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Nomura's inaugural coverage report on ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) gives a 'Buy' rating with a highly aggressive target price of 116 RMB, implying a 1239.5% upside from the IPO price of 8.66 RMB. The valuation is derived by applying a 20x P/E multiple to projected 2028 EPS of 5.79 RMB. The 20x multiple combines Micron's historical valuation with a premium for Chinese A-shares. The report's financial forecasts are exceptionally bullish. It projects revenue to soar from 62B RMB in 2025 to 773B RMB in 2028, with net profit surging to 393B RMB. A key, and arguably unsustainable, assumption is gross margin expanding to over 90% by 2028, driven almost entirely by price increases with minimal cost growth. This optimism is rooted in a forecast that global DRAM demand will grow over 7x from 2026 to 2030 (CAGR >60%), fueled by agentic AI. Nomura argues that supply growth (30-40% CAGR) will lag far behind demand, creating a persistent shortage. Bottlenecks in cleanroom space, equipment, materials, and skilled engineers will constrain rapid industry expansion. For CXMT, Nomura expects capacity to reach 550k wafers/month by 2028. The company's bit output is forecast to grow 40-45% annually, allowing its global market share to rise from ~10% to ~18%. While CXMT's technology lags leaders by about five years, limiting its wafer ASP, it benefits from supportive domestic procurement policies. Key risks include the cyclicality of memory pricing, with the 90% margin assumption representing a peak-cycle scenario rather than a sustainable norm.

The 2026 Mid-Year Report on On-Chain RWA highlights a significant growth in tokenized stock market capitalization, which nearly doubled from $951 million in March to $1.89 billion by July. However, the report reveals a fundamental contradiction in this "layer 2.5" ecosystem: products with the strongest legal foundation (like regulated U.S. infrastructure) lack liquidity and distribution, while freely tradable offshored wrapper products often lack substantive ownership rights. The increase is driven largely by a few products (SECZ, FGRS, STRCx) and platforms (Ondo, xStocks, Securitize collectively hold over 85% share). While distributed value across networks like Ethereum, Solana, and BNB Chain has grown, the market remains fragmented. Products referencing the same underlying asset (e.g., Apple stock) are distinct legal liabilities with different intermediaries and jurisdictional rules, offering varying degrees of legal claim. The report cautions that headline numbers are misleading, as they reflect changes in distributed token value—driven by issuance, conversions, and price movements—not pure investor inflows. True "canonical shares" with legal ownership, wide wallet distribution, institutional liquidity, and independent on-chain price discovery do not yet exist at scale. Tokenized treasuries show stronger product-market fit, and ETFs may be easier to scale than single stocks. The core takeaway is a trade-off: legal certainty versus liquidity and composability.

U.S. stocks surged to record highs driven by strong earnings and easing Middle East tensions. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 both hit closing records, with the Nasdaq jumping 2.59%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soared 6.55%, marking four straight days of gains, fueled by a broad AI rally spanning chips, software, and infrastructure. SanDisk and Intel surged over 10%, while Micron's market cap returned to the $1 trillion level. Geopolitical optimism weighed on oil, with WTI crude falling over 5%. Reports indicated the U.S., Iran, and Oman are nearing a temporary deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, alleviating supply disruption fears and lowering September Fed rate hike probabilities. Key stock movers included Palantir, up 29.45% on explosive revenue growth; Caterpillar, hitting a record high on raised guidance linked to data center demand; and AMD, rising 7% despite a post-earnings dip. Nvidia gained 2.56% after announcing new open-source models and securing an exclusive AI partnership with SpaceX. However, Oracle faces heightened credit risk due to heavy AI-related borrowing. Markets now focus on upcoming earnings from Uber and Eli Lilly, and a major SpaceX share lockup expiry on August 6th.

A Solana-based meme token, $CATE, which had surged from a $20M+ to over $80M market cap in about a week, experienced a dramatic 65% crash within one minute. This flash crash has intensified scrutiny on the trading app 'fomo' and highlighted the speculative nature of the current meme coin market. The crash coincided with two events: the token's X account being suspended and the fomo app experiencing downtime, preventing users from trading. While the X suspension was straightforward, the fomo outage raised significant questions. $CATE's primary narrative driver was the open endorsement by Poorgoat, a top-ranked trader on fomo with over 200,000 followers, who had turned a ~$45,000 investment into over $2M at the peak. The token itself had no novel fundamentals, being a "cat sister" to Doge, a concept already existing on Ethereum without success. The crash, triggered by less than $1.5M in selling volume despite over 60,000 holder addresses, exposed a harsh reality: purely "organic" community-driven meme tokens (excluding past successes like $SPX) may now have a market cap ceiling around $17M, as exemplified by the long-term chart of $neet. This incident has fueled existing controversies surrounding fomo. Critics have grown skeptical of the app, alleging that rankings dominated by KOLs who receive lucrative token airdrops could be manipulated to create "pump-and-dump" schemes, luring in retail users before a rug pull. The timing of the crash during fomo's outage—preventing many of its users (who represent over 60% of $CATE holders) from reacting—was viewed as highly suspicious. Further controversy arose when another popular fomo trader publicly sold near the peak, and concerns were raised about the security of accessing private keys during the app's downtime. Fomo's official explanation of server overload due to surging user traffic was met with skepticism, given its substantial funding. The event serves as a stark reminder of the risks in meme coin speculation and the potential vulnerabilities of relying on a single trading platform during market volatility.

Analysts at CryptoQuant have linked the recent decline in Bitcoin's price to a significant drop in the market capitalization of the USDT stablecoin. They explain that stablecoins like USDT are a key source of liquidity for the crypto market. A sustained decrease in USDT's supply, which has fallen by nearly $870 million in the past 11 days, equates to capital leaving the ecosystem, reducing demand for assets like Bitcoin. Historically, periods of USDT supply growth have coincided with Bitcoin price rallies, while extended phases of contraction have led to weaker demand, deeper corrections, and bearish market conditions. However, analysts note that past severe declines in USDT supply have often occurred when selling pressure was nearing exhaustion rather than intensifying further. This current trend could therefore be a positive sign that selling pressure is easing and the market may soon enter a bullish cycle. CryptoQuant attributes Bitcoin's weak recovery attempts to a lack of stablecoin liquidity, which prevents the formation of sustained spot demand. For a solid recovery, they argue that USDT's market cap would need to show stable growth over a two-month period. This view aligns with analysis from firms like Wintermute, which sees signs that the crypto market's bear phase may be ending, citing the resilience of major cryptocurrencies amid macroeconomic uncertainty.