比特币两年牛市在望?专家称经济放缓将引发重大反弹

marsbitPublished on 2024-09-08Last updated on 2024-09-08

比特币分析师认为“最大的牛市周期”即将到来,预计45,000美元将成为BTC价格的底部 加密货币企业家Michaël van de Poppe表示,比特币价格在进入至少两年的牛市之前,将进行一些“最后的修正”。

比特币将进行一些“最后的修正”,然后在接下来的两年进入牛市,这是大胆的新分析所预测的。

在他最新的X平台内容中,交易员、分析师和企业家Michaël van de Poppe将53,000美元作为下一个BTC价格下跌的目标。

BTC价格预测:“明显向上突破”在53,000美元

很少有比特币市场观察者愿意公开宣布六个月的BTC价格盘整已经结束。

然而,对于Van de Poppe来说,比特币历史上最令人沮丧的时期之一的结束应该已经迫在眉睫。

“流动性已被吸收,#比特币回升至54,800美元,”他在9月7日谈到BTC/USD的短时间框架走势时写道。

“预计此次反弹的最高点为55,500美元,然后我们可能会回到53,000美元,然后明显向上突破。最后的修正,然后是两年的牛市。”

牛市BTC/USDT 4小时图表。来源:Michaël van de Poppe/X

前一天,另一篇帖子中包含了一张可能的恢复路线图,前提是没有任何意外的“事件”打乱其进程。

即使在比特币在六个月的低点跌至50,000美元以下一个月后,交易者也没有被说服更低的低点不会出现。尽管有利的宏观经济条件即将到来,加密市场的悲观情绪仍然存在。

Van de Poppe承认存在风险,认为股票市场“在疲弱中运行”。

“股市在流动性方面很脆弱,由于对通货膨胀的担忧,人们非常急于将资金转向这些资产。这种情况很快就会逆转,”他在9月8日预测道。

比特币 vs. 标普500 重演2019

然而,对于比特币来说,还有一线希望——发生重大“崩盘”的可能性不大。

相反,与标普500相比,BTC/USD正在复制2019年的行为,这意味着它只是处于一个长期牛市的开始,而不是结束。

“我们还可以看到市场上已经发生了显著的修正,这可能即将结束,就像2019年的修正在6,000美元结束一样,我们可能会在比特币的45,000-50,000美元区域着陆,”Van de Poppe总结道。

“从这个角度来看,随着美联储即将降息、经济疲软以及中国的全球流动性增加,似乎几乎不可避免的是,我们实际上处于有史以来最大的牛市周期的边缘。”

牛市BTC/SPX 1周图表。来源:Michaël van de Poppe/X

正如Cointelegraph继续报道的那样,9月18日,美国联邦储备委员会将召开会议决定利率变化,而市场长期以来一直预计100%会降息。

这最终将有利于加密货币和风险资产,因为较低的利率鼓励流动性进入市场。

根据Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据,截至9月8日周收盘,BTC/USD交易价格约为54,000美元。

牛市

BTC/USD 1小时图表。来源:TradingView

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