了 5.55%,但CoinMarketCap 数据显示,截至发稿时,其日交易量下降了近 10%。

这些收益可能部分归功于Solana [SOL] 的启动平台 Bonk.fun 的消息,即 51% 的费用将用于回购 BONK,高于目前的 10%。

BONK跌破长期支撑位

Bonk (BONK) 的周线图显示强劲的下跌趋势正在进行中。0.0000096 美元的支撑位(该支撑位可追溯至 2024 年初)正在被重新测试,并转化为阻力位。

两周前,周线交易时段收盘价跌破了该支撑位。

OBV指标也与价格同步下跌,RSI指标读数为36,显示出强劲的空头动能。总而言之,这是多头需要做最后挣扎的地方。

就目前情况来看,买家缺乏扭转这一趋势的决心。

从4小时图来看,BONK多头似乎看到了一线希望。过去三周,0.00000846美元至0.0000105美元之间的区间震荡(紫色)已经阻止了下跌趋势。

与此同时,OBV指标走高,而RSI指标则在多空动能之间震荡。这表明近几日存在买盘压力。

尽管出现了这一令人鼓舞的进展,但多头要扭转长期下跌趋势仍然极其困难。

0.0000096 美元的支撑位跌破 0.0000096 美元,略低于 0.00001 美元的心理关口,这对看涨情绪是一个沉重的打击。

看好BONK的理由

OBV 指标的上升暗示着 BONK 趋势可能出现反转,尽管这种可能性不大。如果价格突破 0.0000105 美元并重新测试区间高点作为支撑位,则可能发出买入信号。

往北,下一个目标是 0.0000135 美元。

交易者行动号召——尊重价格区间

更可能出现的情况是价格在区间高点遭遇阻力。此外,区间震荡形态意味着交易者应该利用区间两端获利了结,并为价格再次触及区间另一端做好准备。

因此,若价格再次测试 0.0000105 美元,则可能提供卖出机会。交易者不应在突破发生之前押注突破。

即使其中一项成为现实,也必须评估更广泛的市场情绪和比特币 [BTC] 的看涨力度,以确定 BONK 是否有可能进一步上涨。

最后想说的话

三周的区间震荡形态为交易者提供了清晰的入场和出场点。

尽管 H4 图表上的 OBV 指标增长缓慢,但交易者应该在这个区间内进行交易,直到该区间被明显突破。

Related Reads

Where Will the Money for the Next Bull Market Come From?

Where Will the Money for the Next Crypto Bull Run Come From? Bitcoin's sharp decline from $126,000 to $90,000 has caused panic and a liquidity crunch. However, structural tailwinds are emerging: the SEC plans an "Innovation Exemption" rule, the Fed is expected to begin a rate-cutting cycle, and global institutional pathways are maturing. The myth of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) is fading. Their buying power is insufficient (under 5% of the crypto market) and they can become net sellers during downturns. The real catalysts are institutional. The end of Fed quantitative tightening and potential rate cuts could inject liquidity. A crypto-friendly Fed leadership could further open the banking system to crypto. The SEC's shifting stance, moving crypto from a "threat" to a regulated asset class, reduces compliance barriers. Three key pipelines could deliver the next wave of capital: 1. **Institutional Entry:** Global Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs provide a standardized entry point. Mature custody and settlement infrastructure (e.g., from BNY Mellon) enables efficient capital deployment. Even a 1-3% allocation from pensions and sovereign wealth funds would represent trillions. 2. **Real-World Assets (RWA):** Tokenizing traditional assets (bonds, real estate) creates a bridge to TradFi. The RWA market, projected to grow 50x to multi-trillions by 2030, offers massive, stable, yield-bearing assets for DeFi (e.g., MakerDAO's use of U.S. Treasuries). 3. **Infrastructure Upgrades:** Layer 2 solutions reduce costs and speed up transactions for institutional use. Stablecoins, with a $166B market cap and $4T in on-chain volume, have become a pillar for compliant, efficient settlements. The money is expected to arrive in phases: a short-term policy-driven rebound (2025-2026), followed by gradual institutional allocation (2026-2027), and finally long-term structural growth powered by RWA integration (2027-2030). The next bull run will be built not on retail speculation, but on institutional trust and infrastructure.

深潮1h ago

Where Will the Money for the Next Bull Market Come From?

深潮1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片