比特币突破在即?川普扩大加密储备、SHIB要跌穿?OMNI上市暴涨175%揭秘

金色财经Published on 2025-07-29Last updated on 2025-07-29

比特币逼近牛旗顶:突破还是周期终结?

比特币价格再次逼近牛旗形态顶部,能否明确突破成为焦点。若突破乏力,可能引发本轮牛市周期终结的担忧。

分析师对周期存在分歧:部分认为机构资金大量涌入可能推迟周期结束至 2026 年一二季度,给比特币更多盘整时间;若仍遵循 4 年周期,距潜在顶峰仅剩三四个月。

宏观面利好显现,美国与日、欧达成贸易协议推动美股反弹,比特币通常在此环境下表现强劲。

技术面看,短期回调至 11.8 万美元支撑位后反弹,随机 RSI 未达峰值,仍有上涨动能;日线图或形成更看涨的上升三角形,指标亦偏向上行。

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整体而言,上涨可能性大于下跌。

川普扩大加密储备:哪些山寨币可能入选?

川普计划扩大美国战略加密货币储备,继 BTC、ETH 后,更多山寨币 ETF 获批预期升温。

市场猜测 Solana(SOL)、XRP、Cardano(ADA)有望入选,领跑者还包括莱特币(LTC)、Hedera(HBAR)、Polkadot(DOT)、Chainlink(LINK)、狗狗币(DOGE)等。

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其中,DOGE 因与马斯克关联及 324 亿美元市值受关注;LTC 作为 “比特币快速替代品”,年底前 ETF 获批概率被估达 90%;Avalanche、Aptos 等凭借技术实力进入视野。

机构兴趣凸显 ETF 获批时机的重要性,最终名单取决于 SEC 审查与政治优先级,可能影响加密市场格局。

柴犬币承压:能否守住关键价位?

SHIB 近期涨势遇阻,在 0.000015 美元阻力位及 200 日移动平均线处被果断拒绝,现交易于 0.0000135 美元附近。

技术面呈看跌信号:短暂突破主要均线后回落,无法站稳 0.00001449 美元,RSI 与成交量未支撑上涨,50 日、100 日均线亦失守。

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若无法守住 0.0000131 美元短期支撑,可能下探 0.00001267 美元甚至 0.000012 美元。

缺乏新催化剂是主因,短期投机性买盘退潮后,市场信心不足,价格或面临进一步下行压力。

OMNI 暴涨 175%:Upbit 上市的影响与前景

Omnichain(OMNI)在宣布登陆韩国 Upbit 交易所后暴涨 175%,24 小时内涨幅达 143.44%,现报 6.82 美元。

上涨主因包括:Upbit 庞大用户群提升流动性与可及性;打开韩国市场入口,吸引新资本;上市背书增强项目合法性,引发 FOMO 情绪。

OMNI 聚焦区块链互操作性,旨在连接各 Layer1 及 Rollup 生态,提供跨链通信基础设施。

但其涨势可持续性存疑:需依赖技术落地、开发者认可,短期或因获利回吐回调。

投资者需关注项目基本面、交易量及代币经济学,避免盲目追高。

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